IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a>, a baijiu company in China, is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$800-900 million next week, according to press reports.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99438" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99455" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at ZJLD's potential valuation range. </li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK), a baijiu company in China, is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$800-900 million next week, according to press reports.
We previously discussed the IPO in ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case and ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at ZJLD's potential valuation range. 


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>ZJLD Group (ZJLD) is a Chinese liquor company primarily producing baijiu.</li>
<li>In this note, we discuss our earnings assumptions and share our thoughts on ZJLD’s valuation.</li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
ZJLD Group (ZJLD) is a Chinese liquor company primarily producing baijiu.
In this note, we discuss our earnings assumptions and share our thoughts on ZJLD’s valuation.


ZJLD Group Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>ZJLD Group (ZJLD) is a Chinese liquor company primarily producing baijiu.</li>
<li>In this note, we discuss the industry dynamics and undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
ZJLD Group (ZJLD) is a Chinese liquor company primarily producing baijiu.
In this note, we discuss the industry dynamics and undertake a peer comparison.


ZJLD Group Pre-IPO Peer Comparison - Smallest but Compensated with Growth. Sentiment Picking Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a>, a baijiu company in China, is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$400 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zjld-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:99438" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on the sharpest revenue slowdown, lowest operating margin and FCF margin vs peers along with a deterioration in lead growth indicators.</li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK), a baijiu company in China, is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise up to US$400 million, according to press reports.
In ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on the sharpest revenue slowdown, lowest operating margin and FCF margin vs peers along with a deterioration in lead growth indicators.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zjld-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36734:1" rel="noopener">ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK)</a>, a baijiu company in China, is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise upto US$400 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>ZJLD is the fourth largest privately-owned baijiu company and ranked third among all baijiu companies with three or more aroma types, in terms of revenue in 2021.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on market share gains, competitive production capacity, premiumization, rising gross margin and inventory days in good shape vs peers.</li>
</ul>



ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK), a baijiu company in China, is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise upto US$400 million, according to press reports.
ZJLD is the fourth largest privately-owned baijiu company and ranked third among all baijiu companies with three or more aroma types, in terms of revenue in 2021.
The key elements of the bull case rest on market share gains, competitive production capacity, premiumization, rising gross margin and inventory days in good shape vs peers.


China

Luzhou Laojiao Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells spirits products worldwide. The Company also produces glass products, manages hotels, and invests in the real estate business.

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co., Ltd. operates in the winery business. The Company's products include Fen wine, Zhuyeqing, and other white spirits.

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co (600809 CH)

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Joint-Stock Company Ltd. manufactures spirits. The Company's products include white spirits, top-graded gifts liquor, and liquor for daily consumption.

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited produces and distributes beer products.  The Company markets its products throughout China and around the world under the Tsingtao Beer brand name.

Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery JSC Ltd. operates as a wine company. The Company produces and distributes wine, liquor, and other related products.

Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery JS (603369 CH)

Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Limited is a company principally engaged in the brewing and distribution of beer. The Company produces, imports, markets, distributes over 50 brands including Budweiser, Stella Artois, Corona, Hoegaarden, Cass, and Harbin. The principal markets include China, South Korea, India and Vietnam.

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. produces and markets distilled spirits and wine.

Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sells liquor products. The Company operates in China.

Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co., Ltd. operates in the brewery industry.  The Company's products include beer, spring water, beer raw materials, feeds, yeast, and other related products.

Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co, Ltd. (000729 CH)

Chongqing Brewery Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets beer products.  The Company also produces medical preparations and capsules.

Anheuser-Busch InBev NV brews beer.  The Company manufactures ale, lager, stout, and bitter beer.  Anheuser-Busch InBev owns brands that are both nationally and internationally prominent.  The Company has production plants in Europe, the Americas, and Asia.

Diageo plc produces, distills and markets alcoholic beverages.  The Company offers a wide range of branded beverages, including vodkas, whiskeys, tequilas, gins, and beer.

Brown-Forman Corporation manufactures, bottles, imports, exports, and markets a wide variety of alcoholic beverage brands. The Company's products include branded whiskey, vodka, wines, tequila, bourbon, and gin.

Monster Beverage Corporation is a holding company based in Corona, California. The Company, through its consolidated subsidiaries, markets and distributes energy drinks worldwide.

Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc. markets, sells, manufactures, and distributes non-alcoholic beverages.  The Company provides refreshments, including sparkling waters, juices, isotonics, teas, and sodas.  Coca-Cola Enterprises operates internationally.

Constellation Brands, Inc. produces and markets alcoholic beverages in North America, Europe, and Australia, and New Zealand. The Company has a portfolio of brands across the wine, imported beer, and distilled spirits categories. Constellation conducts its business through wholly owned subsidiaries as well as through a variety of joint ventures with various other entities.

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. manufactures and distributes non-alcoholic beverages. The Company offers soft drinks, juices, teas, mixers, water, and other beverages. Keurig Dr Pepper serves customers in the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

Heineken NV produces and distributes beverages internationally. The Company produces beers, spirits, wines, and soft drinks under various brand names.

Heineken Holding NV, through its subsidiary produces and distributes beverages internationally.  The Company produces beers, spirits, wines, and soft drinks under various brand names. Heineken operates through numerous subsidiaries and associated companies worldwide.

Pernod Ricard SA produces wines and spirits.  The Company produces wines, bitters, whiskies, anis-based spirits, liqueurs, cognacs and brandies, and white spirits and rums.  Pernod Ricard markets its products worldwide.

Wuliangye Yibin Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets Wuliangye series of liquors. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures carbon and lactic acid and has operation in printing and packaging materials businesses.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd A (000858 CH)

ZJLD Group IPO: Valuation First Look

ZJLD is set to launch an HKEx IPO to raise US$800-900 million next week. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at ZJLD's...

Arun George

ZJLD Group Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we discuss our earnings assumptions and share...

Clarence Chu

ZJLD Group Pre-IPO Peer Comparison - Smallest but Compensated with Growth. Sentiment Picking Up

ZJLD Group (ZJLD HK) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we discuss the industry dynamics and undertake...

Clarence Chu

ZJLD Group IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on the sharpest revenue slowdown, lowest operating margin and FCF margin vs peers along with a deterioration...

Arun George

ZJLD Group IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on market share gains, competitive production capacity, premiumization, rising gross margin and inventory...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)