The Fight to Acquire Hugel - GS Group Led Consortium or Goldman Sachs Led Consortium?

Korean Botox Players in Another Round of Patent Fights: Medytox (086900 KS) Sues Hugel (145020 KS)

Founder

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Cherrystone Hill Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Daewoong Pharmaceutical Co / Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3742" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3742:1">Daewoong Pharmaceutical Co (069620 KS)</a> has traded up over the past year in anticipation of the launch of its botulinum toxin product Jeuveau in the US and EU (known as Nabota in Korea). We think the probability of near-term (6-9 months) disappointment with the product launch is low, but that upside surprises beyond that stage are unlikely given Botox's (product of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/867" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:867:1">Allergan Plc (AGN US)</a>) strong brand recognition and marketing support. Now is the time to put the stock on the radar screen to pick up signs of a looming disappointment with Jeuveau's uptake.We tag this Insight as Bearish because we think there is little likelihood for Jeuveau to exceed consensus expectations post-launch.

Daewoong Pharmaceutical Co (069620 KS) has traded up over the past year in anticipation of the launch of its botulinum toxin product Jeuveau in the US and EU (known as Nabota in Korea). We think the probability of near-term (6-9 months) disappointment with the product launch is low, but that upside surprises beyond that stage are unlikely given Botox's (product of Allergan Plc (AGN US)) strong brand recognition and marketing support. Now is the time to put the stock on the radar screen to pick up signs of a looming disappointment with Jeuveau's uptake.We tag this Insight as Bearish because we think there is little likelihood for Jeuveau to exceed consensus expectations post-launch.

Daewoong Pharmaceutical Co

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