IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Hollysys Automation Technologies / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Ascendent Capital has made a <a href="https://app.quotemedia.com/data/downloadFiling?webmasterId=101533&amp;ref=317844343&amp;type=PDF&amp;symbol=HOLI&amp;cdn=eb09d796c5e38b2cb3fcc4b11a699c1a&amp;companyName=Hollysys+Automation+Technologies+Ltd.&amp;formType=SC+13D&amp;dateFiled=2023-11-06" target="_blank" rel="noopener">non-binding proposal</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a> at US$26.00 per share, a 4.0% premium to the MBO and Recco proposal of US$25.00 per share. </li>
<li>Ascendent has also become the largest shareholder by securing 13.69% of outstanding shares at an average price of A$20.84 per share. Ascendant is supportive of the special meeting request.</li>
<li>The Board has tried several delaying tactics, but the emergence of Ascendant ramps up the pressure on the Board to conduct a transparent sale process and address shareholder concerns. </li>
</ul>


Ascendent Capital has made a non-binding proposal for Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US) at US$26.00 per share, a 4.0% premium to the MBO and Recco proposal of US$25.00 per share. 
Ascendent has also become the largest shareholder by securing 13.69% of outstanding shares at an average price of A$20.84 per share. Ascendant is supportive of the special meeting request.
The Board has tried several delaying tactics, but the emergence of Ascendant ramps up the pressure on the Board to conduct a transparent sale process and address shareholder concerns. 


Hollysys (HOLI US): Ascendent Capital Joins the Fray

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a> update notes a new MBO proposal at US$25 per share, a bidders shortlist in several weeks and an update on the special meeting. </li>
<li>The update suggests several potential bidders and enough shareholders with the required record date to convene the special meeting to appoint independent directors. </li>
<li>The MBO proposal, while potentially a delaying tactic, suggests that the Board are under pressure for a solution and is aiming for a friendly takeover. </li>
</ul>



Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US) update notes a new MBO proposal at US$25 per share, a bidders shortlist in several weeks and an update on the special meeting. 
The update suggests several potential bidders and enough shareholders with the required record date to convene the special meeting to appoint independent directors. 
The MBO proposal, while potentially a delaying tactic, suggests that the Board are under pressure for a solution and is aiming for a friendly takeover. 


Hollysys (HOLI US): MBO Proposal and Updates

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a> Board succumbs to shareholder pressure by announcing the formation of a special committee to conduct a formal sale process.</li>
<li>Hollysys has received non-binding proposals from six parties since December 2020. The most recent is a non-binding proposal from the Recco consortium at US$25.00 per share.</li>
<li>The Board’s change of heart should encourage previous bidders to re-engage. Recco’s offer, while attractive, is not a knockout bid, suggesting a possible bidding war. </li>
</ul>


The Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US) Board succumbs to shareholder pressure by announcing the formation of a special committee to conduct a formal sale process.
Hollysys has received non-binding proposals from six parties since December 2020. The most recent is a non-binding proposal from the Recco consortium at US$25.00 per share.
The Board’s change of heart should encourage previous bidders to re-engage. Recco’s offer, while attractive, is not a knockout bid, suggesting a possible bidding war. 


Hollysys (HOLI US): Board Starts a Formal Sale Process

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.4% as of Sep 8th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -3.9ppt week on week, led by real estate, consumer staples, communication services and offset by consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian Power, Huaneng Power, Shanghai Elect, China Longyuan, Aluminum Corp.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 114.4% as of Sep 8th.
The average A-H premium changed by -3.9ppt week on week, led by real estate, consumer staples, communication services and offset by consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian Power, Huaneng Power, Shanghai Elect, China Longyuan, Aluminum Corp.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 8th): Huadian Power, Huaneng Power, Shanghai Electric, China Longyuan

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The Brand-Spanking New (three weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore.</li>
<li>New stimulus measures appear to be triggering FOMO on real estate stocks, but a foreshortened week, yet again, makes one wonder. There IS money being applied though.</li>
<li>I expect more measures and more buying. I am not sure I would want to be short any Hs with a deep discount to the A the next few months.</li>
</ul>


The Brand-Spanking New (three weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore.
New stimulus measures appear to be triggering FOMO on real estate stocks, but a foreshortened week, yet again, makes one wonder. There IS money being applied though.
I expect more measures and more buying. I am not sure I would want to be short any Hs with a deep discount to the A the next few months.


Quiddity A/H Premium Weekly (Sep 8):  ICBC, ABC, CCB, BOC, Vanke, NCL, Rails

China

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. provides and integrates train-borne electrical systems for the PRC Railway industry.  The Company also develops, manufactures, and sells train power converters, auxiliary power supply equipment and control systems for trains for urban rail systems

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (3898 HK)

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Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (3898 HK)

Hollysys (HOLI US): Ascendent Capital Joins the Fray

The Recco consortium has bumped its non-binding offer to US$26.50 per share, 1.9% higher than Ascendent’s offer. Recco notes that “shareholders...

Arun George

Hollysys (HOLI US): MBO Proposal and Updates

The MBO proposal, while potentially a delaying tactic, suggests that the Board are under pressure for a solution and is aiming for a friendly...

Arun George

Hollysys (HOLI US): Board Starts a Formal Sale Process

The Board’s change of heart should encourage previous bidders to re-engage. While attractive, Recco’s US$25 per share offer is not a knockout bid,...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 8th): Huadian Power, Huaneng Power, Shanghai Electric, China Longyuan

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Huadian Power, Huaneng Power, Shanghai Electric, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity A/H Premium Weekly (Sep 8): ICBC, ABC, CCB, BOC, Vanke, NCL, Rails

The fourth week of the A/H Monitor and the last three weeks have seen decent returns. Hs outperformed As decently on a short week. Exposure to...

Travis Lundy

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52-week Range

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