Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.</li>
<li>As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.</li>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks</li>
</ul>


Since early November 2023 we have been expecting global equities (MSCI ACWI) to stage a year-end rally that would continue into the early part of 2024.
As we progress through the “early part” of 2024, more global indexes and Sectors are breaking out and starting to participate in the upside. This is classic bull market behavior.
Our outlook remains bullish; continue to ride this trend higher, and treat pullbacks as buying opportunities. Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Energy/Coal, and Polish Banks


Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Union Bank Of India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/union-bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:546:1" rel="noopener">Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN)</a> is looking to raise up to US$370m (INR30bn) via its QIP.</li>
<li>The company last undertook a QIP in Aug 2023, which we covered in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/union-bank-of-india-qip-well-flagged-deal-recent-momentum-has-been-strong" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:110979" rel="noopener">Union Bank of India QIP - Well-Flagged Deal, Recent Momentum Has Been Strong</a>.</li>
<li>This deal too is a very well flagged one, with the firm having earlier reported that it would look to do a QIP to boost its free float and capital.</li>
</ul>



Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN) is looking to raise up to US$370m (INR30bn) via its QIP.
The company last undertook a QIP in Aug 2023, which we covered in Union Bank of India QIP - Well-Flagged Deal, Recent Momentum Has Been Strong.
This deal too is a very well flagged one, with the firm having earlier reported that it would look to do a QIP to boost its free float and capital.


Union Bank of India QIP - Well-Flagged and Just in Time for Index Inclusion

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/juniper-hotels" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40186:1" rel="noopener">Juniper Hotels</a> is looking to raise up to US$217m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>Juniper Hotels is the largest owner by no. of keys of Hyatt affiliated hotels in India as of 2Q23 (30th Jun 23), according to Horwath.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we provide our thoughts on valuations.</li>
</ul>



Juniper Hotels is looking to raise up to US$217m in its upcoming India IPO.
Juniper Hotels is the largest owner by no. of keys of Hyatt affiliated hotels in India as of 2Q23 (30th Jun 23), according to Horwath.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we provide our thoughts on valuations.


Juniper Hotels IPO - Looks Somewhat Fairly Valued

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> was back in the market, a year after ditching its previous attempt, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/juniper-hotels" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40186:1" rel="noopener">Juniper Hotels</a> is trying to ride the India wave.</li>
<li>For placements, more signs of REIT coming back to life, this time in Japan. A relatively large deal in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toei-animation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18641:1" rel="noopener">Toei Animation (4816 JP)</a> as well was launched.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, Trial Holdings (5882 JP) was back in the market, a year after ditching its previous attempt, while Juniper Hotels is trying to ride the India wave.
For placements, more signs of REIT coming back to life, this time in Japan. A relatively large deal in Toei Animation (4816 JP) as well was launched.


ECM Weekly (19th Feb 2024) - Toei Ani, KB Fin, IIF, Trial, Juniper, Bharti Hexacom, Octillion Energy

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-credit-bank-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40192:1" rel="noopener">Thai Credit Bank</a> finally ended Thailand's long dry spell, although it wasn't a happy ending.</li>
<li>For placements, REITs appear to be coming back to life with rates now having peaked.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, Thai Credit Bank finally ended Thailand's long dry spell, although it wasn't a happy ending.
For placements, REITs appear to be coming back to life with rates now having peaked.


ECM Weekly (12th Feb 2024) - Nissan/Renault, Metcash, Digital Core, SBFC, Thai Credit, Park Hotel

India

Zomato Limited is an online restaurant guide and food ordering platform. The Company offers platform connects customers, restaurant partners and delivery partners to search and discover restaurants, read and write customer generated reviews, order food delivery, book a table, and make payments while dining-out at restaurants. Zomato serves customers worldwide.

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Zomato (ZOMATO IN)

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Outlook Intact; DXY Rolling Over; Buys in Discretionary

Hong Kong/China Finally Bottoming?; Bullish Overall Outlook Intact; $DXY Rolling Over; Actionable Themes: Hong Kong/China, Consumer Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Union Bank of India QIP - Well-Flagged and Just in Time for Index Inclusion

Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN) is looking to raise up to US$370m (INR30bn) via its QIP. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Juniper Hotels IPO - Looks Somewhat Fairly Valued

Juniper Hotels is looking to raise up to US$217m in its upcoming India IPO. We have looked at the past performance earlier. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (19th Feb 2024) - Toei Ani, KB Fin, IIF, Trial, Juniper, Bharti Hexacom, Octillion Energy

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (12th Feb 2024) - Nissan/Renault, Metcash, Digital Core, SBFC, Thai Credit, Park Hotel

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)