Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS:  SPX down 4 in a row, -20%YTD;  Higher UST Yields and Negative Homebuilder print pressure equities; Chief Twit's followers want him out;  China hints strong economic support in 2023</li>
<li>JAPAN:  BOJ to stay pat; JP FY23 Budget largest ever; Kawasaki Kisen to lift ShrHldr Returns; Subaru gives up on PHVs;  Toyota CEO thinks mkt not ready for EVs</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET: We take a look at the upcoming boom in Hydrogen in the push to decarbonise; Our preferred play is MHI (7011)</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS:  SPX down 4 in a row, -20%YTD;  Higher UST Yields and Negative Homebuilder print pressure equities; Chief Twit's followers want him out;  China hints strong economic support in 2023
JAPAN:  BOJ to stay pat; JP FY23 Budget largest ever; Kawasaki Kisen to lift ShrHldr Returns; Subaru gives up on PHVs;  Toyota CEO thinks mkt not ready for EVs
DAILY NUGGET: We take a look at the upcoming boom in Hydrogen in the push to decarbonise; Our preferred play is MHI (7011)


Good Morning Japan | No Shortage of Equity Negative News; BOJ to Stay Pat; Bullish 2023 ?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As designed, the JPX-Nikkei400 Index is something of a disaster. It aims to be slightly 'smart' vs other cap-weighted indices like TOPIX, but tracking error vs TOPIX is de minimus.</li>
<li>This year, in week 1, the ADD vs DELETE performance is positive. If we sector-hedge the ADDs vs DELETEs, it's doing even better.</li>
<li>This is probably due to relatively low pre-positioning, and cares. Momentum suggests one could be long ADDs vs DELETEs. And there is the perennial trade to watch out for.</li>
</ul>


As designed, the JPX-Nikkei400 Index is something of a disaster. It aims to be slightly 'smart' vs other cap-weighted indices like TOPIX, but tracking error vs TOPIX is de minimus.
This year, in week 1, the ADD vs DELETE performance is positive. If we sector-hedge the ADDs vs DELETEs, it's doing even better.
This is probably due to relatively low pre-positioning, and cares. Momentum suggests one could be long ADDs vs DELETEs. And there is the perennial trade to watch out for.


2022 JPX Nikkei 400 Rebal Update - Going the Right Way

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Renewable Japan opened weak, down 7.6%, despite pricing at the top end of its range. </li>
<li>After the initial rush of flipping however the stock has recovered to trade up slightly vs. its IPO price. </li>
<li>The company released a presentation today prior to its debut and the LT prospects look attractive.</li>
</ul>


Renewable Japan opened weak, down 7.6%, despite pricing at the top end of its range. 
After the initial rush of flipping however the stock has recovered to trade up slightly vs. its IPO price. 
The company released a presentation today prior to its debut and the LT prospects look attractive.


Renewable Japan IPO – First Day Trading

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

<ul>
<li>Before the end of 2021, Japanese stocks have to disclose their desired section of listing under the new structure of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Most have already done so.</li>
<li>However, some are yet to announce their intentions. As discussed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/topix-inclusions-who-is-ready-4-0" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:61777" rel="noopener">TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is READY? 4.0</a> some of these names could be potential TOPIX Inclusion Candidates.</li>
<li>With ten days to the finish line, below is an update on these potential TOPIX Inclusion Candidates and a discussion on potential trading opportunities. </li>
</ul>


Before the end of 2021, Japanese stocks have to disclose their desired section of listing under the new structure of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Most have already done so.
However, some are yet to announce their intentions. As discussed in TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is READY? 4.0 some of these names could be potential TOPIX Inclusion Candidates.
With ten days to the finish line, below is an update on these potential TOPIX Inclusion Candidates and a discussion on potential trading opportunities. 


TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is READY? 4.1 - Quick Update

<ul>
<li>The new market structure of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) consisting of Prime and Standard Sections is about to become functional in a few months.</li>
<li>Some companies have already announced their desired Market Sections under this new structure. However, some companies are yet to make such announcements.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at those who are yet to make such announcements to identify attractive TOPIX Inclusion Pre-event candidates. </li>
</ul>


The new market structure of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) consisting of Prime and Standard Sections is about to become functional in a few months.
Some companies have already announced their desired Market Sections under this new structure. However, some companies are yet to make such announcements.
In this insight, we take a look at those who are yet to make such announcements to identify attractive TOPIX Inclusion Pre-event candidates. 


Japan

West Holdings Corporation is a holding company established through the reorganization of WEST CO LTD.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, is engaged in solar energy solutions for solar power generation plants, individual customers, and corporate, local government, and rental management company owners.

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West Holdings (1407 JP)

Good Morning Japan | No Shortage of Equity Negative News; BOJ to Stay Pat; Bullish 2023 ?

Good Morning Japan: We strive to provide the best macro, stock and thematic overnight news that impacts your trading day in Japan. FOLLOW TO KEEP...

Mark Chadwick

2022 JPX Nikkei 400 Rebal Update - Going the Right Way

JPX Nikkei 400 rebalance is going the right way in the 6 trading days so far, and it wasn't done on Day1 (which was lacklustre). It may be under...

Travis Lundy

Renewable Japan IPO – First Day Trading

Renewable Japan opened weak, down 7.6% but has recovered after the initial rush of flipping and the LT prospects look attractive.

Mio Kato

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is READY? 4.1 - Quick Update

Before the end of 2021, Japanese stocks have to disclose their desired section of listing under TSE's new structure. Some are yet to announce and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TOPIX Inclusions: Who Is READY? 4.0

In this insight, we take a look at potential pre-event candidates who could move to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange in the next few...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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