Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

A buy-side analyst with over 15 years of experience investing in Asian markets and specializing in the mid-small cap space, emphasizing value investing in companies with good free cash flows/dividends and long-term holding horizons. 
Exempt Financial Adviser (EFA) under CrossASEAN Research Pte Ltd. It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

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Iron Ore Tracker (19-Aug-2024): Major Testing Point of 95 USD/Ton, Broken For Iron Ore

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Iron Ore Primer: Understanding The Drivers Of the Market, Ways To Play The Sector

Champion Iron (CIA CN): Another Expansion Iron Ore Pure Play on High-Grade Ore

Kumba Iron Ore (KIO SJ): Net Cash Iron Ore Player With High ROCE

Mount Gibson (MGX AU): Iron Ore Pure Play, 77% of the Mkt Cap in Cash, 0.5x EV-EBITDA With Catalysts

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Commodities

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/champion-iron-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19734:1" rel="noopener">Champion Iron (CIA AU)</a> reported an inline result for FY24, with revenue/profits up 9%/16% YoY.  Q4 revenue/profits were -28%YoY/-73%YoY due to lower pricing on 60% of volumes in transit. </li>
<li>The company-guided production volumes have reached the annualized 15 mnt mark, but logistics continued to be challenging in Q1. Easing is expected in August, and base case a 1.5-year destock.</li>
<li>The name carries some risks trading at 7x PE FY25 (March end), but it could be one to watch in case the 65-62 spread widens.</li>
</ul>



Champion Iron (CIA AU) reported an inline result for FY24, with revenue/profits up 9%/16% YoY.  Q4 revenue/profits were -28%YoY/-73%YoY due to lower pricing on 60% of volumes in transit. 
The company-guided production volumes have reached the annualized 15 mnt mark, but logistics continued to be challenging in Q1. Easing is expected in August, and base case a 1.5-year destock.
The name carries some risks trading at 7x PE FY25 (March end), but it could be one to watch in case the 65-62 spread widens.


Champion Iron (CIA AU): Q4 Results Update and Future Outlook