Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Shyam Devani provides key market commentary encompassing analysis of Foreign Exchange, Fixed Income, Commodities, and Equities globally – both in G10 and Local Markets. He takes a multi asset class approach incorporating fundamental, behavioural, and historical trends as well as technical signals.

Shyam has delivered strategic market insights to a number of trading desks and institutional clients internationally (funds/corporates/banks) through written publications, presentations, face to face meetings and conferences. He has had numerous appearances on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Singapore Radio providing his short and medium term views on markets while being the front office media commentator during his time at Citi.

He has been commentating on financial markets since 2004. Since 2006, he was running one of Citi’s top market products, CitiFXTechnicals, initially in London followed by Singapore where he took a lead role in enhancing the coverage of markets in Asia.

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

Developments over the past 24 hours have meant that US 10Y breakeven is now at its highest for more than a month. Importantly the level highlighted yesterday at 2.38% has given way. The setup now argues for a move to 2.55% - close to the trend highs seen in MayUnless nominal yields rise by more than 15bps, real yields are either going to stay unchanged at low levels or move even lower into negative territory, as they have started to do again todayAt the same time developments in China’s equity markets remain bearish which is now beginning to feed through to the currency.With Chinese and European authorities both on the dovish side, is this the time for the Fed to stay on the fence or be hawkish? Instead, could a dovish Fed provide the trigger for a weakening USD (perhaps ex USDCNH) and ultimately a rise in Gold?

Developments over the past 24 hours have meant that US 10Y breakeven is now at its highest for more than a month. Importantly the level highlighted yesterday at 2.38% has given way. The setup now argues for a move to 2.55% - close to the trend highs seen in MayUnless nominal yields rise by more than 15bps, real yields are either going to stay unchanged at low levels or move even lower into negative territory, as they have started to do again todayAt the same time developments in China’s equity markets remain bearish which is now beginning to feed through to the currency.With Chinese and European authorities both on the dovish side, is this the time for the Fed to stay on the fence or be hawkish? Instead, could a dovish Fed provide the trigger for a weakening USD (perhaps ex USDCNH) and ultimately a rise in Gold?

Bonds & FX: Here Comes Trouble