Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELETEs for the DAX, MDAX, and SDAX Indices in the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>Currently, I see two index changes for the MDAX index and two index changes for the SDAX index.</li>
<li>I do not see any changes for the DAX index in December 2023.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELETEs for the DAX, MDAX, and SDAX Indices in the December 2023 Rebalance.
Currently, I see two index changes for the MDAX index and two index changes for the SDAX index.
I do not see any changes for the DAX index in December 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard-DAX Dec 23: Two Changes for MDAX and Two Changes for SDAX

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELETEs for the DAX, MDAX, and SDAX Indices in the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>I currently do not see any index changes for DAX but <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fresenius-medical-care-ag-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21622:1" rel="noopener">Fresenius Medical Care &amp; (FME GR)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zalando-se" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21746:1" rel="noopener">Zalando (ZAL GR)</a> are close to being an ADD and DELETE respectively.</li>
<li>I see one change for the MDAX index. Separately, there could be up to three SDAX change in the run up to the December 2023 review including one intra-review change.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELETEs for the DAX, MDAX, and SDAX Indices in the September 2023 Rebalance.
I currently do not see any index changes for DAX but Fresenius Medical Care &amp; (FME GR) and Zalando (ZAL GR) are close to being an ADD and DELETE respectively.
I see one change for the MDAX index. Separately, there could be up to three SDAX change in the run up to the December 2023 review including one intra-review change.


Quiddity Leaderboard-DAX Dec 23: One MDAX Change and Three SDAX Changes Possible

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the DAX, MDAX, and SDAX Indices in the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/software-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21717:1" rel="noopener">Software AG (SOW GR)</a> was deleted from the MDAX index triggering a couple of interim changes in the last week of July 2023.</li>
<li>Currently, I do not expect any changes for the DAX or MDAX indices in September 2023 but I expect one change for the SDAX index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the DAX, MDAX, and SDAX Indices in the September 2023 Rebalance.

Software AG (SOW GR) was deleted from the MDAX index triggering a couple of interim changes in the last week of July 2023.
Currently, I do not expect any changes for the DAX or MDAX indices in September 2023 but I expect one change for the SDAX index.


Quiddity Leaderboard-DAX Sep 23: No More Catalyst for the Short Sartorius - LONG Merck Trade

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELETEs for the DAX, MDAX, and SDAX Indices.</li>
<li>Based on current share prices, there are no changes for the DAX index. However, there could be multiple changes for the MDAX and SDAX indices.</li>
<li>I have also discussed the index implications for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-ing-h-c-f-porsche-aktiengesellschaft" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36343:1" rel="noopener">Porsche AG (P911 GR)</a> IPO.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELETEs for the DAX, MDAX, and SDAX Indices.
Based on current share prices, there are no changes for the DAX index. However, there could be multiple changes for the MDAX and SDAX indices.
I have also discussed the index implications for the Porsche AG (P911 GR) IPO.


DAX/​​​MDAX/​​​SDAX Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Porsche AG IPO Makes Things Interesting

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Supun Walpola

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zozo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18379:1" rel="noopener">ZOZO Inc (3092 JP)</a>’s growth has quickly returned to its decelerating trend post-lockdowns and we believe this will become more evident from 3Q FY03/21 when the impact of the stay-at-home demand further subsides. The underlying reasons for this collapsing growth such as, the saturation of the under-25 segment, weak penetration among the middle-aged demographic, and falling average price levels, does not seem to be improving, hence, we believe ZOZO’s consignment business growth should not be much higher than the overall online fashion market growth of 5%-10% going forward.</p><p>In the meantime, there is still a lot of uncertainty surrounding ZOZO’s longer-term growth drivers such as the new ZOZOSUIT 2 and the private label business which are still in their experimental phase. ZOZO is already down 20% from early October, however, we believe a further correction is required to justify ZOZO’s single-digit growth in the medium-term, until the new initiatives start making meaningful contributions to the results.</p>

ZOZO Inc (3092 JP)’s growth has quickly returned to its decelerating trend post-lockdowns and we believe this will become more evident from 3Q FY03/21 when the impact of the stay-at-home demand further subsides. The underlying reasons for this collapsing growth such as, the saturation of the under-25 segment, weak penetration among the middle-aged demographic, and falling average price levels, does not seem to be improving, hence, we believe ZOZO’s consignment business growth should not be much higher than the overall online fashion market growth of 5%-10% going forward.In the meantime, there is still a lot of uncertainty surrounding ZOZO’s longer-term growth drivers such as the new ZOZOSUIT 2 and the private label business which are still in their experimental phase. ZOZO is already down 20% from early October, however, we believe a further correction is required to justify ZOZO’s single-digit growth in the medium-term, until the new initiatives start making meaningful contributions to the results.

2021 High Conviction: ZOZO – Good Times Are Zo Far Away

Germany

Zalando SE provides online sale of fashion accessories. The Company offers clothing, sports products, shoes, bags, and other accessories for men, women, and children. Zalando markets its products worldwide.

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Zalando (ZAL GR)

Quiddity Leaderboard-DAX Dec 23: Two Changes for MDAX and Two Changes for SDAX

The expected MDAX changes could have multiple days to trade while the flow expectations for the expected SDAX changes are fairly insignificant.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard-DAX Dec 23: One MDAX Change and Three SDAX Changes Possible

The highest-ranked non-DAX member Fresenius Medical Care (FME GR) is currently ranked 34th and if the stock achieves a 6% relative gain vs the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard-DAX Sep 23: No More Catalyst for the Short Sartorius - LONG Merck Trade

I do not expect Sartorius to get deleted from DAX in Sep 23. Despite the fundamentals still supporting the Short Sartorius - LONG Merck trade, I do...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

DAX/MDAX/SDAX Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Porsche AG IPO Makes Things Interesting

Porsche AG's IPO of preferred shares is expected to start trading shortly and there could be interesting index implications for this stock in the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

2021 High Conviction: ZOZO – Good Times Are Zo Far Away

ZOZO is already down 20% from early October, however, we believe a further correction is required to justify ZOZO’s single-digit growth in the...

Supun Walpola

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard-DAX Dec 23: Two Changes for MDAX and Two Changes for SDAX

The expected MDAX changes could have multiple days to trade while the flow expectations for the expected SDAX changes are fairly insignificant.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard-DAX Dec 23: One MDAX Change and Three SDAX Changes Possible

The highest-ranked non-DAX member Fresenius Medical Care (FME GR) is currently ranked 34th and if the stock achieves a 6% relative gain vs the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard-DAX Sep 23: No More Catalyst for the Short Sartorius - LONG Merck Trade

I do not expect Sartorius to get deleted from DAX in Sep 23. Despite the fundamentals still supporting the Short Sartorius - LONG Merck trade, I do...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

DAX/​​​MDAX/​​​SDAX Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Porsche AG IPO Makes Things Interesting

Porsche AG's IPO of preferred shares is expected to start trading shortly and there could be interesting index implications for this stock in the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

2021 High Conviction: ZOZO – Good Times Are Zo Far Away

ZOZO is already down 20% from early October, however, we believe a further correction is required to justify ZOZO’s single-digit growth in the...

Supun Walpola

DAX/MDAX/SDAX Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Porsche AG IPO Makes Things Interesting