Economist, Centennial Asia Advisors

Nigel Chiang

Centennial Asia Advisors deliver timely and accurate economic and political analysis to investors, focused on anticipating key turning points that affect the client’s interests in the Asia-Pacific region. Clients include public agencies and central banks, as well as fund managers and investment banks. The company draws strength from its flexibility to tailor products to fit client’s specific interests. It provides detailed macro-economic forecasts, scenario analysis and timely assessments of how specific major economic and political developments may affect a client’s areas of interest. At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way.

Economist

China: Mounting Challenges to Compel Far-Reaching Policy Changes

China: Taking the Pulse of the Economy Heading into 2Q22

China: A Moment of Danger – and a Turning Point for Policy?

China 13th National People Congress Government Work Report: A Fiscal-Led Recovery in 2022

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Growth in GDP, industrial production and investment was stronger than expected in 1Q22. But, consumption was severely hit and the portents are for sharply slower growth in 2Q22.</li>
<li>Home sales contracted despite easier credit &amp; local govt support, evidence of impaired consumer psychology. A negative feedback loop is developing: poor household sentiment impacts property demand &amp; thus investment.</li>
<li>Policy response is critical yet appears to fall short of what is needed to stabilise growth. The authorities favour supply-side measures e.g., tax cuts over demand boosts e.g. cash grants.</li>
</ul>


Growth in GDP, industrial production and investment was stronger than expected in 1Q22. But, consumption was severely hit and the portents are for sharply slower growth in 2Q22.
Home sales contracted despite easier credit &amp; local govt support, evidence of impaired consumer psychology. A negative feedback loop is developing: poor household sentiment impacts property demand &amp; thus investment.
Policy response is critical yet appears to fall short of what is needed to stabilise growth. The authorities favour supply-side measures e.g., tax cuts over demand boosts e.g. cash grants.


China: Downward Pressures Evident; Policy Response Falling Short