Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Dongwon Industries’ float rate is less than 10% (1 - 63.15% - 27.65% = 9.20%), which makes it ineligible for KOSPI 200. KRX will reflect this in the June review.</li>
<li>The passive outflow size due to K200 deletion is expected to be about 50 billion won, which will cause an impact of about 28x ADTV.</li>
<li>Considering this deletion has not been sufficiently exposed in the market, the actual price impact may be even more significant and preemptive.</li>
</ul>


Dongwon Industries’ float rate is less than 10% (1 - 63.15% - 27.65% = 9.20%), which makes it ineligible for KOSPI 200. KRX will reflect this in the June review.
The passive outflow size due to K200 deletion is expected to be about 50 billion won, which will cause an impact of about 28x ADTV.
Considering this deletion has not been sufficiently exposed in the market, the actual price impact may be even more significant and preemptive.


Aggressive Shorting on Dongwon Industries, Which Has Not Been Noticed as a K200 Deletion

<ul>
<li>DGB Financial Group's market cap makes it virtually impossible to get deleted even with Kakao Pay's GICS change in this June rebalancing.</li>
<li>It's unclear whether this has damaged the price impact of K200 inclusion. Nevertheless, the intensity of the pre-rebalancing flow wasn't aggressive, possibly due to the combination of factors, including this.</li>
<li>This suggests the possibility of an intense price impact resulting from a more concentrated flow right before the effective date, so we should prepare a setup that considers this.</li>
</ul>


DGB Financial Group's market cap makes it virtually impossible to get deleted even with Kakao Pay's GICS change in this June rebalancing.
It's unclear whether this has damaged the price impact of K200 inclusion. Nevertheless, the intensity of the pre-rebalancing flow wasn't aggressive, possibly due to the combination of factors, including this.
This suggests the possibility of an intense price impact resulting from a more concentrated flow right before the effective date, so we should prepare a setup that considers this.


Clarifying Market's Inaccurate Constituent Change Forecast in K200 Rebalancing with GICS Revision

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Amid sharply rising interest rates and greater economic uncertainty, the subject of loan guarantees to affiliates among Korean companies has become more important. </li>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between Shinsegae (long) and Hyundai Dept Store Co (short).</li>
<li>Four major reasons why we prefer Shinsegae vs Hyundai Dept Store include negative impact from equity spin-off, increasing leverage (including loan guarantees), valuations, and economies of scale. </li>
</ul>


Amid sharply rising interest rates and greater economic uncertainty, the subject of loan guarantees to affiliates among Korean companies has become more important. 
In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between Shinsegae (long) and Hyundai Dept Store Co (short).
Four major reasons why we prefer Shinsegae vs Hyundai Dept Store include negative impact from equity spin-off, increasing leverage (including loan guarantees), valuations, and economies of scale. 


Korea Loan Guarantees: A Pair Trade Between Shinsegae & Hyundai Dept Store

<ul>
<li>One name is screened to newly join the index. That is Kum Yang (001570 KS). With a YTD performance of over 400%, it is currently in very safe territory.</li>
<li>Two constituents stand out as likely deletes at this point: Zinus (013890 KS) and Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS). The market cap gap with the next ones in line isn't small.</li>
<li>Kum Yang's passive impact is substantially low due to the recent surge in TV. But if it moves sideways and TV stabilizes downward, we should build preemptive flow trade setups. </li>
</ul>


One name is screened to newly join the index. That is Kum Yang (001570 KS). With a YTD performance of over 400%, it is currently in very safe territory.
Two constituents stand out as likely deletes at this point: Zinus (013890 KS) and Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS). The market cap gap with the next ones in line isn't small.
Kum Yang's passive impact is substantially low due to the recent surge in TV. But if it moves sideways and TV stabilizes downward, we should build preemptive flow trade setups. 


KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Early Preview: Few Names Stand Out

<ul>
<li>It was announced after the market today (18 November) that SK Networks (001740 KS) will acquire a 40% stake in Zinus (013890 KS) for 1.1 trillion won. </li>
<li>For now, SK Networks, which is already highly leveraged, has yet to reveal exactly how it will fund this acquisition. </li>
<li>We believe that the market will have a slightly positive view on Zinus and a negative view on SK Networks in the near future based on this M&amp;A deal.</li>
</ul>


It was announced after the market today (18 November) that SK Networks (001740 KS) will acquire a 40% stake in Zinus (013890 KS) for 1.1 trillion won. 
For now, SK Networks, which is already highly leveraged, has yet to reveal exactly how it will fund this acquisition. 
We believe that the market will have a slightly positive view on Zinus and a negative view on SK Networks in the near future based on this M&amp;A deal.


SK Networks Plans to Acquire a 40% Stake in Zinus for 1.1 Trillion Won

South Korea

Ace Bed Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets bed mattresses, bed frames, and other wooden furniture.  The Company exports some of its products to Indonesia and China.

Paseco Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets household appliances, such as oil stoves, electric heaters, dishwashers, dish dryers, and refrigerators.

Hyundai Livart Co Ltd designs and manufactures furniture.  The Company produces a variety of furniture, such as bed, chair, desk, and closet used in bedroom, living room, and office.

Topfield Co., Ltd. manufactures digital set top boxes.  The Company's products include free to air receivers, personal video recorders, and common interface receivers.  Topfield provides its products mainly to overseas market.

Iriver Ltd. develops, designs, manufactures, and markets audio equipment, such as MP3 players.  The Company's products include CD type, flash memory type, and hard disk type MP3 players.  In addition, Iriver produces and sells accessories for mobile communication devices.

Thinkware Systems Corp. designs, manufactures, and markets navigational devices. The Company' products include portable navigation devices, hand-held navigation, and navigation software.  Thinkware Systems also provides location based services (LBS) through mobile networks which enables users to identify location of other users and obtain live traffic information, etc.

Anam Electronics Co., Ltd. specializes in manufacturing audio and video products, such as wide screen televisions, video cassette recorders, and DVD players.  The Company also produces digital set-top boxes that receive satellite broadcasting programs.

Shinil Industrial Co., Ltd. manufactures electric fans, ovens, rice pots, small refrigerators, pagers, electric heaters, and other household appliances.

Winix Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets heat exchangers, evaporators, condensers, and air conditioner parts.  The Company also produces water heaters, coolers, purifiers, and dehumidifiers.  Winix supplies its products mainly to appliance manufacturers.

Zaigle Co., Ltd. manufactures household cooking appliance.  The Company's products include oven range, frying pan, and grill.

Sern Kou Resources Berhad is an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures wooden and metal furniture and trades kiln-dried rubber wood.

TOA CORPORATION manufactures and sells sound and information & communication equipment.  The Company's products include loudspeakers, microphones, amplifiers, signal processors, digital mixing systems, and conference systems.

Fuji Corporation Ltd. sells single-family houses and condominiums, primarily in Osaka and Wakayama prefectures. The Company offers real estate management plans for building owners and landholders. Additionally, Fuji operates real estate brokerage and leasing businesses.

Guangdong Anjubao Digital Technology Company Limited researches, designs, produces, sells and provide services on building intercom systems, intelligent home systems and burglar alarm systems.

EG Industries Berhad is an investment holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures and sells individual speaker drivers, speaker systems, and parquet flooring. EG Industries also operates as a subcontractor for the manufacture of speaker systems received on consignment basis.

Anhui Deli Household Glass Co Ltd. manufactures glassware products. The Company supplies various products, mainly with machine blown-molded cups, machine press-molded cups, gift cups with  advertisement, kettles, vases, ashtray, sealed jar, glass bowl, candleholder and plates etc.

Action Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets high resolution color televisions (TVs) , liquid crystal display (LCD) TVs, video compact disks (VCDs), and mini televisions.  The Company markets its products under the ACTION brand  name.  Action Electronics exports its products to Europe, America, and Asia.

Zeng Hsing Industrial Co., Limited manufactures sewing machines and floor care products.

NACCO Industries, Inc. is an operating holding company. The Company's subsidiaries operate in coal mining and marketing, small electric household appliances, commercial products for restaurants, bars and hotels, and specialty retail of kitchenware and gourmet foods.

Flexsteel Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells wooden and upholstered furniture for the retail, contract, and recreational vehicle (RV) furniture markets. The Company's products are sold to furniture dealers, department stores, and RV manufacturers throughout the United States. Flexsteel also sells its products to several national chains that sell on a private label basis.

Zinus Inc. wholesales and distributes household furniture. The Company wholesales and distributes bed frames, sofas, platform beds, mattresses, and other related products. Zinus markets its products worldwide.

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Zinus (013890 KS)

Aggressive Shorting on Dongwon Industries, Which Has Not Been Noticed as a K200 Deletion

This post presents the shorting opportunity on Dongwon Industries, which will likely be deleted in the KOSPI 200 June review, as its free-float...

Sanghyun Park

Clarifying Market's Inaccurate Constituent Change Forecast in K200 Rebalancing with GICS Revision

This post clarifies the market's inaccurate constituent change forecast on the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalancing in June with the GICS revision,...

Sanghyun Park

Korea Loan Guarantees: A Pair Trade Between Shinsegae & Hyundai Dept Store

Four major reasons why we prefer Shinsegae vs Hyundai Dept Store include negative impact from equity spin-off, increasing leverage (including loan...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Early Preview: Few Names Stand Out

This post provides an early preview of the KOSPI 200 rebalancing. Several names stand out as likely constituent changes, including Kum Yang,...

Sanghyun Park

SK Networks Plans to Acquire a 40% Stake in Zinus for 1.1 Trillion Won

It was announced after the market today (18 November) that SK Networks (001740 KS) will acquire a 40% stake in Zinus (013890 KS) for 1.1 trillion won.

Douglas Kim

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