Independent Economist, Forecaster and Strategist

Thomas Lam

Tom has over two decades of experience in the realm of economics and finance, with expertise ranging from covering the global economy, deciphering financial markets, including macro forecasting, to advising on investment strategy.

He commenced his career in New York, initially at a large money-center bank and then at a hedge fund.  Thereafter, while in Singapore, he worked at two financial institutions and later joined academia.  

Tom has been consistently ranked among the top five most accurate economists in the world on forecasting the US economy overall (placed third, last published by the “Bloomberg Rankings of Top Forecasters”).  During the Global Financial Crisis, he was also acknowledged as the second-best US forecaster worldwide.  

Moreover, he was exclusively identified by Bloomberg to have accurately predicted the onset of the 2009 US recovery 16 months ahead of the official announcement.  Consequently, he has been widely publicized as one of “Wall Street’s Most Prophetic Economists”.

Fed Snap (May 1 Meeting): Current & Future Takeaways

Fed Snap (March 20 Meeting): Current & Future Takeaways

Financial Considerations Amid the Fed Debate

China Housing: Demand-Supply Fundamentals - Part #3: Solving The Construction Indicators Puzzle

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The ongoing Fed pause puts emphasis on the interactions between financial conditions and headline growth  </li>
<li>My proprietary measure of financial market conditions seems to be broadly consistent with the Fed Board’s indicator of financial conditions   </li>
<li>Chair Powell alluded to the prospect that financial conditions are currently "weighing on economic activity"    </li>
</ul>


The ongoing Fed pause puts emphasis on the interactions between financial conditions and headline growth  
My proprietary measure of financial market conditions seems to be broadly consistent with the Fed Board’s indicator of financial conditions   
Chair Powell alluded to the prospect that financial conditions are currently "weighing on economic activity"    


Are Chair Powell and I on the Same Page?