Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 6 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>All the inclusions are also additions to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shanghai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> and the passive flows will come from multiple trackers.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last couple of weeks and there could be further outperformance over the next two weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 6 changes for the CES China Semiconductor Chips Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June.
All the inclusions are also additions to the CSI 500 Index and the passive flows will come from multiple trackers.
The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last couple of weeks and there could be further outperformance over the next two weeks.


CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Six Changes in June

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Inflows into industrials, energy, and utilities were offset by outflows from financials, and information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for COSCO Shipping, Shenzhen Inovance, Zhejiang Jingsheng, Ningbo Tuopu, Wuliangye, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, East Money, CMB, Midea.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Inflows into industrials, energy, and utilities were offset by outflows from financials, and information technology.
We highlight flows for COSCO Shipping, Shenzhen Inovance, Zhejiang Jingsheng, Ningbo Tuopu, Wuliangye, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, East Money, CMB, Midea.


Northbound Flows Monthly (April): Inflows into Industrials Offset by Outflows from Financials

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 21st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$221.4 million, led by industrials, energy, health care sectors, and offset by information technology, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Cosco Shipping, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Shenzhen Inovance Technology, Shandong Gold Mining, East Money Information, Longi Green Energy Technology, Tongwei, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 21st.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$221.4 million, led by industrials, energy, health care sectors, and offset by information technology, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for Cosco Shipping, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Shenzhen Inovance Technology, Shandong Gold Mining, East Money Information, Longi Green Energy Technology, Tongwei, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Apr 21st): Cosco Shipping, CATL, Shenzhen Inovance, Shandong Gold, East Money

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Zhejiang Jingsheng (JSG) preannounced over the weekend that net profit in 1Q23 is expected to surge 81-103% YoY to RMB800-900mn, which is better than expectation.</li><li>We believe this was likely driven by strong growth of crucibles revenue and margin, as well as faster-than-expected equipment delivery.</li><li>We revise up our earnings forecast in 2023E/24E/25E by 11%/10%/7%. We revise up our TP to RMB106, based on 32x 2023E P/E, on the back of 32% earnings CAGR in 2023E-24E. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Zhejiang Jingsheng (JSG) preannounced over the weekend that net profit in 1Q23 is expected to surge 81-103% YoY to RMB800-900mn, which is better than expectation.We believe this was likely driven by strong growth of crucibles revenue and margin, as well as faster-than-expected equipment delivery.We revise up our earnings forecast in 2023E/24E/25E by 11%/10%/7%. We revise up our TP to RMB106, based on 32x 2023E P/E, on the back of 32% earnings CAGR in 2023E-24E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Zhejiang Jingsheng (300316 CH) – 1Q23E Profit Beat Expectations

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 14th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$770.1 million, led by materials, industrials, utilities sectors, and offset by financials, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 14th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$770.1 million, led by materials, industrials, utilities sectors, and offset by financials, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec.


Northbound Flows (Apr 14th): Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec

China

Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells crystalline silicon growth devices and its control systems. The Company's main products include fully automatic monocrystalline silicon growth furnaces, polysilicon ingot furnaces, monocrystalline silicon growth furnace control systems.

Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electr (300316 CH)

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Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electr (300316 CH)

CES China Semiconductor Chips Index Rebalance: Six Changes in June

There are 6 index changes in June. All the adds are also inclusions for the CSI500 Index, so there will be passive inflows from multiple trackers....

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows Monthly (April): Inflows into Industrials Offset by Outflows from Financials

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for April and highlight flows for COSCO Shipping, Inovance, Jingsheng, Tuopu, Wuliangye, Ping An...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Apr 21st): Cosco Shipping, CATL, Shenzhen Inovance, Shandong Gold, East Money

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Cosco Shipping, CATL, Shenzhen Inovance, Shandong Gold,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zhejiang Jingsheng (300316 CH) – 1Q23E Profit Beat Expectations

Zhejiang Jingsheng (JSG) preannounced over the weekend that net profit in 1Q23 is expected to surge 81-103% YoY to RMB800-900mn, which is better...

CMB International

Northbound Flows (Apr 14th): Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)