Analyst

Steve

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Late last night (near mid-night), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kweichow-moutai-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1553:1" rel="noopener">Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH)</a> shocked the market by announcing a direct price hike on its main Feitian 53 degree product by an average of 20%. </li>
<li>The market had no expectation of such price hike as it was widely perceived that Moutai could not directly increase the ex-factory price due to regulatory pressures. </li>
<li>Moutai's Feitian ex-factory price is the key price leader for pretty much all other major Baijiu brand, directly benefiting <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (6979 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Late last night (near mid-night), Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH) shocked the market by announcing a direct price hike on its main Feitian 53 degree product by an average of 20%. 
The market had no expectation of such price hike as it was widely perceived that Moutai could not directly increase the ex-factory price due to regulatory pressures. 
Moutai's Feitian ex-factory price is the key price leader for pretty much all other major Baijiu brand, directly benefiting ZJLD Group (6979 HK).


ZJLD Group (6979 HK):  Direct Beneficiary Of Moutai Raising Ex-Factory Price

<ul>
<li>Many China consumer stocks, including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (6979 HK)</a>, have been sold off heavily in the past 6 months, primarily driven by a fear of deflation and weak consumer sentiment. </li>
<li>ZJLD Group is one of the exceptions, with fundamentals intact while share price heavily sold off. </li>
<li>Shares look attractive vs. its high growth rate and strong management team, and especially with the return of Southbound connect post holidays. </li>
</ul>


Many China consumer stocks, including ZJLD Group (6979 HK), have been sold off heavily in the past 6 months, primarily driven by a fear of deflation and weak consumer sentiment. 
ZJLD Group is one of the exceptions, with fundamentals intact while share price heavily sold off. 
Shares look attractive vs. its high growth rate and strong management team, and especially with the return of Southbound connect post holidays. 


ZJLD Group (6979 HK):  Fundamentals Intact; Share Price Wrongfully Punished

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (6979 HK)</a> held its annual general meeting last Friday (June 21). </li>
<li>The share price is down 21% in the last 30 days, mainly due to a major sector pullback.</li>
<li>I continue to expect 20% net profit growth for the company in 2024E.  The company is trading at 13x 2024E PE which I believe is attractive. </li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (6979 HK) held its annual general meeting last Friday (June 21). 
The share price is down 21% in the last 30 days, mainly due to a major sector pullback.
I continue to expect 20% net profit growth for the company in 2024E.  The company is trading at 13x 2024E PE which I believe is attractive. 


ZJLD Group (6979 HK):  AGM Takeaway + Thoughts On The Chinese Liquor Industry

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In Apr 2023, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (6979 HK)</a> raised around US$676m in its HK IPO. While it initially had a turbulent listing, the shares are now trading above its IPO price.</li>
<li>ZJLD Group (ZJLD) is a Chinese liquor company primarily producing baijiu. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the company’s past performance and future prospects.</li>
</ul>


In Apr 2023, ZJLD Group (6979 HK) raised around US$676m in its HK IPO. While it initially had a turbulent listing, the shares are now trading above its IPO price.
ZJLD Group (ZJLD) is a Chinese liquor company primarily producing baijiu. 
In this note, we will talk about the company’s past performance and future prospects.


2024 High Conviction - ZJLD - Buoyed by a Premiumisation Shift

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2023 marked our eighth year covering Equity Capital Markets in Asia Pacific. In 2023, IPOs didn’t pick up much from the low base of 2022  while placements showed upward momentum.</li>
<li>We ended 2023 with an accuracy rate of 73.7% across 57 IPOs that we covered and 79.3% across 115 placements.</li>
<li>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.</li>
</ul>


2023 marked our eighth year covering Equity Capital Markets in Asia Pacific. In 2023, IPOs didn’t pick up much from the low base of 2022  while placements showed upward momentum.
We ended 2023 with an accuracy rate of 73.7% across 57 IPOs that we covered and 79.3% across 115 placements.
For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.


Aequitas 2023 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - IPOs Forming a Low Base, Placements Pick Up

China

ZJLD Group Inc offers premium baijiu products featuring sauce aroma profile. The Company operates four major baijiu brands including flagship brand Zhen Jiu, thriving brand Li Du, as well as two regional leading brands Xiang Jiao and Kai Kou Xiao. ZJLD Group markets its products in China.

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ZJLD Group (6979 HK)