Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We've discussed for months that we'll need to see SPX and NDX (QQQ) close below their 20-day MAs/21-dayEMAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days in order to get more cautious.</li>
<li>Today (Tuesday) marks 3 consecutive days as the DXY climbs to test major $106 resistance, and amid 10- and 30-year Treasury yields breaking above long-term resistances. Caution is warranted.</li>
<li>Still, in order for there to be a meaningful pullback, important 2-month supports <em>that are currently being tested</em> would need to break, including 4983-5050 on SPX and $425-$433 on QQQ.</li>
</ul>


We've discussed for months that we'll need to see SPX and NDX (QQQ) close below their 20-day MAs/21-dayEMAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days in order to get more cautious.
Today (Tuesday) marks 3 consecutive days as the DXY climbs to test major $106 resistance, and amid 10- and 30-year Treasury yields breaking above long-term resistances. Caution is warranted.
Still, in order for there to be a meaningful pullback, important 2-month supports that are currently being tested would need to break, including 4983-5050 on SPX and $425-$433 on QQQ.


The Pullback Finally Begins; SPX and NDX Testing 2-Month Supports; Market Dynamics Shifting

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>One of the lasting legacies of the COVID-19 pandemic was the acceleration of secular trends which were already in place prior to the start pandemic such as e-commerce, flexible working arrangements, streaming/entertainment at home, digital transformation, MRNA biotechnology, among others.</li><li>Many of these trends in place prior to the pandemic were turbocharged by a quick pivot and responses to adjust to the “new normal” disruption of the dealing with COVID-19 waves, lockdowns, and companies muddling through how to adapt their business model.</li><li>The aftermath of the combination of a bazooka fiscal and monetary stimulus has resulted in the Federal Reserve embarking on the most aggressive interest rate hiking campaign in decades in attempts to arrest and reverse inflation.</li></ul>

One of the lasting legacies of the COVID-19 pandemic was the acceleration of secular trends which were already in place prior to the start pandemic such as e-commerce, flexible working arrangements, streaming/entertainment at home, digital transformation, MRNA biotechnology, among others.Many of these trends in place prior to the pandemic were turbocharged by a quick pivot and responses to adjust to the “new normal” disruption of the dealing with COVID-19 waves, lockdowns, and companies muddling through how to adapt their business model.The aftermath of the combination of a bazooka fiscal and monetary stimulus has resulted in the Federal Reserve embarking on the most aggressive interest rate hiking campaign in decades in attempts to arrest and reverse inflation.

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

Waste Management / Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Waste Management is off to a good start in 2023, with first-quarter performance exceeding analyst expectations.</li><li>Collection and disposal volume also increased by 0.8% in the first quarter.</li><li>Waste Management believes it is poised for another year of robust financial growth in 2023.</li></ul>

Waste Management is off to a good start in 2023, with first-quarter performance exceeding analyst expectations.Collection and disposal volume also increased by 0.8% in the first quarter.Waste Management believes it is poised for another year of robust financial growth in 2023.

Waste Management Inc.: Cleaning Up With Its Pricing Strategy – Key Drivers

<ul><li>Waste Management delivered a highly disappointing result in the last quarter and did not live up to analyst expectations with respect to revenues as well as earnings.</li><li>They observed a slowdown in the rate of labor increases and remained committed to managing operating costs and bending costs to match shifting volumes.</li><li>The company advanced its planned recycling investments and provided more details in the supplemental presentation on its website.</li></ul>

Waste Management delivered a highly disappointing result in the last quarter and did not live up to analyst expectations with respect to revenues as well as earnings.They observed a slowdown in the rate of labor increases and remained committed to managing operating costs and bending costs to match shifting volumes.The company advanced its planned recycling investments and provided more details in the supplemental presentation on its website.

<ul><li>Waste Management had remarkable organic revenue growth, driven by a collection and disposal yield of 6.2%.</li><li>The company continues to combat widespread inflationary cost pressures and its pricing has accelerated sequentially.</li><li>Overall, we give Waste Management a 'Hold' rating with a revised target price.</li></ul>

Waste Management had remarkable organic revenue growth, driven by a collection and disposal yield of 6.2%.The company continues to combat widespread inflationary cost pressures and its pricing has accelerated sequentially.Overall, we give Waste Management a 'Hold' rating with a revised target price.

Waste Management: Recent Acquisitions & Other Drivers

United States

Waste Management, Inc. provides waste management services including collection, transfer, recycling, resource recovery and disposal services, and operates waste-to-energy facilities.  The Company serves municipal, commercial, industrial, and residential customers throughout North America.

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Waste Management (WM US)

The Pullback Finally Begins; SPX and NDX Testing 2-Month Supports; Market Dynamics Shifting

The Pullback Finally Begins; $SPX and $NDX $QQQ Testing 2-Month Supports at 4983-5050 and $425-$433 (2/22/24 gap supports); Market Dynamics...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 5/15

One of the lasting legacies of the COVID-19 pandemic was the acceleration of secular trends which were already in place prior to the start pandemic...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Waste Management Inc.: Cleaning Up With Its Pricing Strategy – Key Drivers

Waste Management is off to a good start in 2023, with first-quarter performance exceeding analyst expectations. Collection and disposal volume...

Baptista Research

Waste Management Company: Key Drivers

Waste Management delivered a highly disappointing result in the last quarter and did not live up to analyst expectations with respect to revenues...

Baptista Research

Waste Management: Recent Acquisitions & Other Drivers

Waste Management had remarkable organic revenue growth, driven by a collection and disposal yield of 6.2%. The company continues to combat...

Baptista Research

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