Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The stock of foreign direct investment into the "One Belt One Road" bloc is a small share of global investment; nonetheless, the bloc's share of global greenfield investment remain disproportionately large.Examination of large OBOR-resident firms and the composition of their assets and revenues show that many firms in the region remain much more dependent on Chinese sales than do Chinese firms on foreign-earned sales.  Nonetheless, the diversion of Chinese investment from domestic to overseas (as China rebalances its domestic growth away from domestic investment) could potentially shift this dynamic.  Large Chinese firms leading the charge abroad tend to belong to the Transport and Storage and Computer Equipment sectors.Meanwhile, large firms resident in OBOR tend already to be much more dependent on foreign-earned revenue; some of those more dependent on Chinese domestic demand  rather than regional demand may experience fallout from China's rebalancing.  Others exposed to growth elsewhere in the region may benefit, or themselves become targets for Chinese cross-border acquisitions within the region.

The stock of foreign direct investment into the "One Belt One Road" bloc is a small share of global investment; nonetheless, the bloc's share of global greenfield investment remain disproportionately large.Examination of large OBOR-resident firms and the composition of their assets and revenues show that many firms in the region remain much more dependent on Chinese sales than do Chinese firms on foreign-earned sales.  Nonetheless, the diversion of Chinese investment from domestic to overseas (as China rebalances its domestic growth away from domestic investment) could potentially shift this dynamic.  Large Chinese firms leading the charge abroad tend to belong to the Transport and Storage and Computer Equipment sectors.Meanwhile, large firms resident in OBOR tend already to be much more dependent on foreign-earned revenue; some of those more dependent on Chinese domestic demand  rather than regional demand may experience fallout from China's rebalancing.  Others exposed to growth elsewhere in the region may benefit, or themselves become targets for Chinese cross-border acquisitions within the region.

Silk Roads Part 3: China and OBOR Investment

China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Macroeconomics

There has been enormous amounts of hand wringing about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China and the Chinese economy.  Markets around the world dropped significantly when it became apparent that Trump was the likely winner but have recovered most of those losses since.  There remains, however, enormous questions about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China.It is very difficult to know with any certainty what a Trump presidency will mean…

There has been enormous amounts of hand wringing about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China and the Chinese economy.  Markets around the world dropped significantly when it became apparent that Trump was the likely winner but have recovered most of those losses since.  There remains, however, enormous questions about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China.It is very difficult to know with any certainty what a Trump presidency will mean…

How a Trump Presidency Might Be Good for the Chinese Economy

After facing troubles in the beginning of year from the weak economy, the Chinese appears to be further stabilizing during the third quarter. By far the prospects of economic expansion seem not to be dimmed but the recent activity of unleashing debt into the market do suggest that the sudden increased economic activity is indeed temporary.The main industries once again have spurred growth, inevitably due to the current fiscal stimulus. The steel industry is still struggling to maintain its…

After facing troubles in the beginning of year from the weak economy, the Chinese appears to be further stabilizing during the third quarter. By far the prospects of economic expansion seem not to be dimmed but the recent activity of unleashing debt into the market do suggest that the sudden increased economic activity is indeed temporary.The main industries once again have spurred growth, inevitably due to the current fiscal stimulus. The steel industry is still struggling to maintain its…

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

We have earlier argued that the current M&amp;A in the container shipping industry is about "Survival" and not "Growth". This morning from Japan, <blockquote>Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd., Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd., and Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha have agreed, after the resolution by the board of directors of each company held today, and subject to regulatory approval from the authorities, to establish a new joint-venture company to integrate the container shipping businesses (including worldwide terminal…</blockquote>

We have earlier argued that the current M&amp;A in the container shipping industry is about "Survival" and not "Growth". This morning from Japan, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd., Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd., and Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha have agreed, after the resolution by the board of directors of each company held today, and subject to regulatory approval from the authorities, to establish a new joint-venture company to integrate the container shipping businesses (including worldwide terminal…

Container Shipping - "Survival" M&A In Full Swing, Japanese Big 3 Merge Container Operations

While recent economic data releases of China are not promising, there are some positive prospects of the economy. While the RMB has been slumping, basic commodity prices like steel, iron ore, and coal have been soaring.  Given the ongoing slowdown, this seems puzzling but it may owe more to fundamental sources, albeit credit driven, than understood.While many Chinese industries suffered this year due to slow economic downturn, it looks like coal is recuperating due to increased consumption in…

While recent economic data releases of China are not promising, there are some positive prospects of the economy. While the RMB has been slumping, basic commodity prices like steel, iron ore, and coal have been soaring.  Given the ongoing slowdown, this seems puzzling but it may owe more to fundamental sources, albeit credit driven, than understood.While many Chinese industries suffered this year due to slow economic downturn, it looks like coal is recuperating due to increased consumption in…

What's Driving Changes to Chinese Coal and Steel Prices?

China

Weichai Power Co., Ltd. specializes in the research and development, manufacturing and sales of vehicles and parts. The Company produces engines, heavy vehicles, light vehicles, construction machinery, hydraulic products, automotive electronics, and related parts. Weichai Power markets its products across worldwide.

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Weichai Power (000338 CH)

Silk Roads Part 3: China and OBOR Investment

The stock of foreign direct investment into the "One Belt One Road" bloc is a small share of global investment; nonetheless, the bloc's share of...

Naomi Fink

How a Trump Presidency Might Be Good for the Chinese Economy

There has been enormous amounts of hand wringing about what a Trump presidency will mean for economic relations with China and the Chinese...

Christopher Balding

Early Look at October Chinese PMI

After facing troubles in the beginning of year from the weak economy, the Chinese appears to be further stabilizing during the third quarter. By...

Christopher Balding

Container Shipping - "Survival" M&A In Full Swing, Japanese Big 3 Merge Container Operations

We have earlier argued that the current M&A in the container shipping industry is about "Survival" and not "Growth". This morning from...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

What's Driving Changes to Chinese Coal and Steel Prices?

While recent economic data releases of China are not promising, there are some positive prospects of the economy. While the RMB has been slumping,...

Christopher Balding

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