Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The majority of its revenue comes from selling float glass, which is used in buildings and construction. </li>
<li>The Chinese government has started home ownership relaxation that will reinvigorate the real estate market. </li>
<li>It is still trading at 67% lower to 3 years ago. </li>
</ul>


The majority of its revenue comes from selling float glass, which is used in buildings and construction. 
The Chinese government has started home ownership relaxation that will reinvigorate the real estate market. 
It is still trading at 67% lower to 3 years ago. 


Xinyi Glass (868): Beneficiary of Chinese RE Rejuvenation

Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-glass-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11940:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Glass Holdings (868 HK)</a> reported FY23 results, with net profit up 5% yoy and sales up 4% yoy. </li>
<li>The company announced a final dividend of HKD0.37 per share, resulting in a full year dividend of HKD0.63 per share, which is a yield of 8%. </li>
<li>Overall the results look resilient, with auto glass segment a bit weaker than expected and float glass segment stronger than expected. </li>
</ul>



Xinyi Glass Holdings (868 HK) reported FY23 results, with net profit up 5% yoy and sales up 4% yoy. 
The company announced a final dividend of HKD0.37 per share, resulting in a full year dividend of HKD0.63 per share, which is a yield of 8%. 
Overall the results look resilient, with auto glass segment a bit weaker than expected and float glass segment stronger than expected. 


Xinyi Glass (868 HK):  Resilient FY23 Results; A Nice Dividend Play

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinyi-glass-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11940:1" rel="noopener">Xinyi Glass Holdings (868 HK)</a>'s stable auto glass business is often overlooked, making up 39% of the company's gross profit in 1H23.</li>
<li>Given the current valuation of 7x 2023E PE and 1.3x 2023E PB, the risk reward is skewed to the upside, and downside is protected with the stable auto glass business. </li>
<li>The company's management has been aggressively increasing stake in the company in the last 2 months, gobbling up 11 million shares.</li>
</ul>



Xinyi Glass Holdings (868 HK)'s stable auto glass business is often overlooked, making up 39% of the company's gross profit in 1H23.
Given the current valuation of 7x 2023E PE and 1.3x 2023E PB, the risk reward is skewed to the upside, and downside is protected with the stable auto glass business. 
The company's management has been aggressively increasing stake in the company in the last 2 months, gobbling up 11 million shares.


Xinyi Glass (868 HK):  More Resilient Than Perceived

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>The medium and long-term prospects of the solar glass market remain promising amid the global transition towards green energy, falling costs, supportive government policies, and technological advancement. </li>
<li>The short-term revenue growth outlook doesn't look optimistic given declining ASPs since 2Q21 which should result in slowing revenue growth, declining margins, and contracting earnings off a high base.</li>
<li>Xinyi Solar is also trading at premium valuation levels, leaving no margin-of-safety, especially considering its poor historical free cash flow generation track record and working capital concerns.</li>
</ul>


The medium and long-term prospects of the solar glass market remain promising amid the global transition towards green energy, falling costs, supportive government policies, and technological advancement. 
The short-term revenue growth outlook doesn't look optimistic given declining ASPs since 2Q21 which should result in slowing revenue growth, declining margins, and contracting earnings off a high base.
Xinyi Solar is also trading at premium valuation levels, leaving no margin-of-safety, especially considering its poor historical free cash flow generation track record and working capital concerns.


Xinyi Solar: Short-Term Headwinds, Cash Flow Concerns, and a Premium Valuation

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> are massive laggards YTD.</li>
<li>As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. </li>
</ul>


Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.

Li Auto (2015 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) are massive laggards YTD.
As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. 


HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

China

Xinyi Glass Holdings Ltd, through its subsidiaries, produces a variety of processed glass products for automobile, construction and household applications. The Company also tenders for glass curtain wall projects and conducts installation service of glass curtain wall in China.

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Xinyi Glass Holdings (868 HK)

Xinyi Glass (868): Beneficiary of Chinese RE Rejuvenation

Xinyi Glass, makers of float glass in China, will benefit from home ownership relaxation policies in China. Currently trades at 7x PER with 6% yield.

Henry Soediarko

Xinyi Glass (868 HK): Resilient FY23 Results; A Nice Dividend Play

Xinyi Glass (868 HK) reported FY23 results with 5% yoy increase in net profit and 4% yoy increase in sales. The company is a solid value and...

Steve Zhou, CFA

Xinyi Glass (868 HK): More Resilient Than Perceived

I am pushing this up after only a week because of 1) news that China plans to increase budget deficit for 2023 and issue at least RMB1 trillion...

Steve Zhou, CFA

Xinyi Solar: Short-Term Headwinds, Cash Flow Concerns, and a Premium Valuation

In this insight, I carry out a deep dive analysis into Xinyi Solar, the outlook for the company, upcoming catalysts, and its current valuation...

Wium Malan, CFA

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Xinyi Glass (868): Beneficiary of Chinese RE Rejuvenation

Xinyi Glass, makers of float glass in China, will benefit from home ownership relaxation policies in China. Currently trades at 7x PER with 6% yield.

Henry Soediarko

Xinyi Glass (868 HK): Resilient FY23 Results; A Nice Dividend Play

​Xinyi Glass (868 HK) reported FY23 results with 5% yoy increase in net profit and 4% yoy increase in sales. The company is a solid value and...

Steve Zhou, CFA

Xinyi Glass (868 HK): More Resilient Than Perceived

I am pushing this up after only a week because of 1) news that China plans to increase budget deficit for 2023 and issue at least RMB1 trillion...

Steve Zhou, CFA

Xinyi Solar: Short-Term Headwinds, Cash Flow Concerns, and a Premium Valuation

In this insight, I carry out a deep dive analysis into Xinyi Solar, the outlook for the company, upcoming catalysts, and its current valuation...

Wium Malan, CFA

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Xinyi Glass (868 HK) reported FY23 results with 5% yoy increase in net profit and 4% yoy increase in sales. The company is a solid value and...