Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. 

I'm a highly experienced sell-side analyst with in excess of 22 years of covering Asia Pacific equities, the past 19 years immersed in event strategies encompassing M&A risk arbitrage, directional long/short, stub trades and restructuring.  

My background also includes accountancy (liquidation/bankruptcy/receivership) earlier in my career and as a chief financial officer of a global commodity company based in the US and Mexico.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

China Conch Venture (586 HK): Waste Treatment Spin-Off

StubWorld: China Conch Venture (586 HK) Trading Rich

China Conch Venture (586 HK): Last Day Of Entitlement

StubWorld: Waste Not, Want Not. China Conch Venture's All-Time Low

StubWorld: China Conch At 2-Year Low Vs Anhui Conch

StubWorld: China Conch's Fully Priced Rump

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

China Conch Venture Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-conch-venture-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19943:1" rel="noopener">China Conch Venture Holdings (586 HK)</a>'s stub ops are coming into their own.
Those ops accounted for an estimated 10% of earnings in FY18, increasing to ~18% last year. Based on forecast estimates, those operations may contribute over 30% of the bottom-line in FY22E.
A recent acquisition of solid waste treatment business resulting in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/west-china-cement-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9423:1" rel="noopener">West China Cement (2233 HK)</a> becoming a minority shareholder lends a further degree of support for CCV. 
In contrast, 17.8%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-conch-cement-co-ltd-094855ab-abec-4b71-956b-5bfc85e22fdd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:389:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd A (600585 CH)</a>, China’s second-largest cement producer, is expected to grow the slowest amongst its cement peers over the next couple of years. An expected index deletion and China clamping down on excess debt is not helping.
CCV's discount to NAV is around its narrowest in the last 12-months, yet this looks too early to call a reversal.
More below the fold.

China Conch Venture Holdings (586 HK)'s stub ops are coming into their own.
Those ops accounted for an estimated 10% of earnings in FY18, increasing to ~18% last year. Based on forecast estimates, those operations may contribute over 30% of the bottom-line in FY22E.
A recent acquisition of solid waste treatment business resulting in West China Cement (2233 HK) becoming a minority shareholder lends a further degree of support for CCV. 
In contrast, 17.8%-held Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd A (600585 CH), China’s second-largest cement producer, is expected to grow the slowest amongst its cement peers over the next couple of years. An expected index deletion and China clamping down on excess debt is not helping.
CCV's discount to NAV is around its narrowest in the last 12-months, yet this looks too early to call a reversal.
More below the fold.

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) (600887 CH)

Wuhu Conch Profiles And Science Co., (000619 CH)

China Conch Venture (586 HK): Stub Ops Momentum