FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Greg has had a long career in foreign exchange, beginning at the Reserve Bank of Australia in 1989.  He was the first economics graduate at the Bank to be assigned to the foreign exchange dealing desk. Greg learnt from highly respected stewards of policy and market development at the Bank.  He played a leading role in establishing the Bank’s approach to asset and currency management of its international reserves, and managed the Bank's Japanese bond portfolio for a year before joining the private sector in 1995.

In October 2015, Greg launched his own FX research company, Amplifying Global FX Capital, after completing duties at the Royal Bank of Scotland in Singapore where he was the Head of Asia Pacific Markets Strategy since February 2014.  His flagship  report (AmpGFX) is available here on SmartKarma.

He has maintained a trading track record since March 2013. The results are very good over this period. There have been significant macro developments that suit his approach to markets. He is now managing his own capital and will often have positions in the markets that he is writing about in his AmpGFX report.

For a detailed biography and trading performance analysis head to the ampGFXcapital.com website.

US Bond Yields and the USD at Key Juncture

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

FX & Rates

Comey characterized Trump as untrustworthy, manipulative and liberal with the truth.  But that is who a minority of Americans voted in as President.  Is Trump inexperienced in public office? Is he used to running the show and getting his way? Tick and tick, nothing new here either.  Comey offered plenty of salacious detail and did a good job of protecting his own legacy, but offered nothing that should really surprise. Trump did not directly ask Comey to stop investigating Flynn, and Comey offered no evidence that he wanted the broader investigation into Russian election meddling or collusion with the Trump team stopped.  The poor political performance of Trump continues to undermine confidence, but political risk should not rise further.  ECB President Draghi did a good job dampening expectations that monetary accommodation will be wound back much in coming years.  He raised the outlook for growth, said deflation risk had disappeared, and expressed more confidence in the ECB’s inflation forecasts.  However, the ECB downgraded its inflation outlook and emphasized a gradual improvement, held back by ongoing low wage growth. Draghi emphasized that the ECB will be in the market for a long time; suggesting asset purchases will be tapered slowly and rates held at present levels beyond that.  The lower rates outlook will serve to keep EUR upside contained.  However, the ECB outlook should support growth and equities, which are doing more to drive many currencies this year than rates and yields.

Comey characterized Trump as untrustworthy, manipulative and liberal with the truth.  But that is who a minority of Americans voted in as President.  Is Trump inexperienced in public office? Is he used to running the show and getting his way? Tick and tick, nothing new here either.  Comey offered plenty of salacious detail and did a good job of protecting his own legacy, but offered nothing that should really surprise. Trump did not directly ask Comey to stop investigating Flynn, and Comey offered no evidence that he wanted the broader investigation into Russian election meddling or collusion with the Trump team stopped.  The poor political performance of Trump continues to undermine confidence, but political risk should not rise further.  ECB President Draghi did a good job dampening expectations that monetary accommodation will be wound back much in coming years.  He raised the outlook for growth, said deflation risk had disappeared, and expressed more confidence in the ECB’s inflation forecasts.  However, the ECB downgraded its inflation outlook and emphasized a gradual improvement, held back by ongoing low wage growth. Draghi emphasized that the ECB will be in the market for a long time; suggesting asset purchases will be tapered slowly and rates held at present levels beyond that.  The lower rates outlook will serve to keep EUR upside contained.  However, the ECB outlook should support growth and equities, which are doing more to drive many currencies this year than rates and yields.

USD

Comey Lets Loose, Draghi Hangs Loose