Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luyuan-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39871:1" rel="noopener">Luyuan Group (LUYUAN HK)</a>, a founder-led company and a pioneer in the e-bike industry in China, is looking to raise capital via the upcoming Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luyuan-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39871:1" rel="noopener">Luyuan Group (LUYUAN HK)</a> is an extremely ambitious manufacturer of electric bicycles and electric motorcycles in China. ”Luyuan” is a trusted and well-known brand in Asia and worldwide.</li>
<li>I like profitable growth at scale and believe Luyuan Group IPO would be attractive to investors, given the company’s 40% y/y revenue growth and valuable brand.</li>
</ul>



Luyuan Group (LUYUAN HK), a founder-led company and a pioneer in the e-bike industry in China, is looking to raise capital via the upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 

Luyuan Group (LUYUAN HK) is an extremely ambitious manufacturer of electric bicycles and electric motorcycles in China. ”Luyuan” is a trusted and well-known brand in Asia and worldwide.
I like profitable growth at scale and believe Luyuan Group IPO would be attractive to investors, given the company’s 40% y/y revenue growth and valuable brand.


Luyuan Group IPO Preview: An Ambitious Manufacturer of Electric Bicycles Based in China

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Tianneng Power International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianneng-power-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18978:1" rel="noopener">Tianneng Power International (819 HK)</a> is a supplier of Chinese EV 2-wheelers and has enjoyed decent growth in the past few years. </li>
<li>The correlation of top-line growth with its customers suddenly turned negative, a warning sign.</li>
<li>Is it really cheap at 0.6x PBV? Maybe not, given the current status and the lead time before the recycling business is fully operational. </li>
</ul>



Tianneng Power International (819 HK) is a supplier of Chinese EV 2-wheelers and has enjoyed decent growth in the past few years. 
The correlation of top-line growth with its customers suddenly turned negative, a warning sign.
Is it really cheap at 0.6x PBV? Maybe not, given the current status and the lead time before the recycling business is fully operational. 


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. </li>
<li>The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).</li>
<li>The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).</li>
</ul>


In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. 
The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).
The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).


MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The pullback in global equities continues with the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) testing 1.5-month downtrend resistance while the STOXX Europe 50 tests resistance at 3800-3840.</li>
<li>We expect a rejection at the 1.5-month downtrend and for the stair-step lower to continue, with our targets being $84 (December 2022 low) and potentially $75-77 (the 2022 lows).</li>
<li>If ACWI-US is able to reverse above the 1.5-month downtrend, we still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023. Remain overweight Europe. Also highlighting individual stock buys on pullbacks.</li>
</ul>


The pullback in global equities continues with the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) testing 1.5-month downtrend resistance while the STOXX Europe 50 tests resistance at 3800-3840.
We expect a rejection at the 1.5-month downtrend and for the stair-step lower to continue, with our targets being $84 (December 2022 low) and potentially $75-77 (the 2022 lows).
If ACWI-US is able to reverse above the 1.5-month downtrend, we still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023. Remain overweight Europe. Also highlighting individual stock buys on pullbacks.


MSCI ACWI and EAFE Testing 1.5-Month Downtrends; Remain OW EU; Buys in Leading Sectors on Pullbacks

Ishares Global Consumer Disc / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are seeing some positive signals that suggest the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or at the very least, that downside is limited from here.</li>
<li>Still, YTD downtrends remain intact on the global MSCI equity indexes, and we need to see reversals of their downtrends in order to get more constructive at the index level.</li>
<li>Cyclical Growth Sectors continue to gain momentum and we are upgrading the MSCI ACWI Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Communication Services Sectors from underweight to market weight. Add exposure.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing some positive signals that suggest the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or at the very least, that downside is limited from here.
Still, YTD downtrends remain intact on the global MSCI equity indexes, and we need to see reversals of their downtrends in order to get more constructive at the index level.
Cyclical Growth Sectors continue to gain momentum and we are upgrading the MSCI ACWI Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Communication Services Sectors from underweight to market weight. Add exposure.


Positive Signals; Growth Sectors Gaining Momentum; Buy Ideas Within Global Growth Sectors

Hong Kong

Yadea Group is a leading electric two wheeler brand in China. The company produces electric bikes and scooters.

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Yadea Group Holdings (1585 HK)

Luyuan Group IPO Preview: An Ambitious Manufacturer of Electric Bicycles Based in China

I believe Luyuan Group IPO would be attractive to investors, given the company’s 40% y/y revenue growth, valuable brand, and efficient sales and...

Andrei Zakharov

Tianneng Power (819): Value Trap?

Is Tianneng Power really cheap at 0.6x PBV? Maybe not, given the current status and the lead time before the recycling business is fully operational.

Henry Soediarko

MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Signs continue to point to a topping $DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. $EAFE). Many ideas in China/Hong...

Vermilion Research

MSCI ACWI and EAFE Testing 1.5-Month Downtrends; Remain OW EU; Buys in Leading Sectors on Pullbacks

Pullback in global equities continues with MSCI $ACWI testing 1.5-month downtrend resistance as $STOXX Europe 50 tests 3800-3840 resistance....

Vermilion Research

Positive Signals; Growth Sectors Gaining Momentum; Buy Ideas Within Global Growth Sectors

Starting to see positive signals that suggest downside is limited from here. Still, we need to see reversals of YTD downtrends on $ACWI $ACWX $EFA...

Vermilion Research

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