HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Due to the popularity of GLP-1 target, the entire GLP-1 upstream and downstream industry chain has received great enthusiasm. We analyzed related investment opportunities but also concerns in this market.  </li>
<li>Domestic CXOs should focus on securing orders for overseas weight loss drugs. The market value increment brought by weight loss drugs to CXO should be higher than that of APIs.</li>
<li>Due to increasing competition/potential price war, how big the real market space is uncertain. So, the market value increment of weight loss drugs business for pharmaceutical companies could be lower-than-expected.</li>
</ul>


Due to the popularity of GLP-1 target, the entire GLP-1 upstream and downstream industry chain has received great enthusiasm. We analyzed related investment opportunities but also concerns in this market.  
Domestic CXOs should focus on securing orders for overseas weight loss drugs. The market value increment brought by weight loss drugs to CXO should be higher than that of APIs.
Due to increasing competition/potential price war, how big the real market space is uncertain. So, the market value increment of weight loss drugs business for pharmaceutical companies could be lower-than-expected.


China's Weight Loss Drug Market – The Investment Opportunities and the Risks Behind

Equity Bottom-Up

Joinn Laboratories China  Lt / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The "Monkey Price Index" could be a direct indicator of the fervor of biopharmaceutical development, and the accounting treatment of biological assets would have a big impact on Joinn’s performance.</li>
<li>The current business layout, strategy, revenue structure, CXO industry trend as well as the domestic negative policy impact would cast doubts on Joinn’s future development.</li>
<li>Based on our analysis, Joinn still lacks the strong logic to support its long-term growth and high valuation. Therefore, we are conservative about Joinn’s outlook at the current stage.</li>
</ul>


The "Monkey Price Index" could be a direct indicator of the fervor of biopharmaceutical development, and the accounting treatment of biological assets would have a big impact on Joinn’s performance.
The current business layout, strategy, revenue structure, CXO industry trend as well as the domestic negative policy impact would cast doubts on Joinn’s future development.
Based on our analysis, Joinn still lacks the strong logic to support its long-term growth and high valuation. Therefore, we are conservative about Joinn’s outlook at the current stage.


Joinn Laboratories (6127.HK) - Concerns Begin to Arise when the Monkeys Become More Expensive

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>MP is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various acute and chronic therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with some of the India listed and domestically focussed pharmaceutical firms.</li>
</ul>



Mankind Pharma is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO.
MP is a pharmaceutical company engaged in developing, manufacturing and marketing a range of pharmaceutical formulations across various acute and chronic therapeutic areas, as well as several consumer healthcare products.
In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison with some of the India listed and domestically focussed pharmaceutical firms.


Mankind Pharma Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - One of the Largest, with Better Growth and Margins

<ul>
<li>The rebounds in healthcare sector is more due to oversold. Unfriendly macro environment could make stock price fluctuate largely.Investors would find better places to long than the current valuation level.</li>
<li>The new document about payment management measures for new technology out of CHS-DRG payment scope is an important “policy correction” signal, but there are still problems remain to be solved.</li>
<li>We analyzed our top picks and investment logic in CXO, pharmaceuticals and medical device industry. Overall, as a “defensive sector”, China healthcare has investment value in such complicated external environment.</li>
</ul>


The rebounds in healthcare sector is more due to oversold. Unfriendly macro environment could make stock price fluctuate largely.Investors would find better places to long than the current valuation level.
The new document about payment management measures for new technology out of CHS-DRG payment scope is an important “policy correction” signal, but there are still problems remain to be solved.
We analyzed our top picks and investment logic in CXO, pharmaceuticals and medical device industry. Overall, as a “defensive sector”, China healthcare has investment value in such complicated external environment.


2022H2 China Healthcare Investment Strategy and Top Picks

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 90.4% as of Apr 18th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.5ppt week-on-week, led by health care, consumer staples, materials and offset by real estate, energy, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Shandong Gold Mining, Innocare Pharma, China Oilfield Services.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 90.4% as of Apr 18th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.5ppt week-on-week, led by health care, consumer staples, materials and offset by real estate, energy, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Shandong Gold Mining, Innocare Pharma, China Oilfield Services.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 18th): Remegen, Shandong Gold Mining, Innocare Pharma

China

WuXi AppTec Co., Ltd. manufactures medical products. The Company produces biological agents, antibodies, biological diagnostic reagents, and other products. WuXi AppTec also provides biological analysis, technical study, and other services.

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WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)

China's Weight Loss Drug Market – The Investment Opportunities and the Risks Behind

The GLP-1 target has been recognized as a blockbuster target, which has attracted great enthusiasm from investors.We analyzed related investment...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Joinn Laboratories (6127.HK) - Concerns Begin to Arise when the Monkeys Become More Expensive

Joinn is the company with the strongest cyclical attribute in CXO sector, mainly because its performance growth is closely related with changes in...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Mankind Pharma Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - One of the Largest, with Better Growth and Margins

Mankind Pharma is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.

Sumeet Singh

2022H2 China Healthcare Investment Strategy and Top Picks

We analyze the investment strategy,top picks and logic in CXO,pharmaceuticals and medical device industry.As a “defensive sector”,China healthcare...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 18th): Remegen, Shandong Gold Mining, Innocare Pharma

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Remegen, Shandong Gold Mining, Innocare Pharma, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)