Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

CrossBorder Capital an investment advisory firm specialising in macro-investing. Founded in 1996 with an international client base, CrossBorder focuses on monitoring and understanding global liquidity and capital flows. Our proprietary databases (available to clients) cover 80 countries in depth from 1980 onwards. We take a systematic quantitative methodology that uses this data with AI models to predict financial market movements. The efficacy of our data has been independently verified, and we have an associated but separate asset management division.

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

1Q23 GDP Roundup and Outlook: Worst Case Scenario Averted

Asian Currencies Remain Stable but China-Led Upsides Are Limited

Macro Strategy - Slow Walking into a Recessionary Credit Crunch

With Inflation Untamed, More Fed and ECB Rate Hikes Ahead Despite Recession

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Several indicators point to approaching World recessionary trough and early pick-up. Chinese economic recovery since late-2022 ‘re-opening’ may help explain this</li>
<li>Chinese Liquidity injections have slowed from their early year pace, but no evidence of deliberate tightening. Also visible acceleration in shadow bank lending</li>
<li>Switch from last year’s Chinese tightening to this year’s policy easing may lift the World economy higher over coming months. We should look for confirming evidence from other Asian markets</li>
</ul>


Several indicators point to approaching World recessionary trough and early pick-up. Chinese economic recovery since late-2022 ‘re-opening’ may help explain this
Chinese Liquidity injections have slowed from their early year pace, but no evidence of deliberate tightening. Also visible acceleration in shadow bank lending
Switch from last year’s Chinese tightening to this year’s policy easing may lift the World economy higher over coming months. We should look for confirming evidence from other Asian markets


China May Nullify World Recession