Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Australian Strategic Materials / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sierra-rutile-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36235:1" rel="noopener">Sierra Rutile Holdings (SRX AU)</a> is a high probability delete from the index, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-strategic-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30815:1" rel="noopener">Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</a> is close to the deletion threshold.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sayona-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1589:1" rel="noopener">Sayona Mining (SYA AU)</a> is the highest ranked non-constituent while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianqi-lithium-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27789:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)</a> only makes inclusion at the entire IPO raise.</li>
<li>Deletion from the index will require passive trackers to sell over 5 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-strategic-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30815:1" rel="noopener">Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Sierra Rutile Holdings (SRX AU) is a high probability delete from the index, while Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU) is close to the deletion threshold.

Sayona Mining (SYA AU) is the highest ranked non-constituent while Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK) only makes inclusion at the entire IPO raise.
Deletion from the index will require passive trackers to sell over 5 days of ADV on Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU). 


MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Potential Deletes

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

JL Mag Rare-Earth   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>JL Mag Rare-earth Co. Ltd (JLM) aims to raise up to US$650m via its H-shares listing. </li>
<li>JLM is a producer of high-performance REPMs. It ranked first in the world by high-performance REPM production volume in 2020 with a market share of approximately 14.5%.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the pricing and other deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


JL Mag Rare-earth Co. Ltd (JLM) aims to raise up to US$650m via its H-shares listing. 
JLM is a producer of high-performance REPMs. It ranked first in the world by high-performance REPM production volume in 2020 with a market share of approximately 14.5%.
In this note, we look at the pricing and other deal dynamics.


JL Mag Rare-Earth A/​H Listing - High-End a No Go, Post Correction

<ul>
<li>JL Mag Rare-earth Co. Ltd (JLM) aims to raise around US$300m via its H-shares listing.  </li>
<li>JLM is a producer of high-performance REPMs. It ranked first in the world by high-performance REPM production volume in 2020 with a market share of approximately 14.5%.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company’s past performance, and try to gauge a suitable A/H premium.</li>
</ul>


JL Mag Rare-earth Co. Ltd (JLM) aims to raise around US$300m via its H-shares listing.  
JLM is a producer of high-performance REPMs. It ranked first in the world by high-performance REPM production volume in 2020 with a market share of approximately 14.5%.
In this note, we look at the company’s past performance, and try to gauge a suitable A/H premium.


JL Mag Rare-Earth A/H Listing - Ticks the Right EV and Clean Energy Boxes, Thoughts on Valuation

CHINA - Healthcare, Steel, Autos, Education, Research From Beijing

Scott Laprise/ 乐天虎

CHINA - Healthcare, Steel, Autos, Education

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>This is a big topic that I find myself addressing to investors each quarter for the past 10 years as a steel analyst from where I live in Beijing, China. No steel production cuts have been made by the government and none are expected in the near term. </p><p>The evidence for this view is clear looking at crude steel production data, we see record high levels of production out of China in September.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/016/382/original/crude%20steel.png?1479190556" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="16382"></figure><div class="content-caption">Figure 1: World Crude Steel Production - 139m tonnes in September up 2% YoY</div><div class="content-remarks"><p>Source: <a href="http://www.worldsteel.org/media-centre/press-releases/2016/September-2016-crude-steel-production.html" target="_blank">http://www.worldsteel.o</a>…</p></div>

This is a big topic that I find myself addressing to investors each quarter for the past 10 years as a steel analyst from where I live in Beijing, China. No steel production cuts have been made by the government and none are expected in the near term. The evidence for this view is clear looking at crude steel production data, we see record high levels of production out of China in September.Figure 1: World Crude Steel Production - 139m tonnes in September up 2% YoYSource: http://www.worldsteel.o…

Steel in China- No Government Capacity Shutdown

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst, Evidente

Sam Ferraro

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst

Evidente

Evidente is an independent financial education firm that delivers innovative financial advice to wholesale investors, including active long only funds, hedge funds, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds, in Australia and globally.  Drawing on academic research in asset pricing, behavioural finance and portfolio construction, Evidente provides wholesale investors with commercial solutions to stock selection and asset allocation decisions across equities and other asset classes.

<ul><li>In this post, Evidente draws on recent analysis undertaken by the RBA of developments in China's residential property markets.  Thanks to a number of government policies implemented since 2014, there has been a substantial pick-up in conditions since the start of the year, particularly an acceleration in residential sales, as measured by floor space sold.</li><li>The strong pick-up has supported the renewed strength in global commodity prices, but has probably contributed to key growing vulnerabilities and risks, around leverage of property developers, the still large stock of unsold housing inventory and annual growth in house prices that appears close to a peak if history is any guide. </li><li>Against this backdrop, Evidente's model portfolio retains a substantial underweight in the Materials sector, with overweights in RIO, BSL and MND representing the key exposures.  </li></ul>

In this post, Evidente draws on recent analysis undertaken by the RBA of developments in China's residential property markets.  Thanks to a number of government policies implemented since 2014, there has been a substantial pick-up in conditions since the start of the year, particularly an acceleration in residential sales, as measured by floor space sold.The strong pick-up has supported the renewed strength in global commodity prices, but has probably contributed to key growing vulnerabilities and risks, around leverage of property developers, the still large stock of unsold housing inventory and annual growth in house prices that appears close to a peak if history is any guide. Against this backdrop, Evidente's model portfolio retains a substantial underweight in the Materials sector, with overweights in RIO, BSL and MND representing the key exposures.  

China Housing: Strong Recovery but Debt and Vulnerabilities Rise

China

Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd. smelts and processes tungsten products.  The Company's products include ammonium paratungstate, blue tungsten oxide, yellow tungsten oxide, tungsten powder, and tungsten alloy products.  Xiamen Tungsten also produces battery and operates in real estate development and management.

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Xiamen Tungsten Co Ltd A (600549 CH)

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Potential Deletes

Sierra Rutile is a high probability delete from the REMX in September. There is a possibility that ASM is deleted too. There is flow on the other...

Brian Freitas

JL Mag Rare-Earth A/H Listing - High-End a No Go, Post Correction

JL Mag Rare-earth Co. Ltd (JLM) aims to raise up to US$650m via its H-shares listing. In this note, we will look at the valuation and other deal...

Sumeet Singh

JL Mag Rare-Earth A/H Listing - Ticks the Right EV and Clean Energy Boxes, Thoughts on Valuation

JL Mag Rare-earth Co. Ltd (JLM) aims to raise around US$300m via its H-shares listing. In this note, we look at the deal dynamics and provide our...

Sumeet Singh

Steel in China- No Government Capacity Shutdown

This is a big topic that I find myself addressing to investors each quarter for the past 10 years as a steel analyst from where I live in Beijing,...

Scott Laprise/ 乐天虎

China Housing: Strong Recovery but Debt and Vulnerabilities Rise

In this post, Evidente draws on recent analysis undertaken by the RBA of developments in China's residential property markets. Thanks to a number...

Sam Ferraro

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Potential Deletes

Sierra Rutile is a high probability delete from the REMX in September. There is a possibility that ASM is deleted too. There is flow on the other...

Brian Freitas

JL Mag Rare-Earth A/​H Listing - High-End a No Go, Post Correction

JL Mag Rare-earth Co. Ltd (JLM) aims to raise up to US$650m via its H-shares listing. In this note, we will look at the valuation and other deal...

Sumeet Singh

JL Mag Rare-Earth A/H Listing - Ticks the Right EV and Clean Energy Boxes, Thoughts on Valuation

JL Mag Rare-earth Co. Ltd (JLM) aims to raise around US$300m via its H-shares listing. In this note, we look at the deal dynamics and provide our...

Sumeet Singh

Steel in China- No Government Capacity Shutdown

This is a big topic that I find myself addressing to investors each quarter for the past 10 years as a steel analyst from where I live in Beijing,...

Scott Laprise/ 乐天虎

China Housing: Strong Recovery but Debt and Vulnerabilities Rise

In this post, Evidente draws on recent analysis undertaken by the RBA of developments in China's residential property markets. Thanks to a number...

Sam Ferraro

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Couple of Potential Deletes

JL Mag Rare-Earth A/H Listing - High-End a No Go, Post Correction