Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we provide an update on the Macau gaming sector, including our market outlook, concession renewals and a peer comparison of the four companies under our coverage. The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.

  In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we provide an update on the Macau gaming sector, including our market outlook, concession renewals and a peer comparison of the four companies under our coverage.   The Asia Monthly focuses on providing updates on recent events, information on new issues and spread movements, as well as summarising our top picks, and discussing specific areas of interest in the “In-Focus” section. The Asia Monthly is intended to broaden investors' understanding of the Asian USD high-yield market.  

Asia HY Monthly - Macau Gaming Update - Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

We view Yanzhou Coal as “Medium Risk” on the LARA scale. This reflects the company's: [1] high-quality assets and leading position in the Chinese coal sector; [2] decent track record of operations; and [3] close affiliation with, and strategic importance to, the Shandong government. Our assessment also takes into account: [1] earnings being dependent on coal price fluctuations; [2] the improving financial profile; and [3] exposure to adverse movements of the USD against the CNY. Our fundamental Credit Bias on Yanzhou is "Positive", reflecting its potentially enhanced SOE status following the completion of a proposed merger between parent Yankuang and Shandong Energy, another SOE coal miner. We view the group as “Weak” on the LAGA scale. Yanzhou is 56% owned by Yankuang, an SOE in turn held by the Shandong SASAC. We view negatively the recurring related-party transactions between Yanzhou and Yankuang in unrelated businesses. Yankuang also has a significant presence on Yanzhou’s Board and among its senior management, and we believe the diversity of the company's independent directors could be improved. That said, the company’s dual listings on the SSE and HKEX give increased transparency and disclosure.

  We view Yanzhou Coal as “Medium Risk” on the LARA scale. This reflects the company's: [1] high-quality assets and leading position in the Chinese coal sector; [2] decent track record of operations; and [3] close affiliation with, and strategic importance to, the Shandong government. Our assessment also takes into account: [1] earnings being dependent on coal price fluctuations; [2] the improving financial profile; and [3] exposure to adverse movements of the USD against the CNY.   Our fundamental Credit Bias on Yanzhou is "Positive", reflecting its potentially enhanced SOE status following the completion of a proposed merger between parent Yankuang and Shandong Energy, another SOE coal miner.   We view the group as “Weak” on the LAGA scale. Yanzhou is 56% owned by Yankuang, an SOE in turn held by the Shandong SASAC. We view negatively the recurring related-party transactions between Yanzhou and Yankuang in unrelated businesses. Yankuang also has a significant presence on Yanzhou’s Board and among its senior management, and we believe the diversity of the company's independent directors could be improved. That said, the company’s dual listings on the SSE and HKEX give increased transparency and disclosure. 

Yanzhou Coal - Tear Sheet - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-35'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-384'>Yanzhou Coal Mining Co H</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.China Jinmao HoldingsYanzhou Coal Mining Co H

Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings, Yanzhou Coal Mining Co H

The Asia HY Trade Book for the month of November includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index.

  The Asia HY Trade Book for the month of November includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative value charts and lists of the bonds in the Lucror Asia HY index. 

Asia HY Trade Book - November 2020 - Lucror Analytics

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Post market close on Friday, the China Securities Index Company announced the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> that will be effective after the close of trading on 11 December.
There are 26 inclusions and exclusions in the review with an estimated one-way turnover of 3.87%.
The inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongfang-guoxin-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15513:1" rel="noopener">Unigroup Guoxin (002049 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-dongshan-precision-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8796:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Dongshan Precision A (002384 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuhan-guide-infrared-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20330:1" rel="noopener">Wuhan Guide Infrared Co,Ltd. (002414 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jpmf-guangdong-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19050:1" rel="noopener">Jpmf Guangdong Co Ltd A (002600 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yunnan-chuangxin-new-material" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27135:1" rel="noopener">Yunnan Chuangxin New Material (002812 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asymchem-laboratories-tianjin-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28265:1" rel="noopener">Asymchem Laboratories (002821 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jafron-biomedical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29575:1" rel="noopener">Jafron Biomedical Co Ltd (300529 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bgi-genomics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25890:1" rel="noopener">Bgi Genomics (300676 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-cssc-holdings-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2464:1" rel="noopener">China Cssc Holdings Ltd A (600150 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-tiantan-biological-products-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5190:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Tiantan Biological Products (600161 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jcet-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8628:1" rel="noopener">JCET Group (600584 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsingtao-brewery-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:846:1" rel="noopener">Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd A (600600 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/topchoice-medical-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1102:1" rel="noopener">Topchoice Medical (600763 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-baosight-software-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28228:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Baosight Software Co (600845 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jonjee-high-tech-industrial-and-commercial-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14622:1" rel="noopener">Jonjee High-Tech Ind.&amp; Com. (600872 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongtai-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29935:1" rel="noopener">Zhongtai Securities Co Ltd (600918 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boc-international-china-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29972:1" rel="noopener">Boc International China Co-A (601696 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-energy-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14450:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Energy A (601872 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nanjing-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27192:1" rel="noopener">Nanjing Securities Co Ltd (601990 CH)</a>, Gan&amp;Lee Pharma (603087 CH), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gongniu-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30060:1" rel="noopener">Gongniu Group Co Ltd (603195 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-wantai-biological-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30129:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Wantai Biological-A (603392 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28236:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology Co Ltd (688008 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-signal-com-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28237:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Signal &amp; Com-A (688009 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-micro-fabrication-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30308:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Micro-Fabrication-A (688012 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-transsion-holding-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30323:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Transsion Holding-A (688036 CH).</a>
The deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hebei-iron-steel-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11538:1" rel="noopener">Hebei Iron &amp; Steel Co Ltd A (000709 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-tianqi-lithium-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5698:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc (002466 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-idc-fluid-control-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18695:1" rel="noopener">STO Express (002468 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avic-helicopter-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14380:1" rel="noopener">Avic Helicopter Co Ltd A (600038 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tbea-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20303:1" rel="noopener">Tbea Co Ltd A (600089 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-construction-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17136:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Construction Group Co, Ltd. (600170 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yanzhou-coal-mining-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24592:1" rel="noopener">Yanzhou Coal Mining (600188 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-nanshan-aluminum-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3920:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Nanshan Aluminum A (600219 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hainan-airlines-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24023:1" rel="noopener">Hainan Airlines Co (600221 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-avionics-systems-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11393:1" rel="noopener">China Avionics Systems Co., Ltd. (600372 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hla-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2586:1" rel="noopener">HLA CORP., Ltd. (600398 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fangda-carbon-new-material-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14878:1" rel="noopener">Fangda Carbon New Material Co, Ltd. (600516 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/offshore-oil-engineering-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4968:1" rel="noopener">Offshore Oil Engineering A (600583 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-chuantou-energy-stock-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2557:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Chuantou Energy Stock (600674 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tonghua-dongbao-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10358:1" rel="noopener">Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical (600867 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-xi-an-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29936:1" rel="noopener">Bank of Xi'an Co Ltd (600928 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-energy-technology-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29941:1" rel="noopener">Cnooc Energy Technology &amp; -A (600968 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-film-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29943:1" rel="noopener">China Film Co Ltd (600977 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ningbo-port-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9969:1" rel="noopener">Ningbo Port (601018 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baiyin-nonferrous-group-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29955:1" rel="noopener">Baiyin Nonferrous Group Co-A (601212 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qingdao-port-international-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29958:1" rel="noopener">Qingdao Port International Co (601298 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-star-macalline-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26732:1" rel="noopener">Red Star Macalline Group (601828 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-coal-energy-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24607:1" rel="noopener">China Coal Energy (601898 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bbmg-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22769:1" rel="noopener">BBMG Corporation (601992 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-guiyang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27479:1" rel="noopener">Bank of Guiyang Co Ltd (601997 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hoshine-silicon-industry-c-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26646:1" rel="noopener">Hoshine Silicon Industry C-A (603260 CH)</a>.
Only 3 of the inclusions have over 1 day of ADV to buy, while there are a lot more deletions that have over 1 day of ADV to sell.
The index universe has also been expanded to include STAR Board stocks that have been listed for over 1 year. The change was implemented at this review (with no advance notice) and will see the inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28236:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology Co Ltd (688008 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-signal-com-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28237:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Signal &amp; Com-A (688009 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-micro-fabrication-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30308:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Micro-Fabrication-A (688012 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-transsion-holding-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30323:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Transsion Holding-A (688036 CH)</a> into the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a>.

Post market close on Friday, the China Securities Index Company announced the changes to the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) that will be effective after the close of trading on 11 December.
There are 26 inclusions and exclusions in the review with an estimated one-way turnover of 3.87%.
The inclusions are Unigroup Guoxin (002049 CH), Suzhou Dongshan Precision A (002384 CH), Wuhan Guide Infrared Co,Ltd. (002414 CH), Jpmf Guangdong Co Ltd A (002600 CH), Yunnan Chuangxin New Material (002812 CH), Asymchem Laboratories (002821 CH), Jafron Biomedical Co Ltd (300529 CH), Bgi Genomics (300676 CH), China Cssc Holdings Ltd A (600150 CH), Beijing Tiantan Biological Products (600161 CH), JCET Group (600584 CH), Tsingtao Brewery Co Ltd A (600600 CH), Topchoice Medical (600763 CH), Shanghai Baosight Software Co (600845 CH), Jonjee High-Tech Ind.&amp; Com. (600872 CH), Zhongtai Securities Co Ltd (600918 CH), Boc International China Co-A (601696 CH), China Merchants Energy A (601872 CH), Nanjing Securities Co Ltd (601990 CH), Gan&amp;Lee Pharma (603087 CH), Gongniu Group Co Ltd (603195 CH), Beijing Wantai Biological-A (603392 CH), Montage Technology Co Ltd (688008 CH), China Railway Signal &amp; Com-A (688009 CH), Advanced Micro-Fabrication-A (688012 CH) and Shenzhen Transsion Holding-A (688036 CH).
The deletions are Hebei Iron &amp; Steel Co Ltd A (000709 CH), Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc (002466 CH), STO Express (002468 CH), Avic Helicopter Co Ltd A (600038 CH), Tbea Co Ltd A (600089 CH), Shanghai Construction Group Co, Ltd. (600170 CH), Yanzhou Coal Mining (600188 CH), Shandong Nanshan Aluminum A (600219 CH), Hainan Airlines Co (600221 CH), China Avionics Systems Co., Ltd. (600372 CH), HLA CORP., Ltd. (600398 CH), Fangda Carbon New Material Co, Ltd. (600516 CH), Offshore Oil Engineering A (600583 CH), Sichuan Chuantou Energy Stock (600674 CH), Tonghua Dongbao Pharmaceutical (600867 CH), Bank of Xi'an Co Ltd (600928 CH), Cnooc Energy Technology &amp; -A (600968 CH), China Film Co Ltd (600977 CH), Ningbo Port (601018 CH), Baiyin Nonferrous Group Co-A (601212 CH), Qingdao Port International Co (601298 CH), Red Star Macalline Group (601828 CH), China Coal Energy (601898 CH), BBMG Corporation (601992 CH), Bank of Guiyang Co Ltd (601997 CH) and Hoshine Silicon Industry C-A (603260 CH).
Only 3 of the inclusions have over 1 day of ADV to buy, while there are a lot more deletions that have over 1 day of ADV to sell.
The index universe has also been expanded to include STAR Board stocks that have been listed for over 1 year. The change was implemented at this review (with no advance notice) and will see the inclusion of Montage Technology Co Ltd (688008 CH), China Railway Signal &amp; Com-A (688009 CH), Advanced Micro-Fabrication-A (688012 CH) and Shenzhen Transsion Holding-A (688036 CH) into the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX). 

STAR Board: CSI300 Index Rebalance: Rule Change Sees STAR Board Stocks Included

China

Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited operates coal businesses. The Company produces fine coal, blown coal, power coal, and coal chemical products. Yankuang Energy Group also conducts power generation, railway transport, machinery manufacturing, and heating businesses.

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Yankuang Energy Group (1171 HK)

Asia HY Monthly - Macau Gaming Update - Lucror Analytics

In this month’s “In-Focus” section, we provide an update on the Macau gaming sector, including our market outlook, concession renewals and a peer...

Lucror Analytics

Yanzhou Coal - Tear Sheet - Lucror Analytics

We view Yanzhou Coal as “Medium Risk” on the LARA scale. This reflects the company's: [1] high-quality assets and leading position in the Chinese...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: China Jinmao Holdings, Yanzhou Coal Mining Co H

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Asia HY Trade Book - November 2020 - Lucror Analytics

The Asia HY Trade Book for the month of November includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also...

Lucror Analytics

STAR Board: CSI300 Index Rebalance: Rule Change Sees STAR Board Stocks Included

There are 26 inclusions/exclusions from the CSI300 index with a one way turnover of 3.87%. An expansion of the universe has 4 STAR Board stocks...

Brian Freitas

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