Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Group (4755 JP)</a>, having experienced an 80% decline in value over the last 8 years, now emerges as an enticing prospect for value investors.</li>
<li>The combined fair value of Rakuten's Cards, Bank, and Mobile businesses now surpasses 100% of the company's market capitalization.</li>
<li>Rakuten Ichiba, valued at ¥600bn, appears significantly undervalued when compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zozo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18379:1" rel="noopener">ZOZO Inc (3092 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monotaro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15441:1" rel="noopener">MonotaRO Co Ltd (3064 JP)</a>, which hold approximately 2.0x Rakuten Ichiba’s valuation.</li>
</ul>



Rakuten Group (4755 JP), having experienced an 80% decline in value over the last 8 years, now emerges as an enticing prospect for value investors.
The combined fair value of Rakuten's Cards, Bank, and Mobile businesses now surpasses 100% of the company's market capitalization.
Rakuten Ichiba, valued at ¥600bn, appears significantly undervalued when compared to ZOZO Inc (3092 JP) and MonotaRO Co Ltd (3064 JP), which hold approximately 2.0x Rakuten Ichiba’s valuation.


Rakuten: An Attractive Value Opportunity After 80% Value Decline in 8 Years

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Hawish Powell wraps up testimony; Global Rate Hikes - from UK to Norway; SPX +0.4% gains despite rise in Yields;  Confirmed- Titanic Sub Crew confirmed dead</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.5% vs Cash; USDJPY weaknes to 143 handle amid rise in US yields; Foreigners continue to buy Japan;  Corp Governance loss  as Cosmo(5021) approve Poison Pill</li>
<li>NUGGET. Daikin(6367)- A Global Best in Class and winner - but waiting for a pull back to jump in.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Hawish Powell wraps up testimony; Global Rate Hikes - from UK to Norway; SPX +0.4% gains despite rise in Yields;  Confirmed- Titanic Sub Crew confirmed dead
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.5% vs Cash; USDJPY weaknes to 143 handle amid rise in US yields; Foreigners continue to buy Japan;  Corp Governance loss  as Cosmo(5021) approve Poison Pill
NUGGET. Daikin(6367)- A Global Best in Class and winner - but waiting for a pull back to jump in.


Ohayo Japan| Global Rate Hikes; SPX Rise Despite Powell; NUGGET: Daikin(6367)- Global Best in Class

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. NDX100 +1.8%  SOX +3.3% vs. SPX +0.9% DOW +0.6%; Tech back ahead of Fed; Energy a different story as Oil fell on D-S worries; All eyes remain on CPI/Fed</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.7% premium vs Cash; Japan lead yesterday vs US..rarity; Expect continued Equity follow through; Seino HD(9076) -Massive Buyback, Div hike; TOYOTA-Path to Solid State Battery Commercialization?</li>
<li>NUGGET. Nidec Succession Resolution in Sight, but Nagamori Premium May Dissappear</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. NDX100 +1.8%  SOX +3.3% vs. SPX +0.9% DOW +0.6%; Tech back ahead of Fed; Energy a different story as Oil fell on D-S worries; All eyes remain on CPI/Fed
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.7% premium vs Cash; Japan lead yesterday vs US..rarity; Expect continued Equity follow through; Seino HD(9076) -Massive Buyback, Div hike; TOYOTA-Path to Solid State Battery Commercialization?
NUGGET. Nidec Succession Resolution in Sight, but Nagamori Premium May Dissappear


Ohayo Japan |BIG TECH BACK ! NUGGET: Nidec Succession Headaches-Resolution in Sight But...

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>XPEV: XPeng begins pre-sales of G6 with starting price at RMB 225k (+)</li>
<li>Nayuki: Chabaidao finished a round of private equity financing at RMB18bn valuation</li>
<li>PDD/ 4385.JP/ 4689.JP/ 4755.JP/ AMZN.US/ Shein: Temu could soon launch in Japan (+/-/-/-/-/-)</li>
</ul>


XPEV: XPeng begins pre-sales of G6 with starting price at RMB 225k (+)
Nayuki: Chabaidao finished a round of private equity financing at RMB18bn valuation
PDD/ 4385.JP/ 4689.JP/ 4755.JP/ AMZN.US/ Shein: Temu could soon launch in Japan (+/-/-/-/-/-)


China TMT UpdateXPEV/TESLA/Nayuki/PDD/4385.JP/ 4689.JP/4755.JP: Pre-Sales of G6, Temu Comes to Japan

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

<ul>
<li>Zozo managed a 7% gain in GTVs last year which meant it grew its share of the fashion market. </li>
<li>It now has more than 10 million active users and has laid down plans to reach ¥800 billion in GTVs in the medium term.</li>
<li>Zozo's momentum is clear and its targets look realistic. Shame about the performance of Z Holdings.</li>
</ul>


Zozo managed a 7% gain in GTVs last year which meant it grew its share of the fashion market. 
It now has more than 10 million active users and has laid down plans to reach ¥800 billion in GTVs in the medium term.
Zozo's momentum is clear and its targets look realistic. Shame about the performance of Z Holdings.


Japan

LY Corporation operates as an internet search engine "Yahoo! JAPAN". The Company provides electronic commerce and settlement finance services for small medium enterprises and individuals. LY also operates media business including search linked advertising and display advertising services.

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LY (4689 JP)

Rakuten: An Attractive Value Opportunity After 80% Value Decline in 8 Years

The combined fair value of Rakuten's Cards, Bank, and Mobile businesses now surpasses 100% of Rakuten's market capitalization.

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Ohayo Japan| Global Rate Hikes; SPX Rise Despite Powell; NUGGET: Daikin(6367)- Global Best in Class

SPX up despite Fed/Global CB hawkishness; NKY Futs +0.5% vs Cash; USDJPY weaknes to 143 handle; Foreigners continue to buy Japan; Corp Governance...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan |BIG TECH BACK ! NUGGET: Nidec Succession Headaches-Resolution in Sight But...

Tech Back as US Equities Well Bid; NKY Futs +0.7% premium vs Cash; ; Seino HD(9076) - Massive Buyback, Div hike; TOYOTA - Sees path to Solid State...

Mark Chadwick

China TMT UpdateXPEV/TESLA/Nayuki/PDD/4385.JP/ 4689.JP/4755.JP: Pre-Sales of G6, Temu Comes to Japan

XPEV: XPeng begins pre-sales of G6 ， Nayuki: Chabaidao finished a round of private equity financing at RMB18bn valuation，PDD/4385.JP/4689.JP/...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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52-week Range

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Rakuten: An Attractive Value Opportunity After 80% Value Decline in 8 Years

The combined fair value of Rakuten's Cards, Bank, and Mobile businesses now surpasses 100% of Rakuten's market capitalization.

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Ohayo Japan| Global Rate Hikes; SPX Rise Despite Powell; NUGGET: Daikin(6367)- Global Best in Class

SPX up despite Fed/Global CB hawkishness; NKY Futs +0.5% vs Cash; USDJPY weaknes to 143 handle; Foreigners continue to buy Japan; Corp Governance...

Mark Chadwick

Ohayo Japan |BIG TECH BACK ! NUGGET: Nidec Succession Headaches-Resolution in Sight But...

Tech Back as US Equities Well Bid; NKY Futs +0.7% premium vs Cash; ; Seino HD(9076) - Massive Buyback, Div hike; TOYOTA - Sees path to Solid State...

Mark Chadwick

China TMT UpdateXPEV/TESLA/Nayuki/PDD/4385.JP/ 4689.JP/4755.JP: Pre-Sales of G6, Temu Comes to Japan

XPEV: XPeng begins pre-sales of G6 ， Nayuki: Chabaidao finished a round of private equity financing at RMB18bn valuation，PDD/4385.JP/4689.JP/...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Zozo Consolidates Market Share

Zozo is on a roll, with strong sales in new categories and segments and clear plans to increase GTVs by ¥200 billion. There are few barriers to...

Michael Causton