Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Xiaomi reported CY2Q24 revenue, non-IFRS EBIT and non-IFRS net income 5.6%, 32.2%, and 40.0% vs. consensus. </li>
<li>Despite the limited scale and numerous incentives offered at launch, Xiaomi reported an EV gross margin of 15.4%. Greater scale and reduced incentives provide further margin upside in C2H24;</li>
<li>Xiaomi’s smartphone and IoT market share gain have accelerated amid the halo-effect stemming from the SU7. We reiterate our BUY rating, and raise  TP to HK$27.0, implying 28.3x CY25 P/E.</li>
</ul>


Xiaomi reported CY2Q24 revenue, non-IFRS EBIT and non-IFRS net income 5.6%, 32.2%, and 40.0% vs. consensus. 
Despite the limited scale and numerous incentives offered at launch, Xiaomi reported an EV gross margin of 15.4%. Greater scale and reduced incentives provide further margin upside in C2H24;
Xiaomi’s smartphone and IoT market share gain have accelerated amid the halo-effect stemming from the SU7. We reiterate our BUY rating, and raise  TP to HK$27.0, implying 28.3x CY25 P/E.


[Xiaomi Inc. (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$27) TP Change]: Surprising SU7 Gross Margin a Huge Positive

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Xiaomi delivered strong 2Q24 revenue/adj.net profit growth of 32%/20% YoY. Adj. net profit is 21%/27% ahead of our/consensus estimates, mainly driven by stronger EV/internet GPM and improving efficiency.</li><li>Xiaomi reported its first EV business financials with a quarterly GPM at 15.7%, well above market expectation of 5-10%, and mgmt. guided QoQ GPM expansion into 3Q/4Q24E.</li><li>Looking ahead, we are positive on Xiaomi smartphones’ global market share gains, new retail strategy execution, AIoT business growth momentum and EV shipment delivery to drive earnings growth into FY24E-25E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xiaomi delivered strong 2Q24 revenue/adj.net profit growth of 32%/20% YoY. Adj. net profit is 21%/27% ahead of our/consensus estimates, mainly driven by stronger EV/internet GPM and improving efficiency.Xiaomi reported its first EV business financials with a quarterly GPM at 15.7%, well above market expectation of 5-10%, and mgmt. guided QoQ GPM expansion into 3Q/4Q24E.Looking ahead, we are positive on Xiaomi smartphones’ global market share gains, new retail strategy execution, AIoT business growth momentum and EV shipment delivery to drive earnings growth into FY24E-25E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - 2Q24 Beat on EV GPM and Resilient Core Earnings; Reiterate BUY

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>SE Asia &amp; India deploying semi supply chains for efficiency &amp; cost reduction, with focus shifting to automotive &amp; mobile ventures.</li><li>Taiwan leveraging strong semiconductor industry to attract foreign students &amp; enhance industry leadership. </li><li>Wiwynn suing Musk's X over unpaid server bills, UK reassessing semiconductor strategy amid US &amp; China influence. Apple's Foxconn to manufacture iPhone Pro in India, AMD entering AI market with $4.9 billion investment. TSMC building EUR10B fab in Dresden to boost semiconductor industry.</li></ul>

SE Asia &amp; India deploying semi supply chains for efficiency &amp; cost reduction, with focus shifting to automotive &amp; mobile ventures.Taiwan leveraging strong semiconductor industry to attract foreign students &amp; enhance industry leadership. Wiwynn suing Musk's X over unpaid server bills, UK reassessing semiconductor strategy amid US &amp; China influence. Apple's Foxconn to manufacture iPhone Pro in India, AMD entering AI market with $4.9 billion investment. TSMC building EUR10B fab in Dresden to boost semiconductor industry.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Aug-2024): SE Asia & India semi supply chains deployment

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Excluding the new business electrical vehicle, total revenue increased by 23% YoY in 2Q24.</li>
<li>Smartphone shipments grew faster than Samsung and Apple in 2Q24.</li>
<li>We believe electrical vehicle will bring significant gross profit in following two years.</li>
</ul>


Excluding the new business electrical vehicle, total revenue increased by 23% YoY in 2Q24.
Smartphone shipments grew faster than Samsung and Apple in 2Q24.
We believe electrical vehicle will bring significant gross profit in following two years.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): 2Q24, Revenue up by 32%, Electric Vehicle Profit to Follow, Buy

<ul><li>Xiaomi will report 2Q24 results in late August.</li><li>We estimate 2Q revenue/adj. net income of RMB 89.2bn/5.1bn (+30%/flattish YoY), 6%/15% above consensus, mainly driven by strong smartphone sales, strength in AIoT/internet and better EV sales with improving profitability.</li><li>Ahead into 2H24E, we are positive on Xiaomi’s global smartphone share gains backed by multiple product launches and expansion in LATAM/EMEA/SEA, and overseas AIoT growth, despite BOM cost hike in the near term. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xiaomi will report 2Q24 results in late August.We estimate 2Q revenue/adj. net income of RMB 89.2bn/5.1bn (+30%/flattish YoY), 6%/15% above consensus, mainly driven by strong smartphone sales, strength in AIoT/internet and better EV sales with improving profitability.Ahead into 2H24E, we are positive on Xiaomi’s global smartphone share gains backed by multiple product launches and expansion in LATAM/EMEA/SEA, and overseas AIoT growth, despite BOM cost hike in the near term. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - 2Q24E Preview: Expect Resilient Core Earnings with Better EV Profitability

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)

[Xiaomi Inc. (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$27) TP Change]: Surprising SU7 Gross Margin a Huge Positive

Xiaomi beats revenue, EBIT, and net income expectations in CY2Q24, with potential for margin growth in C2H24 due to scale and reduced incentives.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - 2Q24 Beat on EV GPM and Resilient Core Earnings; Reiterate BUY

Xiaomi delivered strong 2Q24 revenue/adj.net profit growth of 32%/20% YoY. Adj. net profit is 21%/27% ahead of our/consensus estimates, mainly...

CMB International

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Aug-2024): SE Asia & India semi supply chains deployment

SE Asia, India, Taiwan, UK, and US focus on semiconductor industry growth and competition, with companies like Xiaomi, Foxconn, AMD, TSMC, and...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Xiaomi (1810 HK): 2Q24, Revenue up by 32%, Electric Vehicle Profit to Follow, Buy

Excluding electrical vehicle, total revenue increased by 23% YoY in 2Q24. Smartphone shipments grew faster than Samsung and Apple. We believe...

Ming Lu

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - 2Q24E Preview: Expect Resilient Core Earnings with Better EV Profitability

We estimate 2Q revenue/adj. net income of RMB 89.2bn/5.1bn (+30%/flattish YoY), 6%/15% above consensus, mainly driven by strong smartphone sales

CMB International

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[Xiaomi Inc. (1810 HK, BUY, TP HK$27) TP Change]: Surprising SU7 Gross Margin a Huge Positive

​Xiaomi beats revenue, EBIT, and net income expectations in CY2Q24, with potential for margin growth in C2H24 due to scale and reduced incentives.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - 2Q24 Beat on EV GPM and Resilient Core Earnings; Reiterate BUY

Xiaomi delivered strong 2Q24 revenue/adj.net profit growth of 32%/20% YoY. Adj. net profit is 21%/27% ahead of our/consensus estimates, mainly...

CMB International

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (22-Aug-2024): SE Asia & India semi supply chains deployment

SE Asia, India, Taiwan, UK, and US focus on semiconductor industry growth and competition, with companies like Xiaomi, Foxconn, AMD, TSMC, and...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Xiaomi (1810 HK): 2Q24, Revenue up by 32%, Electric Vehicle Profit to Follow, Buy

Excluding electrical vehicle, total revenue increased by 23% YoY in 2Q24. Smartphone shipments grew faster than Samsung and Apple. We believe...

Ming Lu

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - 2Q24E Preview: Expect Resilient Core Earnings with Better EV Profitability

We estimate 2Q revenue/adj. net income of RMB 89.2bn/5.1bn (+30%/flattish YoY), 6%/15% above consensus, mainly driven by strong smartphone sales

CMB International

Xiaomi beats revenue, EBIT, and net income expectations in CY2Q24, with potential for margin growth in C2H24 due to scale and reduced incentives.