Global Macro Strategy

Callum Henderson

Macroeconomics

* The multi-year USD rally has been powerful, but in my view will gradually end and reverse this year* Fed tightening is not necessarily USD-positive and will not be this time* The global economy needs a weaker USD, which will help loosen global monetary conditions* The focus of investors has switched from short beta to relative value - 'smart alpha'* Relative value in and between EM assets adds significant alpha to benchmarked portfolios

* The multi-year USD rally has been powerful, but in my view will gradually end and reverse this year* Fed tightening is not necessarily USD-positive and will not be this time* The global economy needs a weaker USD, which will help loosen global monetary conditions* The focus of investors has switched from short beta to relative value - 'smart alpha'* Relative value in and between EM assets adds significant alpha to benchmarked portfolios

Nanjing Xinjiekou Department S (600682 CH)

China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power (600482 CH)

Chinese Universe Publishing&Media (600373 CH)

Meinian Onehealth Healthcare H (002044 CH)

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company (200625 CH)

Shenzhen Overseas Chinese (A) (000069 CH)

Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Company Ltd (3948 HK)

Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co, Ltd. (600037 CH)

Songcheng Performance Development (300144 CH)

Anhui Zhongding Sealing Parts Co, Ltd. (000887 CH)

Belle International Holdings (2129452D HK)

Sichuan Changhong Electric Co, Ltd. (600839 CH)

Asia Calling: Relative Value in EM - From Short Beta to Smart Alpha