Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Following 2 years of exceptional performance, share prices have started to correct. The demand outlook remains robust, but revenue and earnings growth rates are decelerating off a high base.</li>
<li>The key catalysts will be the FY2023 outlook and guidance, due April 2022, and the impact of increased shareholder returns.</li>
<li>Based on their recent financial performance, short- to medium-term growth outlook, shareholder return policies, and current valuation levels, the sector remains unattractive.</li>
</ul>


Following 2 years of exceptional performance, share prices have started to correct. The demand outlook remains robust, but revenue and earnings growth rates are decelerating off a high base.
The key catalysts will be the FY2023 outlook and guidance, due April 2022, and the impact of increased shareholder returns.
Based on their recent financial performance, short- to medium-term growth outlook, shareholder return policies, and current valuation levels, the sector remains unattractive.


Indian IT Services: Medium-Term Outlook Unattractive as Growth Slows, on Premium Valuation Levels

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>In a recent Insight, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/regulating-esg-ratings-in-india-outline-of-sebi-s-proposed-regulatory-framework" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:64468" rel="noopener">Regulating ESG Ratings in India: Outline of SEBI's Proposed Regulatory Framework</a>, I summarised SEBI's proposed regulatory framework for ESG ratings in India. </li>
<li>This Insight goes a bit further, looking at implications of regulation on stocks of ESG ratings providers (ERPs), especially Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs) and Research Analysts (RAs).</li>
<li>Downside risk are minimal for ERPs, but a few scenarios and stipulations related to conflicts of interest and compensation (how ERPs are paid, and by whom) could have an impact.</li>
</ul>


In a recent Insight, Regulating ESG Ratings in India: Outline of SEBI's Proposed Regulatory Framework, I summarised SEBI's proposed regulatory framework for ESG ratings in India. 
This Insight goes a bit further, looking at implications of regulation on stocks of ESG ratings providers (ERPs), especially Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs) and Research Analysts (RAs).
Downside risk are minimal for ERPs, but a few scenarios and stipulations related to conflicts of interest and compensation (how ERPs are paid, and by whom) could have an impact.


Credit Rating Agency Stocks Most Impacted by SEBI Regulation of ESG Ratings in India

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Wipro is an IT, consulting &amp; BPO catering to BFSI, health, consumer, energy &amp; utility, technology and communication.</li><li>With 230000 employees, it serves clients across six continents</li><li>We maintain BUY on strong deal momentum especially on large size deals. We value Wipro at Rs 750 i.e. 26x P/E on FY24E EPS</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Wipro is an IT, consulting &amp; BPO catering to BFSI, health, consumer, energy &amp; utility, technology and communication.With 230000 employees, it serves clients across six continentsWe maintain BUY on strong deal momentum especially on large size deals. We value Wipro at Rs 750 i.e. 26x P/E on FY24E EPSContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Wipro (WPRO) reported 3QFY22 IT Services revenue of USD2.64b (+3.0% QoQ CC), missing our estimate by 70bps</li><li>We now expect FY22 IT Services revenue growth at 27.4% (18.5% YoY organic growth), down 100bps v/s the previous expectation.</li><li>We lower our FY22–24E EPS estimate by 1% to factor in the miss on the growth front. We maintain our Neutral stance as we view the current valuation as fair</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Wipro (WPRO) reported 3QFY22 IT Services revenue of USD2.64b (+3.0% QoQ CC), missing our estimate by 70bpsWe now expect FY22 IT Services revenue growth at 27.4% (18.5% YoY organic growth), down 100bps v/s the previous expectation.We lower our FY22–24E EPS estimate by 1% to factor in the miss on the growth front. We maintain our Neutral stance as we view the current valuation as fairContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Wipro Ltd: Miss on 3Q and 4Q Revenue Guidance

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Wipro Ltd’s (Wipro) revenue growth stood below our expectations at Rs 20,313 Cr, up 3.1% QoQ and 27% YoY in CC terms</li><li>Operating profit grew robust 30.8% YoY to Rs 3,492 Cr, aided by better executions, better employee management and service mix</li><li>We recommend a HOLD rating on the stock and assign a 27x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 27.7/share to arrive at a TP of Rs 750/share, implying an upside of 9% from CMP.</li></ul><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Wipro Ltd’s (Wipro) revenue growth stood below our expectations at Rs 20,313 Cr, up 3.1% QoQ and 27% YoY in CC termsOperating profit grew robust 30.8% YoY to Rs 3,492 Cr, aided by better executions, better employee management and service mixWe recommend a HOLD rating on the stock and assign a 27x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 27.7/share to arrive at a TP of Rs 750/share, implying an upside of 9% from CMP.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Wipro: Revenue Below Expectations; Efficient Execution Provides Margins Resilience

India

Tech Mahindra Ltd. develops and markets computer software.  The Company markets software for telecommunications equipment manufacturers, telecom service providers, software vendors, and systems integrators.

HCL Technologies Limited provides software development and related engineering services.  The Group's technologies utilize a variety of technologies, including Internet and e-commerce, networking, internet telephony, embedded software, ASIC/VLSI design and testing, satellite and wireless communications, and component based object technologies, including COM, DCOM and COBRA.

LTIMindtree Limited provides information technology services and solutions. The Company offers analytics and information management, enterprise integration, applications management, cloud computing, testing, and consulting services, as well as geographical information and manufacturing execution systems. LTIMindtree serves customers worldwide.

Mphasis Limited is a global IT and BPO service provider to G2000 companies around the globe, assists its clients in innovating and streamlining their business processes by offering custom solutions for technology and operations outsourcing. The Company focuses on financial services, logistics and technology verticals.

Persistent Systems Limited offers outsourced software product development. The Company offer services that include testing, support, and professional services.

WNS (Holdings) Ltd., operates as a holding company The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides business process outsourcing services including finance, accounting, customer relationship management, and business administration services.

Firstsource Solutions Limited provides business process outsourcing services. The Company provides services globally to companies in the banking, financial services, and insurance industries.

Sonata Software Limited operates an Information Technology company, which provides software products, development services, IT consulting, and a number of business solutions services.  The Group exports its products primarily to the U.S.A., Europe and Asia.

eClerx Services Limited provides data analytics and solutions to global enterprise clients in the financial services, retail and manufacturing industries. The Company offers data analytics, operations management, data audits, metrics management and reporting services.

Mastek Limited provides software solutions and integration services for the financial services, insurance, manufacturing, telecom and retail sectors.

Computershare Limited operates share registries and computer bureaus which includes the administration of employee share and option plans and the provision of software that specializes in share registry, financial and stock markets. The Company also provides corporate trust services and acts as a trustee for clients' debt offerings in certain markets.

OBIC Co., Ltd. provides computer system integration, office automation, consultation, and system support services primarily for small and medium size companies.  The Company sells, leases, and maintains computers, peripherals, and related systems.  OBIC also develops and sells customized software and network systems.

Paychex, Inc. provides comprehensive payroll and integrated human resource and employee benefits outsourcing solutions for small- to medium-sized businesses in the United States. The Company's services range from calculating payroll and filing tax payments to administering retirement plans and workers' compensation.

Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation provides custom Information Technology (IT) consulting and technology services as well as outsourcing services. The Company's core competencies include technology strategy consulting, complex systems development, enterprise software package implementation and maintenance, data warehousing and business intelligence.

Global Payments Inc. provides electronic transaction processing, information systems, and services.  The Company serves the financial, corporate, government, and merchant communities on a worldwide basis.  Global Payments provides funds transfer, merchant services, merchant accounting, Internet services, and other services.

Gartner, Inc. provides research and analysis on the computer hardware, software, communications, and related information technology industries.  The Company's business segments include research, consulting, measurement, events and executive programs.

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp. provides management and technology consulting services to the U.S. government in the defense, intelligence and civil markets. The Company offers economic and business analysis, information technology, intelligence and operations analysis, modeling and simulation, organization and other consulting services.

Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. is a payment services provider. The Company provides credit and debit card processing, electronic banking services, check risk management, check cashing, and merchant card processing services to financial institutions and merchants.

Corpay, Inc. operates as a business payments company. The Company offers global payment, currency risk management, and invoice automation solutions which help businesses to control, simplify, and secure payment for vehicle related expenses, general payables, tolls, insurance, and lodging expenses. Corpay serves customers worldwide.

NTT Data Corporation mainly provides large scale system integration and networking system services. System integration involves data transmission system design, sales, leasing, and services.  Network System Services include internet related and linked computer networks, and data provision and management of data. The Company is a subsidiary of Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Corporation.

Wipro Limited specializes in IT and computer related technologies. The Group's services encompass a number of areas, including software architecture, business intelligence systems, e-commerce, data warehousing, Internet access devices, network management, system administration, messaging systems, IT consulting and design. Wipro also has a presence in niche markets of consumer products.

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Wipro Ltd (WPRO IN)

Indian IT Services: Medium-Term Outlook Unattractive as Growth Slows, on Premium Valuation Levels

In this insight, I take a longer-term view on the 4 largest companies in the Indian IT Services sector, analysing their recent financial...

Wium Malan, CFA

Credit Rating Agency Stocks Most Impacted by SEBI Regulation of ESG Ratings in India

The potential impacts of SEBI's proposed framework for regulating ESG ratings are unclear at this stage, but a few things (related to conflicts of...

Kyle Rudden

Wipro Ltd: Weak Margins in IT Services

five years (from ~Rs 178 in January 2017 to ~Rs 640 levels in January 2022). We maintain BUY on strong deal momentum especially on large size deals...

ICICI Securities Limited

Wipro Ltd: Miss on 3Q and 4Q Revenue Guidance

Wipro (WPRO) reported 3QFY22 IT Services revenue of USD2.64b (+3.0% QoQ CC), missing our estimate by 70bps. We now expect FY22 IT Services revenue...

Motilal Oswal

Wipro: Revenue Below Expectations; Efficient Execution Provides Margins Resilience

We recommend a HOLD rating on the stock and assign a 27x P/E multiple to its FY24E earnings of Rs 27.7/share to arrive at a TP of Rs 750/share,...

Axis Direct

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