Economist, Centennial Asia Advisors

Nigel Chiang

Centennial Asia Advisors deliver timely and accurate economic and political analysis to investors, focused on anticipating key turning points that affect the client’s interests in the Asia-Pacific region. Clients include public agencies and central banks, as well as fund managers and investment banks. The company draws strength from its flexibility to tailor products to fit client’s specific interests. It provides detailed macro-economic forecasts, scenario analysis and timely assessments of how specific major economic and political developments may affect a client’s areas of interest. At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way.

Economist

China: Downward Pressures Evident; Policy Response Falling Short

China: Mounting Challenges to Compel Far-Reaching Policy Changes

China 13th National People Congress Government Work Report: A Fiscal-Led Recovery in 2022

China: Incrementally More Optimistic on GDP Growth in 2022

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Despite harsh restrictions, the trajectory of infections in Shanghai appears to be following that in Hong Kong. We also expect infections spikes in other localities that will spark more lockdowns.</li>
<li>There is a clear shift in tone in recent statements made by the State Council that indicated rising worry over the state of the economy. More stimulus is virtually certain.</li>
<li>If China’s policymakers fail to follow through with demand-side measures, the institutional barriers to doing so must be so considerable that even in crisis they militate against the optimal response.</li>
</ul>


Despite harsh restrictions, the trajectory of infections in Shanghai appears to be following that in Hong Kong. We also expect infections spikes in other localities that will spark more lockdowns.
There is a clear shift in tone in recent statements made by the State Council that indicated rising worry over the state of the economy. More stimulus is virtually certain.
If China’s policymakers fail to follow through with demand-side measures, the institutional barriers to doing so must be so considerable that even in crisis they militate against the optimal response.


China: A Moment of Danger – and a Turning Point for Policy?