Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>One of the curious share price movements this year has been the outperformance of Samsung Electronics versus other global tech peers including Apple, TSMC, Intel, and Xiaomi.</li>
<li>Three reasons why Samsung is outperforming global peers such as Apple and TSMC may due to a potential war in Taiwan, COVID lockdown in Shanghai, and new pro-business Korean President.</li>
<li>Caution is warranted on playing long/short on Samsung, Apple, and TSMC in the coming months as their tides appear to be driven too much by the whims of global politics. </li>
</ul>


One of the curious share price movements this year has been the outperformance of Samsung Electronics versus other global tech peers including Apple, TSMC, Intel, and Xiaomi.
Three reasons why Samsung is outperforming global peers such as Apple and TSMC may due to a potential war in Taiwan, COVID lockdown in Shanghai, and new pro-business Korean President.
Caution is warranted on playing long/short on Samsung, Apple, and TSMC in the coming months as their tides appear to be driven too much by the whims of global politics. 


3 Major Reasons Why Samsung and KOSPI Are Outperforming Other Global Peers & Country Equity Indices

<ul>
<li>Three major positive factors for Samsung C&amp;T include deep discount NAV, capital shifting to value/holdcos, and higher commodity prices boosting trading business earnings. </li>
<li>Shanghai lockdown remains a black box event and there are some increasing concerns that the China COVID induced lockdowns could result in a potential earnings miss for Samsung Electronics.</li>
<li>Samsung C&amp;T (028260 KS) has been outperforming Samsung Electronics (005930 KS). Samsung C&amp;T is flat for the year versus Samsung Electronics which is down 13.6% YTD.</li>
</ul>


Three major positive factors for Samsung C&amp;T include deep discount NAV, capital shifting to value/holdcos, and higher commodity prices boosting trading business earnings. 
Shanghai lockdown remains a black box event and there are some increasing concerns that the China COVID induced lockdowns could result in a potential earnings miss for Samsung Electronics.
Samsung C&amp;T (028260 KS) has been outperforming Samsung Electronics (005930 KS). Samsung C&amp;T is flat for the year versus Samsung Electronics which is down 13.6% YTD.


Samsung C&T: Deep Discount NAV, Capital Shifting to Value/Holdcos, & Trading Business Boost

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<p>Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.</p>In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/guangzhou-r-f-properties-h' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Guangzhou R&F Properties</a></li><li><a href='/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Sunac China Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/greenland-hong-kong-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Greenland Hong Kong Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-evergrande-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Evergrande</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:China Jinmao HoldingsGuangzhou R&F PropertiesSunac China HoldingsGreenland Hong Kong HoldingsEvergrandeand more...

<p>Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="#lucror-entity-24409" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp</a></li>
</ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

Xiaomi Corp


Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In 1Q22, Xiaomi’s revenue decreased by 5% YoY in 1Q22 and the main business, smartphone, decreased by 11% YoY.</li>
<li>Both global and domestic markets shrank and the competitor "Honor" came back.</li>
<li>We conclude a downside of 26% and price target of HK$8.10.</li>
</ul>


In 1Q22, Xiaomi’s revenue decreased by 5% YoY in 1Q22 and the main business, smartphone, decreased by 11% YoY.
Both global and domestic markets shrank and the competitor "Honor" came back.
We conclude a downside of 26% and price target of HK$8.10.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): 1Q22, Revenue Down Due to Weak Smartphone Market, 26% Downside

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)

3 Major Reasons Why Samsung and KOSPI Are Outperforming Other Global Peers & Country Equity Indices

Three reasons why Samsung is outperforming global peers such as Apple and TSMC may due to a potential war in Taiwan, COVID lockdown in Shanghai,...

Douglas Kim

Samsung C&T: Deep Discount NAV, Capital Shifting to Value/Holdcos, & Trading Business Boost

Three major positive factors for Samsung C&T include deep discount NAV, capital shifting to value/holdcos, and higher commodity prices boosting...

Douglas Kim

Weekly Wrap - 20 May 2022

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Xiaomi Corp

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Xiaomi (1810 HK): 1Q22, Revenue Down Due to Weak Smartphone Market, 26% Downside

In 1Q22, Xiaomi’s revenue decreased by 5% YoY in 1Q22 (Exhibit 1) and the main business, smartphone, decreased by 11% YoY. The smartphone market...

Ming Lu

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