Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/srisawad-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9480:1" rel="noopener">Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB)</a> is likely to join the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> in early March following the DTAC/TRUE merger.</li>
<li>Then there should be one change in June with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jaymart-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12053:1" rel="noopener">Jaymart PCL (JMART TB)</a> in the index.</li>
<li>There is one stock close to failing the liquidity test and that could lead to another change with a few stocks vying for index inclusion.</li>
</ul>



Srisawad Power 1979 (SAWAD TB) is likely to join the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) in early March following the DTAC/TRUE merger.
Then there should be one change in June with Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) replacing Jaymart PCL (JMART TB) in the index.
There is one stock close to failing the liquidity test and that could lead to another change with a few stocks vying for index inclusion.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Changes from Now to June

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The reference period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> December 2022 Rebalance is about to come to an end.</li>
<li>With the market consultation changes confirmed as expected and the DTAC-TRUE merger likely to get delayed to 1Q CY2023, I expect 4 ADDs/DELs in December 2022. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ratch-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15338:1" rel="noopener">Ratch Group PCL (RATCH TB)</a> is a potential surprise ADD and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irpc-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19051:1" rel="noopener">IRPC PCL (IRPC TB)</a> is a potential surprise DEL out of the index changes predicted in this insight.</li>
</ul>


The reference period for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) December 2022 Rebalance is about to come to an end.
With the market consultation changes confirmed as expected and the DTAC-TRUE merger likely to get delayed to 1Q CY2023, I expect 4 ADDs/DELs in December 2022. 

Ratch Group PCL (RATCH TB) is a potential surprise ADD and IRPC PCL (IRPC TB) is a potential surprise DEL out of the index changes predicted in this insight.


Thailand SET50 Quiddity Dec 22 Final Expectations: DTAC-TRUE Delay Could Cause RATCH-IRPC Surprise

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We maintain BUY rating with a target price of Bt4.54,derived from 18.0xPE’23,its 5 year trading average .BUY rating reflects positive outlook for  higher land sales and rising revenue from utility </li>
<li>Positive outlook from analyst meeting Management have positive view to overall business in 2022 and 2023.</li>
<li>Industrial estate business: WHA can sell land at  1,512 rai in 9M22 (1,412 rai in thailand and 100 rai in vietnam),accouting for 92% of 22 target at 1,650 rai. Meanwhiles,</li>
</ul>


We maintain BUY rating with a target price of Bt4.54,derived from 18.0xPE’23,its 5 year trading average .BUY rating reflects positive outlook for  higher land sales and rising revenue from utility 
Positive outlook from analyst meeting Management have positive view to overall business in 2022 and 2023.
Industrial estate business: WHA can sell land at  1,512 rai in 9M22 (1,412 rai in thailand and 100 rai in vietnam),accouting for 92% of 22 target at 1,650 rai. Meanwhiles,


WHA : Positive Outlook for 2022-23 Performance

<ul>
<li>We maintain BUY rating with new target price of Bt4.54,derived from 18.0xPE’23, its 5 year trading average,to reflect higher revenue recognition of land sales.</li>
<li>3Q22 earnings enhanced  YoY WHA reported  3Q22’s net profit of Bt259m (+61%YoY, -11% QoQ),lower than market expectation  by 43%.</li>
<li>The YoY expansion  of net profit drivened  by  rising revenue  to Bt1.9bn (+78%YoY) due to (1)Higher revenue of land sales to Bt961m(+612%YoY)from increasing  transfers of land in domestic and vietnam</li>
</ul>


We maintain BUY rating with new target price of Bt4.54,derived from 18.0xPE’23, its 5 year trading average,to reflect higher revenue recognition of land sales.
3Q22 earnings enhanced  YoY WHA reported  3Q22’s net profit of Bt259m (+61%YoY, -11% QoQ),lower than market expectation  by 43%.
The YoY expansion  of net profit drivened  by  rising revenue  to Bt1.9bn (+78%YoY) due to (1)Higher revenue of land sales to Bt961m(+612%YoY)from increasing  transfers of land in domestic and vietnam


<ul>
<li>We maintain BUY rating with new target price of Bt4.20 (+11% from previous TP) ,derived from 18.0xPE’22, to reflect higher revenue recognition of land sales and asset monetarization. BUY rating</li>
<li>2Q22 earnings grew YoY WHA reported  2Q22’s net profit of Bt290m(+11%YoY,-56% QoQ),lower than market expectation by 7%.The YoY increasing of net profit  was driven by rising revenue  to  Bt1.8bn (+21%YoY)</li>
<li>3Q22 earnings remain strong We expect 3Q22’s earnings to grow YoY and QoQ due to (1) higher lands tranfers in 3Q22 supported by high presales in  2Q22 at 477 rai </li>
</ul>


We maintain BUY rating with new target price of Bt4.20 (+11% from previous TP) ,derived from 18.0xPE’22, to reflect higher revenue recognition of land sales and asset monetarization. BUY rating
2Q22 earnings grew YoY WHA reported  2Q22’s net profit of Bt290m(+11%YoY,-56% QoQ),lower than market expectation by 7%.The YoY increasing of net profit  was driven by rising revenue  to  Bt1.8bn (+21%YoY)
3Q22 earnings remain strong We expect 3Q22’s earnings to grow YoY and QoQ due to (1) higher lands tranfers in 3Q22 supported by high presales in  2Q22 at 477 rai 


Thailand

WHA Corp PCL is a built-to-suit distribution center and factory developer in Thailand.

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WHA Corp Pcl (WHA TB)

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Changes from Now to June

SAWAD could be added to the index in March. Then TLI should replace JMART in June. INTUCH is a close delete on liquidity and there are multiple...

Brian Freitas

Thailand SET50 Quiddity Dec 22 Final Expectations: DTAC-TRUE Delay Could Cause RATCH-IRPC Surprise

I expect 4 ADDs/DELs in the Dec 22 Rebalance. The Expected ADDs (DELTA, BJC, RATCH, and COM7) could outperform the Expected DELs (KCE, BLA, SAWAD,...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

WHA : Positive Outlook for 2022-23 Performance

We maintain BUY rating with a target price of Bt4.54,derived from 18.0xPE’23, its 5 year trading average . BUY rating reflects positive outlook for...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

WHA : 3Q22 Results Expanded YoY

We maintain BUY rating with new target price of Bt4.54,derived from 18.0xPE’23, its 5 year trading average,to reflect higher revenue recognition of...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

WHA : 2Q22 Results Expanded YoY

We maintain BUY rating with new target price of Bt4.20 (+11% from previous TP) ,derived from 18.0xPE’22, to reflect higher revenue recognition of...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

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