External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Media reported that Huawei may launch self-developed ERP (MetaERP) in Apr.</li><li>This is negative to the China ERP market as competition heats up but the impacts to Yonyou and Inspur will be larger than Kingdee as the formers are more largeenterprises/ SOEs focused.</li><li>Also, Huawei has to consider the potential implications to its Cloud business as Kingdee/ Yonyou/ Inspur may scale down their cloud resources usage with Huawei Cloud given direct competition in ERP.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Media reported that Huawei may launch self-developed ERP (MetaERP) in Apr.This is negative to the China ERP market as competition heats up but the impacts to Yonyou and Inspur will be larger than Kingdee as the formers are more largeenterprises/ SOEs focused.Also, Huawei has to consider the potential implications to its Cloud business as Kingdee/ Yonyou/ Inspur may scale down their cloud resources usage with Huawei Cloud given direct competition in ERP.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Software & IT Services – Implications of Huawei MetaERP

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 17th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,260.0 million, led by information technology, industrials, materials sectors, and offset by financials, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Yangtze Power, Tcl Zhonghuan, Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, CMB .</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 17th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,260.0 million, led by information technology, industrials, materials sectors, and offset by financials, energy.
We highlight flows for Yangtze Power, Tcl Zhonghuan, Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, CMB .


Northbound Flows (Mar 17th): Yangtze Power, Tcl Zhonghuan, Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, CMB

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Equity Capital Markets

Beijing Beisen Cloud Computing / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>China-Based HCM technology unicorn <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beisen-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36803:1" rel="noopener">Beisen Holdings (1667838D CH)</a>  filed for an IPO in Hong Kong. Morgan Stanley and CICC are leading the upcoming offering. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beisen-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36803:1" rel="noopener">Beisen Holdings (1667838D CH)</a>  is the leading provider of integrated HR SaaS and talent management platform with ~12% market share of the overall cloud-based HCM industry in China. </li>
<li>We believe the company’s expected IPO valuation may reach $1B, making it one of the largest providers of cloud-native HCM solutions in China scheduled to go public this year. </li>
</ul>


China-Based HCM technology unicorn Beisen Holdings (1667838D CH)  filed for an IPO in Hong Kong. Morgan Stanley and CICC are leading the upcoming offering. 

Beisen Holdings (1667838D CH)  is the leading provider of integrated HR SaaS and talent management platform with ~12% market share of the overall cloud-based HCM industry in China. 
We believe the company’s expected IPO valuation may reach $1B, making it one of the largest providers of cloud-native HCM solutions in China scheduled to go public this year. 


Beisen IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis

Equity Bottom-Up

Yonyou Network Technology A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Yonyou announced preliminary FY22 net profit of RMB200-220mn (-68.9-71.7% YoY).</li><li>The weakness was attributable to COVID resurgence and FY4Q22 and higher R&amp;D spending.</li><li>While Yonyou’s business is slowly recovering in FY23E, we remain cautious on its cloud migration progress as its large enterprise customers (68% of revenue) are less willing to adopt standardized cloud model. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yonyou announced preliminary FY22 net profit of RMB200-220mn (-68.9-71.7% YoY).The weakness was attributable to COVID resurgence and FY4Q22 and higher R&amp;D spending.While Yonyou’s business is slowly recovering in FY23E, we remain cautious on its cloud migration progress as its large enterprise customers (68% of revenue) are less willing to adopt standardized cloud model. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yonyou (600588 CH) – Distressed margin with non-standardized cloud

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 December. Passive selling on a few deletions is pretty large.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 4.07% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 3.36bn. Index arb activity could add to the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The adds have dropped over the last few months while the deletes have moved higher. There could be a reversion of that trend till implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 December. Passive selling on a few deletions is pretty large.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 4.07% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 3.36bn. Index arb activity could add to the impact on the stocks.
The adds have dropped over the last few months while the deletes have moved higher. There could be a reversion of that trend till implementation of the changes.


SSE50 Index Rebalance: In Line with Forecasts; Trades Performing Well

China

Yonyou Network Technology Co., Ltd. develops and markets enterprise-wide business applications software, including financial, web-based, management, and security development software. The Company also offers training programs.

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Yonyou Network Technology A (600588 CH)

China Software & IT Services – Implications of Huawei MetaERP

This is negative to the China ERP market as competition heats up but the impacts to Yonyou and Inspur will be larger than Kingdee as the formers...

CMB International

Northbound Flows (Mar 17th): Yangtze Power, Tcl Zhonghuan, Ping An Insurance, CATL, Moutai, CMB

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Yangtze Power, Tcl Zhonghuan, Ping An Insurance, CATL,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Beisen IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis

Founder-led HR technology unicorn Beisen filed for an IPO in Hong Kong. We believe the company’s expected IPO valuation may reach $1B and see...

Andrei Zakharov

Yonyou (600588 CH) – Distressed margin with non-standardized cloud

Yonyou announced preliminary FY22 net profit of RMB200-220mn (-68.9-71.7% YoY). The weakness was attributable to COVID resurgence and FY4Q22 and...

CMB International

SSE50 Index Rebalance: In Line with Forecasts; Trades Performing Well

There are 5 changes for the index in Dec - all in line with forecasts. There is a big sector skew. Trades have been performing well. Pre...

Brian Freitas

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