Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A Bloomberg <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-04/seven-i-60-billion-management-buyout-to-include-us-assets-ipo?srnd=homepage-asia" target="_blank" rel="noopener">article</a> late in the trading session today said the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> MBO proposal by Ito family scion Ito Junro includes a US assets IPO.</li>
<li>The idea? IPO proceeds would help pay down MBO debt to Japanese banks. Seven &amp; i would retain a stake. This is not dissimilar to Berkshire Hathaway buying a stake.</li>
<li>But more directly, this leads us back to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/7-i-3382-what-if-a-modest-proposal" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:166268" rel="noopener">7&amp;I (3382) - What If...  A Modest Proposal</a>. Possible strategic mistake by Ito-san here. ACT should act on this.</li>
</ul>


A Bloomberg article late in the trading session today said the Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) MBO proposal by Ito family scion Ito Junro includes a US assets IPO.
The idea? IPO proceeds would help pay down MBO debt to Japanese banks. Seven &amp; i would retain a stake. This is not dissimilar to Berkshire Hathaway buying a stake.
But more directly, this leads us back to 7&amp;I (3382) - What If...  A Modest Proposal. Possible strategic mistake by Ito-san here. ACT should act on this.


7&I (3382 JP) - Ito-San MBO Plan Includes 7-Eleven US IPO... Which LeadsTo A Modest Proposal

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

<ul>
<li>At its IR Day today, Seven &amp; I  confirmed what has become a mantra inside the company: become the most efficient fresh food retail network in the world. </li>
<li>Fresh food and takeout will form the basis of expansion of CVS globally and CVS/mini supermarkets in Japan, a format differentiated from the competition and so allowing for new growth.</li>
<li>Fresh food also means higher sales per day and higher gross/operating profit margins. The plan again demonstrates that creating new value in retail takes time and is in the detail.</li>
</ul>


At its IR Day today, Seven &amp; I  confirmed what has become a mantra inside the company: become the most efficient fresh food retail network in the world. 
Fresh food and takeout will form the basis of expansion of CVS globally and CVS/mini supermarkets in Japan, a format differentiated from the competition and so allowing for new growth.
Fresh food also means higher sales per day and higher gross/operating profit margins. The plan again demonstrates that creating new value in retail takes time and is in the detail.


7-Eleven Corp: Fresh Food = Fresh Growth = Fresh Profits

<ul>
<li>Seven &amp; I released 1H24 earnings today as well as details on planned restructuring of its business. Results included some one-off items hitting operating profit as well as lower footfall.</li>
<li>The bigger news was the plan to hive off the non-CVS retail operations into a new company, York Holdings, leaving a newly named 7-Eleven Corporation running CVS globally.</li>
<li>Unusually, Seven also mentioned the possibility of new strategic partners investing in York, including even the "original founding families", suggesting one way of holding on to control.</li>
</ul>


Seven &amp; I released 1H24 earnings today as well as details on planned restructuring of its business. Results included some one-off items hitting operating profit as well as lower footfall.
The bigger news was the plan to hive off the non-CVS retail operations into a new company, York Holdings, leaving a newly named 7-Eleven Corporation running CVS globally.
Unusually, Seven also mentioned the possibility of new strategic partners investing in York, including even the "original founding families", suggesting one way of holding on to control.


7-Eleven Corporation: A Clear Strategy for Long-Term Value, Founding Family Return to Super-Stores

<ul>
<li>The Couche-Tard "friendly bid" raises more questions than it answers: Is it real? What does CT really want? Can it afford it? Will the Japanese government let it through?</li>
<li>We remain sceptical about a bid – if it happens – succeeding. Either way, Seven &amp; Eleven Japan looks to be the much better retailer.</li>
<li>It has been selling 25-40% more than competitors in the world's toughest CVS market and looks set to extract more value in Japan/overseas than anyone else could so why sell?</li>
</ul>


The Couche-Tard "friendly bid" raises more questions than it answers: Is it real? What does CT really want? Can it afford it? Will the Japanese government let it through?
We remain sceptical about a bid – if it happens – succeeding. Either way, Seven &amp; Eleven Japan looks to be the much better retailer.
It has been selling 25-40% more than competitors in the world's toughest CVS market and looks set to extract more value in Japan/overseas than anyone else could so why sell?


For Long-Term Investors, Seven & I Is the Better Bet

Japan

WARABEYA NICHIYO CO., LTD. produces prepared boxed lunches, ready to eat flavored rice balls, and snack pastries.  Sales to Seven Eleven Japan make up a majority of total sales.

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Warabeya Nichiyo (2918 JP)

7&I (3382 JP) - Ito-San MBO Plan Includes 7-Eleven US IPO... Which LeadsTo A Modest Proposal

An article today said the Ito 7&i MBO proposal would IPO 7-11 US to pay buyout debt. A strategic error by Ito. An explicit admission of lack of...

Travis Lundy

7-Eleven Corp: Fresh Food = Fresh Growth = Fresh Profits

Seven & I aims to become the most efficient fresh food retail network globally, focusing on fresh food to drive growth and increase profit...

Michael Causton

7-Eleven Corporation: A Clear Strategy for Long-Term Value, Founding Family Return to Super-Stores

Seven & I showed some falls in SSS and income in 1H. Plans to restructure business by creating York Holdings for non-CVS retail ops, with the...

Michael Causton

For Long-Term Investors, Seven & I Is the Better Bet

Couche-Tard's bid for Seven & Eleven Japan raises doubts, with skepticism about its success. Seven & Eleven Japan looks to be the superior...

Michael Causton

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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7&I (3382 JP) - Ito-San MBO Plan Includes 7-Eleven US IPO... Which LeadsTo A Modest Proposal

An article today said the Ito 7&i MBO proposal would IPO 7-11 US to pay buyout debt. A strategic error by Ito. An explicit admission of lack of...

Travis Lundy

7-Eleven Corp: Fresh Food = Fresh Growth = Fresh Profits

​Seven & I aims to become the most efficient fresh food retail network globally, focusing on fresh food to drive growth and increase profit...

Michael Causton

7-Eleven Corporation: A Clear Strategy for Long-Term Value, Founding Family Return to Super-Stores

​Seven & I showed some falls in SSS and income in 1H. Plans to restructure business by creating York Holdings for non-CVS retail ops, with the...

Michael Causton

For Long-Term Investors, Seven & I Is the Better Bet

​Couche-Tard's bid for Seven & Eleven Japan raises doubts, with skepticism about its success. Seven & Eleven Japan looks to be the superior...

Michael Causton

Seven & I aims to become the most efficient fresh food retail network globally, focusing on fresh food to drive growth and increase profit...

Seven & I showed some falls in SSS and income in 1H. Plans to restructure business by creating York Holdings for non-CVS retail ops, with the...

Couche-Tard's bid for Seven & Eleven Japan raises doubts, with skepticism about its success. Seven & Eleven Japan looks to be the superior...