Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Oct 27th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Biologic, Skc, Hotel Shilla Co, Ecopro, Posco Holdings I, Yuhan, Posco Dx.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Oct 27th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Biologic, Skc, Hotel Shilla Co, Ecopro, Posco Holdings I, Yuhan, Posco Dx.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 27th): Samsung Biologic, Skc, Hotel Shilla Co, Ecopro

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 3Q23, revenue jumped 2.5x YoY and 12.1x QoQ to KRW231.8 billion, mainly due to the inflow related to Novavax vaccine contract settlement and resumption of flu vaccine production.</li>
<li>Despite significantly improved Q3 result, SK Bioscience is expected to end 2023 on a weak note, due to the absence of contract manufacturing revenue from Novavax.</li>
<li>SK Bioscience has applied for EUA for the updated Novavax COVID-19 vaccine in Korea. Once approved, the company targets to distribute the vaccine during 2023–2024 winter seasons in Korea.</li>
</ul>


In 3Q23, revenue jumped 2.5x YoY and 12.1x QoQ to KRW231.8 billion, mainly due to the inflow related to Novavax vaccine contract settlement and resumption of flu vaccine production.
Despite significantly improved Q3 result, SK Bioscience is expected to end 2023 on a weak note, due to the absence of contract manufacturing revenue from Novavax.
SK Bioscience has applied for EUA for the updated Novavax COVID-19 vaccine in Korea. Once approved, the company targets to distribute the vaccine during 2023–2024 winter seasons in Korea.


SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Significantly Improved 3Q Result Benefitted From One-Time Payment

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trades involving Korean preferred and common shares in 4Q 2023. Typically, fourth quarter is when pref stocks are emphasized the most in Korea.</li>
<li>The excessive gaps in the preferred and common shares of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Hotel Shilla (008770 KS), and Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS) could reverse in the next several months.</li>
<li>We see some attractive longer-term opportunities for Amorepacific, Doosan Fuel Cell, LG Electronics, and Hyundai Motor which have especially high discounts for the preferred shares versus their counterpart common shares.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trades involving Korean preferred and common shares in 4Q 2023. Typically, fourth quarter is when pref stocks are emphasized the most in Korea.
The excessive gaps in the preferred and common shares of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Hotel Shilla (008770 KS), and Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS) could reverse in the next several months.
We see some attractive longer-term opportunities for Amorepacific, Doosan Fuel Cell, LG Electronics, and Hyundai Motor which have especially high discounts for the preferred shares versus their counterpart common shares.


Gap Trades in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 4Q 2023

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hk-inno-n-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33522:1" rel="noopener">HK inno.N (195940 KS)</a> recorded impressive sequential improvement in 2Q23 result, while YoY comparison is negatively impacted by high base due to one-off cervical cancer vaccine revenue recorded in 2Q22.</li>
<li>In 2Q23, revenue increased 11% QoQ to KRW204B and operating profit grew 172% QoQ to KRW15B. Growth was mainly driven by a 19% QoQ growth in K-CAB domestic revenue.</li>
<li>HK inno targets KRW1T K-CAB revenue by entering 100 countries globally by 2028. The company is adding new growth engines such as IV fluids products, MSD vaccine, and biosimilars.</li>
</ul>



HK inno.N (195940 KS) recorded impressive sequential improvement in 2Q23 result, while YoY comparison is negatively impacted by high base due to one-off cervical cancer vaccine revenue recorded in 2Q22.
In 2Q23, revenue increased 11% QoQ to KRW204B and operating profit grew 172% QoQ to KRW15B. Growth was mainly driven by a 19% QoQ growth in K-CAB domestic revenue.
HK inno targets KRW1T K-CAB revenue by entering 100 countries globally by 2028. The company is adding new growth engines such as IV fluids products, MSD vaccine, and biosimilars.


HK Inno.N (195940 KS): 2Q23 Result Shows Strong Sequential Improvement; K-CAB Continues to Fly High

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.</li>
<li>Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.</li>
<li>We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.</li>
</ul>


There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.
Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.
We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.


No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

South Korea

Yuhan Corporation manufactures and markets various pharmaceutical products on its own and through joint ventures with other global pharmaceutical companies. The Company also produces personal care products, dietary supplements, and veterinary medicines.

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Yuhan Corp (000100 KS)

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 27th): Samsung Biologic, Skc, Hotel Shilla Co, Ecopro

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Samsung Biologic, Skc, Hotel Shilla Co, Ecopro,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Significantly Improved 3Q Result Benefitted From One-Time Payment

In 3Q23, revenue jumped 2.5x YoY and 12.1x QoQ to KRW232B, mainly due to the inflow related to Novavax vaccine contract settlement, resumption of...

Tina Banerjee

HK Inno.N (195940 KS): 2Q23 Result Shows Strong Sequential Improvement; K-CAB Continues to Fly High

In 2Q23, revenue increased 11% QoQ and operating profit grew 172% QoQ. K-CAB domestic revenue grew 19% QoQ. Flagship drug, K-CAB has been launched...

Tina Banerjee

No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

No Traction Above $93 on MSCI $ACWI or 4400-4415 on EURO #STOXX 50. Continues to reinforce our view from early-January that $93 on ACWI caps upside...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 27th): Samsung Biologic, Skc, Hotel Shilla Co, Ecopro

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Samsung Biologic, Skc, Hotel Shilla Co, Ecopro,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SK Bioscience (302440 KS): Significantly Improved 3Q Result Benefitted From One-Time Payment

In 3Q23, revenue jumped 2.5x YoY and 12.1x QoQ to KRW232B, mainly due to the inflow related to Novavax vaccine contract settlement, resumption of...

Tina Banerjee

Gap Trades in Korean Prefs Vs Common Share Pairs in 4Q 2023

In this insight, we discuss numerous gap trades involving Korean preferred and common shares in 4Q 2023. Typically, fourth quarter is when pref...

Douglas Kim

HK Inno.N (195940 KS): 2Q23 Result Shows Strong Sequential Improvement; K-CAB Continues to Fly High

In 2Q23, revenue increased 11% QoQ and operating profit grew 172% QoQ. K-CAB domestic revenue grew 19% QoQ. Flagship drug, K-CAB has been launched...

Tina Banerjee

No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

No Traction Above $93 on MSCI $ACWI or 4400-4415 on EURO #STOXX 50. Continues to reinforce our view from early-January that $93 on ACWI caps upside...

Vermilion Research