Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Being invited, I joined Sellside, i.e. JPMorgan, Nomura and Macquarie, totally around 9-10 years. Before that, I joined International Data Corp (https://www.idc.com/) to be the Asia Semiconductor analyst for nearly 2 years, and being invited to do personal lectures in TSMC, UMC, Samsung and etc. In my working experiences, I also had the chance to join Taiwanese panel company, AUO (2409.TT) and the buyside, Chinalife (2823.TT), totally for over 1 year.
I obtained MS degree from the Tsing-Hua University. Then I worked in the Taiwan Semiconductor companies for around 11 years. I had several US patents during my stay in the Semiconductor industry.

Being worked in the sellside and buyside, I deeply dived in the Greater China Semiconductor industry and directly covered some companies, like TSMC (2330.TT, TSM.US), UMC (2303.TT, UMC.US), Vanguard (5347.TT), ASE (3711.TT, ASX.US), SPIL (merged with ASE and delisted), KYEC ( 2449.TT), JCET (600584.CH), ASMPT (522.HK), GWC (6488.TT), WinSemi (3105.TT), Mediatek (2454.TT), Silergy (6415.TT), Novatek (3034.TT), Guoxin Micro (002049.CH) etc.

ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): 1Q24F Results Were Better, and the Outlook for 2024F Was Very Positive.

ASEH (3017.TT; ASX.US): ​Selective Products Have Hit Bottom While General Products Lag Behind.

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Equity Bottom-Up

ASE Technology Holding   / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 4Q24 EMS is expected to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage QoQ in 4Q24, while ATM sales are expected to grow slightly QoQ.</li>
<li>General market hasn’t recovered yet.2024 outlook still seems lukewarm. 2024 market excluding HPC and AI is indeed down YoY. Only AI and leading edge product demand is robust.</li>
<li>Expects 2025 general market demand to have better recovery, more leading edge business opportunities and higher testing sales mix to help GM go up.</li>
</ul>


The 4Q24 EMS is expected to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage QoQ in 4Q24, while ATM sales are expected to grow slightly QoQ.
General market hasn’t recovered yet.2024 outlook still seems lukewarm. 2024 market excluding HPC and AI is indeed down YoY. Only AI and leading edge product demand is robust.
Expects 2025 general market demand to have better recovery, more leading edge business opportunities and higher testing sales mix to help GM go up.


Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

ASEH (3711.TT; ASX.US): The Overall 4Q24 Trend Is Slightly Downward QoQ.