Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Mr. Bhaskaran is a leading Asian economist based in Singapore with more than 30 years of experience in studying economic, political and security issues that shape the business environment in Asia. He co-ordinates the Asian business of Washington DC-based strategic advisory firm, Centennial Group, directing its Asian economic research practice which provides in-depth analysis of macro trends in Asia. He works extensively with investment institutions, government agencies and corporations. Mr. Bhaskaran regularly presents his views on the economic, political and business environment in Asia at business conferences and in-house briefings. He has conducted studies on a wide range of subjects including: consumer finance in Asia; Asian integration; regional and country-specific political and economic outlooks; the Impact of China on Asia; portfolio capital flows in emerging markets, amongst many others. He is as a member of the Regional Advisory Group for Asia and the Pacific of the International Monetary Fund. Mr. Bhaskaran is a regular columnist for The Edge (Singapore) and holds positions in think tanks including being Adjunct Senior Research Fellow at the Institute of Policy Studies (IPS); Vice President of the Economics Society of Singapore, and Council Member of the Singapore Institute of International Affairs (SIIA). Mr. Bhaskaran serves on the boards of CIMB Investment Bank and Japfa Limited.

Asia Economist and CEO

China: Warning Bells Sound over Thinning Current Account Buffer – Will CNY Break Above 7 to the USD?

China: Easing Measures Could Push CNY Below 7-Mark

China: Accelerating Policy Responses Can Revive Growth but at What Price?

China: President Xi Re-Asserts Himself but Faces Challenges

China: Deceleration Leads to Pronounced Policy Dilemmas

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Chinese economic growth continues to trundle along, even as conflicting policy objectives of growth and deleveraging weigh on the minds of policymakers.</li>
<li>As investment is a critical driver of economic growth, its sharp deceleration is a bad sign for future growth and stability. More aggressive policy actions are required.</li>
<li>Chinese policymakers are faced with a stark choice between growth via stimulus or stability through painful but necessary reforms – two conflicting policy objectives.</li>
<li>Reforms will take a back seat for now, to be rejuvenated when economic conditions are much kinder. The key risk is weakening sentiment regarding the Chinese economy which could lead to outflows from currency and asset markets - which why the government is keen to showcase solid growth impetus.</li>
</ul>


Chinese economic growth continues to trundle along, even as conflicting policy objectives of growth and deleveraging weigh on the minds of policymakers.
As investment is a critical driver of economic growth, its sharp deceleration is a bad sign for future growth and stability. More aggressive policy actions are required.
Chinese policymakers are faced with a stark choice between growth via stimulus or stability through painful but necessary reforms – two conflicting policy objectives.
Reforms will take a back seat for now, to be rejuvenated when economic conditions are much kinder. The key risk is weakening sentiment regarding the Chinese economy which could lead to outflows from currency and asset markets - which why the government is keen to showcase solid growth impetus.


China: Focus Is on Spurring Growth, Stability Could Be Sacrificed