Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Alibaba, Kuaishou, Anta, HKEx, China Resource Land, China Telecom, and outflows from Meituan, Tencent, CNOOC, Xiaomi, China Mobile. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Alibaba, Kuaishou, Anta, HKEx, China Resource Land, China Telecom, and outflows from Meituan, Tencent, CNOOC, Xiaomi, China Mobile. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep): Weak Inflows Ex-Alibaba

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 26th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile, CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 26th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile, CNOOC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 26th): Alibaba, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Tencent

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released a full set of construction machinery sales data for Aug 2024.</li><li>For export, overall speaking, sales remained resilient with growth across the major products (except tower crane and crawler crane).</li><li>In China, except for excavators and wheel loaders (data released last week [link]), major machinery sales decline further deteriorated, given the continuous decline in property construction activities and growth concern over other downstream segments. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released a full set of construction machinery sales data for Aug 2024.For export, overall speaking, sales remained resilient with growth across the major products (except tower crane and crawler crane).In China, except for excavators and wheel loaders (data released last week [link]), major machinery sales decline further deteriorated, given the continuous decline in property construction activities and growth concern over other downstream segments. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - Construction Machinery Sales in Aug: Resilient for Export, Deterioration in China

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Industry wheel loader sales rose 15.2% in Aug, continuing the healthy momentum. A low base in 2H24 will be another favourable factor, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lonking-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3944:1" rel="noopener">Lonking Holdings (3339 HK)</a> is well placed.   </li>
<li>Forklift outlook will stay strong and serve as a growth engine. There is also a significant pick-up in demand for industry excavator sales in Jul and Aug.</li>
<li>Net cash amounted to 81% of the share price. Including investments, it will increase to 118%. Conservative FY24 consensus earnings forecast means potential upside surprise.</li>
</ul>


Industry wheel loader sales rose 15.2% in Aug, continuing the healthy momentum. A low base in 2H24 will be another favourable factor, and Lonking Holdings (3339 HK) is well placed.   
Forklift outlook will stay strong and serve as a growth engine. There is also a significant pick-up in demand for industry excavator sales in Jul and Aug.
Net cash amounted to 81% of the share price. Including investments, it will increase to 118%. Conservative FY24 consensus earnings forecast means potential upside surprise.


Lonking (3339 HK): Small and Beautiful, Net Cash Equal 81% of Share Price

<ul><li>The two major earthmoving machinery, excavators and wheel loaders, saw double-digit sales volume growth in Aug, according to China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA).</li><li>Most notable is that exports of excavators grew 7% YoY to ~8k units in Aug, the first YoY growth since May 2023, an early sign of recovery.</li><li>Exports of wheel loaders remained strong with 22% growth in Aug. In China market, sales of excavators grew 18% YoY to 6.7k units in Aug, but the growth rate slowed gradually from 26%/22% in Jun/Jul. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The two major earthmoving machinery, excavators and wheel loaders, saw double-digit sales volume growth in Aug, according to China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA).Most notable is that exports of excavators grew 7% YoY to ~8k units in Aug, the first YoY growth since May 2023, an early sign of recovery.Exports of wheel loaders remained strong with 22% growth in Aug. In China market, sales of excavators grew 18% YoY to 6.7k units in Aug, but the growth rate slowed gradually from 26%/22% in Jun/Jul. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - Excavator Exports Grew for the First Time in 15 Months

China

Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd.manufactures and markets construction machinery.  The Company's products include concrete machinery, cranes, road machinery, drilling equipment, and other heavy construction equipment.  Zoomlion also produces environmental machinery and satellite navigation products.

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Zoomlion Heavy Industry H (1157 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep): Weak Inflows Ex-Alibaba

We noted 12 months of inflows for Southbound connect stocks and highlighted inflows into Alibaba, Kuaishou, Anta, HKEx, China Resource Land, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 26th): Alibaba, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Tencent,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Capital Goods - Construction Machinery Sales in Aug: Resilient for Export, Deterioration in China

For export, overall speaking, sales remained resilient with growth across the major products (except tower crane and crawler crane).

CMB International

Capital Goods - Excavator Exports Grew for the First Time in 15 Months

The two major earthmoving machinery, excavators and wheel loaders, saw double-digit sales volume growth in Aug, according to China Construction...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep): Weak Inflows Ex-Alibaba

We noted 12 months of inflows for Southbound connect stocks and highlighted inflows into Alibaba, Kuaishou, Anta, HKEx, China Resource Land, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 26th): Alibaba, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Tencent,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Capital Goods - Construction Machinery Sales in Aug: Resilient for Export, Deterioration in China

For export, overall speaking, sales remained resilient with growth across the major products (except tower crane and crawler crane).

CMB International

Lonking (3339 HK): Small and Beautiful, Net Cash Equal 81% of Share Price

​Industry wheel loader sales surged in Jul-Aug and the forklift outlook is strong. Current forecasts for Lonking are conservative with an upside...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Capital Goods - Excavator Exports Grew for the First Time in 15 Months

The two major earthmoving machinery, excavators and wheel loaders, saw double-digit sales volume growth in Aug, according to China Construction...

CMB International

Industry wheel loader sales surged in Jul-Aug and the forklift outlook is strong. Current forecasts for Lonking are conservative with an upside...