Asia Consumer Research, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Asia Consumer Research

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Capital Markets

<p>In this insight, we discuss how and why the growth outlook for the online food delivery sector in India is not as robust as online consumer retail - a fact that Zomato's buoyant valuations seem to overlook. Food delivery players like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a> can tap into only a fraction of India's rising e-Comm user base in the next several years and hence are not the best plays on India's expanding online shopper base. India's low urbanization rate, restrictive social factors, and high level of income inequality limit the penetration rate for food delivery platforms like Zomato and thus impact their pace and potential for growth in the near-to-medium term <strong>vis-a-vis</strong> online retail tech platforms. <strong>Investors need to be cognizant of these restrictive macro factors while assessing this IPO's investment worth and valuation assumptions.</strong></p><p>Zomato's IPO has received the regulator's approval and is priced at Rs72 - 76 indicating a steep increase in valuation versus its last round of fundraising in February 2021. At the upper-end, Zomato will now be valued at USD8Bn+ versus USD5.2 Bn in Feb 2021. We suspect the street's excitement over this USD1.2 Bn+ IPO is likely driven by bullish growth expectations based on India's expanding online user base as well as the brand's high visibility and recall. <strong>We believe upcoming IPOs in the online retail sector like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flipkart-online-services-private-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31076:1" rel="noopener">Flipkart, </a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nykaa-e-retail-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33469:1" rel="noopener">Nykaa E-Retail </a>could offer a more direct investment opportunity to ride the growth in India's rising online spending.</strong></p><p>Our earlier report <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zomato-s-usd-1bn-ipo-india-foodtech-s-lead-play-striking-when-the-market-is-covid-hot" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50874" rel="noopener">Zomato's USD 1Bn IPO: India Foodtech's Lead Play. Striking when the Market Is COVID-Hot.</a></strong>discussed Zomato's business basics.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/217/484/original/Screenshot+2021-07-08+at+6.24.44+PM.png?1625741192" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="217484"></figure></section>

In this insight, we discuss how and why the growth outlook for the online food delivery sector in India is not as robust as online consumer retail - a fact that Zomato's buoyant valuations seem to overlook. Food delivery players like Zomato (ZOM IN) can tap into only a fraction of India's rising e-Comm user base in the next several years and hence are not the best plays on India's expanding online shopper base. India's low urbanization rate, restrictive social factors, and high level of income inequality limit the penetration rate for food delivery platforms like Zomato and thus impact their pace and potential for growth in the near-to-medium term vis-a-vis online retail tech platforms. Investors need to be cognizant of these restrictive macro factors while assessing this IPO's investment worth and valuation assumptions.Zomato's IPO has received the regulator's approval and is priced at Rs72 - 76 indicating a steep increase in valuation versus its last round of fundraising in February 2021. At the upper-end, Zomato will now be valued at USD8Bn+ versus USD5.2 Bn in Feb 2021. We suspect the street's excitement over this USD1.2 Bn+ IPO is likely driven by bullish growth expectations based on India's expanding online user base as well as the brand's high visibility and recall. We believe upcoming IPOs in the online retail sector like Flipkart, Nykaa E-Retail could offer a more direct investment opportunity to ride the growth in India's rising online spending.Our earlier report Zomato's USD 1Bn IPO: India Foodtech's Lead Play. Striking when the Market Is COVID-Hot.discussed Zomato's business basics.

Zomato IPO: Floating High Above Sector Reality. Not a Linear Play on India's Rising EComm User Base

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a>  aims to raise US$1.3bn in its India IPO. This will be the largest listing in India from the technology sector.</p></div><div><p>Zomato operates a technology platform that provides services for restaurant partners, customers, and delivery partners. During FY20, Zomato recorded 41.5m average MAU and was one of the leading Food Services platforms in India, in terms of value of goods sold, according to RedSeer. As of 31 Dec 20, it had a presence in 526 Indian cities and had 350,174 active restaurant listings.</p></div><div>
<p>We have covered some aspects of the deal in our earlier notes  </p>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zomato-pre-ipo-filings-lack-narrative-a-little-bit-of-history-helps" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Zomato Pre-IPO - Filings Lack Narrative, a Little Bit of History Helps, </a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zomato-pre-ipo-food-delivery-revenue-was-probably-up-16x" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Zomato Pre-IPO - Food Delivery Revenue Was Probably up 16x, and</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zomato-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-listed-and-domestic" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Zomato Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Listed and Domestic</a></li>
</ul>
</div><p>In this note, we will talk about the updates from the RHP and the deal pricing.</p>

Zomato (ZOM IN)  aims to raise US$1.3bn in its India IPO. This will be the largest listing in India from the technology sector.Zomato operates a technology platform that provides services for restaurant partners, customers, and delivery partners. During FY20, Zomato recorded 41.5m average MAU and was one of the leading Food Services platforms in India, in terms of value of goods sold, according to RedSeer. As of 31 Dec 20, it had a presence in 526 Indian cities and had 350,174 active restaurant listings.
We have covered some aspects of the deal in our earlier notes  

Zomato Pre-IPO - Filings Lack Narrative, a Little Bit of History Helps, 
Zomato Pre-IPO - Food Delivery Revenue Was Probably up 16x, and
Zomato Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Listed and Domestic

In this note, we will talk about the updates from the RHP and the deal pricing.

Zomato IPO - Strong 4Q21, Has a Very Long Runway

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a> is a leading food delivery platform in India. Zomato has two core business-to-customer (B2C) offerings which are Food delivery and Dining-out. It also has a business-to-business (B2B) offering called Hyperpure and Zomato Pro, the customer loyalty program which encompasses both food delivery and dining-out. Zomato’s key shareholders are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/info-edge-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14461:1" rel="noopener">Info Edge India (INFOE IN)</a> (18.55% of outstanding shares), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uber-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:430:1" rel="noopener">Uber (UBER US)</a> (9.1%) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ant-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24240:1" rel="noopener">Ant Financial Services Group (6688 HK)</a>.  </p><p>Zomato is expected to launch its IPO on 19 July to raise up to Rs93.75 billion ($1.3 billion) with a primary/secondary split of 96%/4%, according to press reports. The selling shareholder is Info Edge. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>Zomato will be a landmark IPO in India as it the first large new economy technology platform to list. The food delivery market in India is attractive to the large addressable opportunity. While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US)</a> entered the market last year, the food delivery market in India is effectively a duopoly between Zomato and Swiggy. Zomato claims to be larger but the key differentiator will be execution to drive growth with positive unit economics. On this front, Zomato has demonstrated a commendable track record. Overall, we think that Zomato's fundamentals are attractive. </p></div>

Zomato (ZOM IN) is a leading food delivery platform in India. Zomato has two core business-to-customer (B2C) offerings which are Food delivery and Dining-out. It also has a business-to-business (B2B) offering called Hyperpure and Zomato Pro, the customer loyalty program which encompasses both food delivery and dining-out. Zomato’s key shareholders are Info Edge India (INFOE IN) (18.55% of outstanding shares), Uber (UBER US) (9.1%) and Ant Financial Services Group (6688 HK).  Zomato is expected to launch its IPO on 19 July to raise up to Rs93.75 billion ($1.3 billion) with a primary/secondary split of 96%/4%, according to press reports. The selling shareholder is Info Edge. Zomato will be a landmark IPO in India as it the first large new economy technology platform to list. The food delivery market in India is attractive to the large addressable opportunity. While Amazon.com Inc (AMZN US) entered the market last year, the food delivery market in India is effectively a duopoly between Zomato and Swiggy. Zomato claims to be larger but the key differentiator will be execution to drive growth with positive unit economics. On this front, Zomato has demonstrated a commendable track record. Overall, we think that Zomato's fundamentals are attractive. 

Zomato IPO Initiation: Emerging Appetites

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a>  aims to raise US$1.1bn in its upcoming India IPO, which will be launched next week. This would be the largest listing in India from the technology sector.</p></div><div><p>Zomato operates a technology platform that provides services for restaurant partners, customers, and delivery partners. During FY20, Zomato recorded 41.5m average MAU and was one of the leading Food Services platforms in India, in terms of value of goods sold, according to RedSeer. As of 31 Dec 20, it had a presence in 526 Indian cities and had 350,174 active restaurant listings.</p></div><div><p>We have covered some aspects of the deal in our earlier notes  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zomato-pre-ipo-filings-lack-narrative-a-little-bit-of-history-helps" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Zomato Pre-IPO - Filings Lack Narrative, a Little Bit of History Helps </a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zomato-pre-ipo-food-delivery-revenue-was-probably-up-16x" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Zomato Pre-IPO - Food Delivery Revenue Was Probably up 16x.</a></p></div><div><p>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with its global peers and its main local peer.</p></div>

Zomato (ZOM IN)  aims to raise US$1.1bn in its upcoming India IPO, which will be launched next week. This would be the largest listing in India from the technology sector.Zomato operates a technology platform that provides services for restaurant partners, customers, and delivery partners. During FY20, Zomato recorded 41.5m average MAU and was one of the leading Food Services platforms in India, in terms of value of goods sold, according to RedSeer. As of 31 Dec 20, it had a presence in 526 Indian cities and had 350,174 active restaurant listings.We have covered some aspects of the deal in our earlier notes  Zomato Pre-IPO - Filings Lack Narrative, a Little Bit of History Helps and Zomato Pre-IPO - Food Delivery Revenue Was Probably up 16x.In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with its global peers and its main local peer.

Zomato Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Listed and Domestic

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Private Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/roofoods-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27468:1" rel="noopener">Deliveroo (ROO LN)</a> 's IPO debut and its ESG related backlash should provide valuable lessons to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOM IN)</a> which is expected to open for subscription in less than two weeks.</p>
<p>Deliveroo's ESG concerns especially the poor treatment of delivery workers were one of the prominent reasons for ROO's flop debut. In this insight, we address the key ESG concerns ZOM should address and improve its ESG disclosures as it prepares to hit the capital markets.</p>

Deliveroo (ROO LN) 's IPO debut and its ESG related backlash should provide valuable lessons to Zomato (ZOM IN) which is expected to open for subscription in less than two weeks.
Deliveroo's ESG concerns especially the poor treatment of delivery workers were one of the prominent reasons for ROO's flop debut. In this insight, we address the key ESG concerns ZOM should address and improve its ESG disclosures as it prepares to hit the capital markets.

Zomato (ZOM IN) | How to Avoid a Deliveroo

India

Zomato Limited is an online restaurant guide and food ordering platform. The Company offers platform connects customers, restaurant partners and delivery partners to search and discover restaurants, read and write customer generated reviews, order food delivery, book a table, and make payments while dining-out at restaurants. Zomato serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Zomato (ZOMATO IN)

Zomato IPO: Floating High Above Sector Reality. Not a Linear Play on India's Rising EComm User Base

IPO valuations ignore that the growth outlook for the online food delivery sector in India is not as robust as online consumer retail. Projections...

Devi Subhakesan

Zomato IPO - Strong 4Q21, Has a Very Long Runway

Zomato (ZOM IN) aims to raise US$1.3bn in its India IPO. This will be the largest listing in India from the technology sector.

Sumeet Singh

Zomato IPO Initiation: Emerging Appetites

Zomato is expected to launch its IPO on 19 July to raise up to Rs93.75 billion ($1.3 billion). Overall, we think that Zomato's fundamentals are...

Arun George

Zomato Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Listed and Domestic

Zomato (ZOM IN) aims to raise US$1.1bn in its upcoming India IPO, which will be launched next week. This would be the largest listing in India...

Sumeet Singh

Zomato (ZOM IN) | How to Avoid a Deliveroo

In this insight, we address the key ESG concerns ZOM should address to improve its ESG disclosures as it prepares to hit the capital markets.

Pranav Bhavsar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)