External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ZTO Express (ZTO)’s core net profit in 2023 came in at RMB8.5bn (up 28% YoY), in line with our expectation.</li><li>Looking forward, ZTO targets to achieve 15- 18% parcel volume growth in 2024E, versus estimated industry growth of ~10%.</li><li>More importantly, ZTO set a dividend payout target of 40% starting from 2024E and dividend will be paid on a semi-annual basis. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ZTO Express (ZTO)’s core net profit in 2023 came in at RMB8.5bn (up 28% YoY), in line with our expectation.Looking forward, ZTO targets to achieve 15- 18% parcel volume growth in 2024E, versus estimated industry growth of ~10%.More importantly, ZTO set a dividend payout target of 40% starting from 2024E and dividend will be paid on a semi-annual basis. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ZTO Express (2057 HK) - Higher Dividend Pay-Out Target and Expanded Share Buyback Scale

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US listed China companies.</li>
<li>The Hong Kong visit was on the back of the 26th Aug 2022 announcement by PCAOB and CSRC that they had entered into an agreement with US authorities for access.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments, possible outcomes and implications.</li>
</ul>


PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US listed China companies.
The Hong Kong visit was on the back of the 26th Aug 2022 announcement by PCAOB and CSRC that they had entered into an agreement with US authorities for access.
In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments, possible outcomes and implications.


China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

<ul><li>ZTO’s revenue/ net profit in 3Q23 came in at RMB9.08bn/ RMB2.35bn, up 1.5%/21% YoY, on the back of excellent cost control that offset the ASP decline.</li><li>While the full-year parcel volume growth guidance of 20-24% YoY is maintained, the 1.5ppt market share gain target is removed as ZTO chose to avoid unprofitable volume amid the price competition.</li><li>While we continue to like ZTO’s strong execution and cost advantage, we are incrementally concerned about a potential transformation of price competition to price war. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ZTO’s revenue/ net profit in 3Q23 came in at RMB9.08bn/ RMB2.35bn, up 1.5%/21% YoY, on the back of excellent cost control that offset the ASP decline.While the full-year parcel volume growth guidance of 20-24% YoY is maintained, the 1.5ppt market share gain target is removed as ZTO chose to avoid unprofitable volume amid the price competition.While we continue to like ZTO’s strong execution and cost advantage, we are incrementally concerned about a potential transformation of price competition to price war. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ZTO Express (2057 HK) – Good Execution but Rising Concerns on Price Competition

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zto-express-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33488:1" rel="noopener">ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK)</a>'s impressive 1H23 and 2Q23 results are only reflections of its competitive strengths. We believe the company is poised to generate even better profitability. </li>
<li>Its market share expansion, excellent cost management, positive volume growth, new business initiatives and solid net cash position are all strengths that drive long-term outlook.</li>
<li>While trading on premium vs. peers, ZTO's PER valuations are well justified by its leadership position, healthy financial position, and high EPS CAGR for FY23-FY25F.</li>
</ul>



ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK)'s impressive 1H23 and 2Q23 results are only reflections of its competitive strengths. We believe the company is poised to generate even better profitability. 
Its market share expansion, excellent cost management, positive volume growth, new business initiatives and solid net cash position are all strengths that drive long-term outlook.
While trading on premium vs. peers, ZTO's PER valuations are well justified by its leadership position, healthy financial position, and high EPS CAGR for FY23-FY25F.


ZTO Express (2057 HK/​​ZTO US): Rock Solid Competitive Position

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Based on returns and margins, US-listed Full Truck Alliance is best comp</li>
<li>Lalatech probably deserves premium valuation multiples vs Full Truck Alliance </li>
<li>An equity valuation of US$11bn+ justifiable; will investors look at recent flops?</li>
</ul>


Based on returns and margins, US-listed Full Truck Alliance is best comp
Lalatech probably deserves premium valuation multiples vs Full Truck Alliance 
An equity valuation of US$11bn+ justifiable; will investors look at recent flops?


Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable

China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. operates as an express delivery company. The Company provides express delivery service through their nationwide network, as well as other value-added logistics services. ZTO Express serves customers globally.

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ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK)

China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US...

Sumeet Singh

ZTO Express (2057 HK) – Good Execution but Rising Concerns on Price Competition

ZTO’s revenue/ net profit in 3Q23 came in at RMB9.08bn/ RMB2.35bn, up 1.5%/21% YoY, on the back of excellent cost control that offset the ASP decline.

CMB International

ZTO Express (2057 HK/ZTO US): Rock Solid Competitive Position

Market share expansion, cost management, volume growth, new initiatives, and solid net cash contribute to ZTO's outlook. Its leadership position...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable

What are the best comps for Lalatech, which valuation multiples should we focus on, and does the company deserve a premium valuation relative to...

Tracking Traffic

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ZTO Express (2057 HK) - Higher Dividend Pay-Out Target and Expanded Share Buyback Scale

More importantly, ZTO set a dividend payout target of 40% starting from 2024E and dividend will be paid on a semi-annual basis.

CMB International

China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US...

Sumeet Singh

ZTO Express (2057 HK) – Good Execution but Rising Concerns on Price Competition

ZTO’s revenue/ net profit in 3Q23 came in at RMB9.08bn/ RMB2.35bn, up 1.5%/21% YoY, on the back of excellent cost control that offset the ASP decline.

CMB International

ZTO Express (2057 HK/​​ZTO US): Rock Solid Competitive Position

Market share expansion, cost management, volume growth, new initiatives, and solid net cash contribute to ZTO's outlook. Its leadership position...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Lalatech IPO: Using YMM:US as Main Comp, Equity Valuation of US$11-12 Bn (Or More) Justifiable

What are the best comps for Lalatech, which valuation multiples should we focus on, and does the company deserve a premium valuation relative to...

Tracking Traffic

ZTO Express (2057 HK/ZTO US): Rock Solid Competitive Position