Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the Brand Spanking New and Extra Spiffy H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly designed to help investors see the relationships easily. We used to do it. </li>
<li>We decided to bring it back better. There are lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 19 Trade Recommendations. </li>
<li>We hope this new version serves readers even better. Feedback is actively solicited to see if we can improve it from here. </li>
</ul>


This is the Brand Spanking New and Extra Spiffy H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly designed to help investors see the relationships easily. We used to do it. 
We decided to bring it back better. There are lots of cool interactive tables, and charts, heat maps, and comparative data. And 19 Trade Recommendations. 
We hope this new version serves readers even better. Feedback is actively solicited to see if we can improve it from here. 


The Brand Spanking New Extra Spiffy 🦄H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly (As of 11 Aug 2023)

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Our list of HK-listed industrial companies indicated that the US generated an average of 22.9% of sales. With diversified production bases, higher tariffs may only affect ~10% of revenue.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chervon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35309:1" rel="noopener">Chervon Holdings (2285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aac-technologies-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6544:1" rel="noopener">AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)</a> are more exposed given their significant US sales yet most production is still in China. </li>
<li>While the US generated over 50% of the revenue of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Industries (669 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexteer-automotive-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15483:1" rel="noopener">Nexteer Automotive (1316 HK)</a>, they are less exposed given their worldwide manufacturing presence. </li>
</ul>


Our list of HK-listed industrial companies indicated that the US generated an average of 22.9% of sales. With diversified production bases, higher tariffs may only affect ~10% of revenue.

Vesync (2148 HK), Chervon Holdings (2285 HK), and AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK) are more exposed given their significant US sales yet most production is still in China. 
While the US generated over 50% of the revenue of Techtronic Industries (669 HK) and Nexteer Automotive (1316 HK), they are less exposed given their worldwide manufacturing presence. 


China & HK Strategy: Stocks Exposed to the US and Higher Tariffs

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity still high. Net buying very strong. 7 names traded more than US$1bn. Last week I said tech would continue to be bought. It was.</li>
<li>The trend continues to net sales of ETFs and high div SOEs. Net buying is very, very broad-based. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a> is batted around like crazy.</li>
<li>I expect HK-listed tech to <em>continue</em> getting bought. Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, etc are safe havens against Trump tariffs as they don't compete in the US.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity still high. Net buying very strong. 7 names traded more than US$1bn. Last week I said tech would continue to be bought. It was.
The trend continues to net sales of ETFs and high div SOEs. Net buying is very, very broad-based. Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK) is batted around like crazy.
I expect HK-listed tech to continue getting bought. Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, etc are safe havens against Trump tariffs as they don't compete in the US.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Nov 2024); Tech Bought, High-Div SOEs Sold or Ignored, Again

Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

<ul>
<li>SAMR would draw out review process for too long for a deal to be approved</li>
<li>Intel faces an existential crisis and even the new Foundry division has issues</li>
<li>A theoretical deal would have little financial synergy and destroy Qualcomm's gross margins</li>
</ul>


SAMR would draw out review process for too long for a deal to be approved
Intel faces an existential crisis and even the new Foundry division has issues
A theoretical deal would have little financial synergy and destroy Qualcomm's gross margins


Tech M&A: Qualcomm for Intel? No Chance. Here's Why.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 26th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,578.2 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, health care, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 26th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,578.2 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, health care, utilities.
We highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology.


Northbound Flows (Jul 26th): Zijin Mining, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology

China

ZTE Corporation develops and markets switches, access servers, videoconferencing systems, mobile communication systems, data communication devices, and optical communication devices.  The Company also offers networking solutions for setup, refurbishment and optimization of networks.

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Zte Corp A (000063 CH)

China & HK Strategy: Stocks Exposed to the US and Higher Tariffs

US tariffs may only affect an average of ~10% revenue of HK-listed industrials on a net basis. Vesync, Chervon, and AAC Technologies look exposed...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Nov 2024); Tech Bought, High-Div SOEs Sold or Ignored, Again

SOUTHBOUND continues to be a big net buyer of HK stocks. It is possible investors are looking to cheap tech, possible they are looking to buybacks....

Travis Lundy

Tech M&A: Qualcomm for Intel? No Chance. Here's Why.

China SAMR's lengthy review process would hinder deal approval, Intel's existential crisis includes issues in new Foundry division, theoretical...

Neil Campling

Northbound Flows (Jul 26th): Zijin Mining, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Brand Spanking New Extra Spiffy 🦄H/A-Share Discount/Premium Weekly (As of 11 Aug 2023)

Quiddity's New & Improved And Really Quite Spiffy H/A Discount Monitor. All the H/A Pairs, universe & sector metrics, with interactive tables and...

Travis Lundy

China & HK Strategy: Stocks Exposed to the US and Higher Tariffs

​US tariffs may only affect an average of ~10% revenue of HK-listed industrials on a net basis. Vesync, Chervon, and AAC Technologies look exposed...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 15 Nov 2024); Tech Bought, High-Div SOEs Sold or Ignored, Again

SOUTHBOUND continues to be a big net buyer of HK stocks. It is possible investors are looking to cheap tech, possible they are looking to buybacks....

Travis Lundy

Tech M&A: Qualcomm for Intel? No Chance. Here's Why.

​China SAMR's lengthy review process would hinder deal approval, Intel's existential crisis includes issues in new Foundry division, theoretical...

Neil Campling

Northbound Flows (Jul 26th): Zijin Mining, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

US tariffs may only affect an average of ~10% revenue of HK-listed industrials on a net basis. Vesync, Chervon, and AAC Technologies look exposed...

China SAMR's lengthy review process would hinder deal approval, Intel's existential crisis includes issues in new Foundry division, theoretical...