Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

Smoore International Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China's National Team was steadily buying ETF's during and after the Third Plenum.  Southbound Connect Flows continue to be positive during July.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smoore-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28241:1" rel="noopener">Smoore International Holdings (6969 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinjiang-goldwind-science-technology-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10112:1" rel="noopener">Xinjiang Goldwind Science &amp; Technology (2208 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hisense-home-appliances-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20107:1" rel="noopener">Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. H (921 HK)</a>  benefited from positive news sentiment this week.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a> suffered on negative news, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> continued its pullback in concert with the retail food sector.</li>
</ul>


China's National Team was steadily buying ETF's during and after the Third Plenum.  Southbound Connect Flows continue to be positive during July.

Smoore International Holdings (6969 HK) , Xinjiang Goldwind Science &amp; Technology (2208 HK) and Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. H (921 HK)  benefited from positive news sentiment this week.

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) and ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK) suffered on negative news, while Meituan (3690 HK) continued its pullback in concert with the retail food sector.


The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (July 26)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a> are shoo-ins to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ltimindtree-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22778:1" rel="noopener">LTIMindtree (LTIM IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/divi-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4871:1" rel="noopener">Divi's Laboratories (DIVI IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> in September.</li>
<li>Passive <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> trackers will need to trade at least 3.3x ADV and 7.7x delivery volume on the stocks. There is some opposite flow from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> trackers.</li>
<li>Cumulative excess volume has increased in all stocks but there are some stocks where there will still be more positioning over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>



Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) and Bharat Electronics (BHE IN) are shoo-ins to replace LTIMindtree (LTIM IN) and Divi's Laboratories (DIVI IN) in the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) in September.
Passive NIFTY Index trackers will need to trade at least 3.3x ADV and 7.7x delivery volume on the stocks. There is some opposite flow from Nifty Next 50 Index trackers.
Cumulative excess volume has increased in all stocks but there are some stocks where there will still be more positioning over the next few weeks.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Flow, Big Impact, Big Positioning

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilities</li><li>So far in FY25, the benchmark indices Nifty 50, Nifty midcap 100 and Nifty Small cap 100 have delivered remarkable returns of 9%, 18% and 23% respectively</li><li>These performances follow massive returns of 29%,60% and 70% respectively generated by these indices in FY24</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilitiesSo far in FY25, the benchmark indices Nifty 50, Nifty midcap 100 and Nifty Small cap 100 have delivered remarkable returns of 9%, 18% and 23% respectivelyThese performances follow massive returns of 29%,60% and 70% respectively generated by these indices in FY24Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Earnings Vs Multiples: PE re-rating far outweighs earning upgrades

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, there were a number of listing in the past week, most of which performed as per our expectations.</li>
<li>On the placement front, Japan continued to dominate the ECM flows.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, there were a number of listing in the past week, most of which performed as per our expectations.
On the placement front, Japan continued to dominate the ECM flows.


ECM Weekly (15th July 2024) - Kokusai, Wiwynn, Kelun-Biotech, Timee, Shift Up, Sanil, Avanse

Avanse Financial Services / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avanse-financial-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43688:1" rel="noopener">Avanse Financial Services</a> is looking to raise up to US$419m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Avanse Financial Services (AFS) is an education focused non-banking financial company (NBFC) operating in India.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Avanse Financial Services is looking to raise up to US$419m in its upcoming India IPO.
Avanse Financial Services (AFS) is an education focused non-banking financial company (NBFC) operating in India.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Avanse Financial Services Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Immigration Issues

India

Zomato Limited is an online restaurant guide and food ordering platform. The Company offers platform connects customers, restaurant partners and delivery partners to search and discover restaurants, read and write customer generated reviews, order food delivery, book a table, and make payments while dining-out at restaurants. Zomato serves customers worldwide.

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Zomato (ZOMATO IN)

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (July 26)

China's National Team continued buying in the ETF market. Smoore International, Xinjiang Goldwind and Hisense had positive news sentiment, while...

David Mudd

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Flow, Big Impact, Big Positioning

There are 2 high probability changes for the NIFTY in Sep. New stocks added to the FnO list could increase the number of changes. There is big flow...

Brian Freitas

Earnings Vs Multiples: PE re-rating far outweighs earning upgrades

After a meteoric rise of benchmark indices in FY24, the bull run continues unabated in FY25, notwithstanding general election-led market volatilities

HDFC Securities

ECM Weekly (15th July 2024) - Kokusai, Wiwynn, Kelun-Biotech, Timee, Shift Up, Sanil, Avanse

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Avanse Financial Services Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Immigration Issues

Avanse Financial Services is looking to raise up to US$419m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of...

Sumeet Singh

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