Independent Economist, Forecaster and Strategist

Thomas Lam

Tom has over two decades of experience in the realm of economics and finance, with expertise ranging from covering the global economy, deciphering financial markets, including macro forecasting, to advising on investment strategy.

He commenced his career in New York, initially at a large money-center bank and then at a hedge fund.  Thereafter, while in Singapore, he worked at two financial institutions and later joined academia.  

Tom has been consistently ranked among the top five most accurate economists in the world on forecasting the US economy overall (placed third, last published by the “Bloomberg Rankings of Top Forecasters”).  During the Global Financial Crisis, he was also acknowledged as the second-best US forecaster worldwide.  

Moreover, he was exclusively identified by Bloomberg to have accurately predicted the onset of the 2009 US recovery 16 months ahead of the official announcement.  Consequently, he has been widely publicized as one of “Wall Street’s Most Prophetic Economists”.

Fed Snap (Jan 31 Meeting): Current & Future Takeaways

A Unique High-Frequency Indicator of Recessions

Charting Beyond the Equity Market Headlines

China Housing: Demand-Supply Fundamentals - Part #3: Solving The Construction Indicators Puzzle

Will Euro Shrink to Parity to the Dollar on Diverging Macro Economic Conditions?

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The upcoming US elections and eventual Fed pivot may sway the stock market positively</li>
<li>But the different states of the US business cycle can prospectively instigate different equity market outcomes</li>
<li>Hence, it is important to monitor the roughly coincident or almost contemporaneous risk of a recession in the US for potential clues</li>
</ul>


The upcoming US elections and eventual Fed pivot may sway the stock market positively
But the different states of the US business cycle can prospectively instigate different equity market outcomes
Hence, it is important to monitor the roughly coincident or almost contemporaneous risk of a recession in the US for potential clues


Charting Beyond the Sanguine Stock Market