External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>With Q2 being seasonally the weakest quarter, the demand environment remained impeded by weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressures</li><li>As channel inventory ran dry post a sizzling summer season, primary sales of cooling products (more so RAC and air coolers) are likely to support overall industry growth</li><li>While Onam demand (start of the festive season) was below expectation, early trends from Navratri/Dusshera have been encouraging</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

With Q2 being seasonally the weakest quarter, the demand environment remained impeded by weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressuresAs channel inventory ran dry post a sizzling summer season, primary sales of cooling products (more so RAC and air coolers) are likely to support overall industry growthWhile Onam demand (start of the festive season) was below expectation, early trends from Navratri/Dusshera have been encouragingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables & EMS (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Soft Quarter, Festive Season a Key Monitorable

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This Insight focuses on Industrials, particularly those that derive a significant portion of their revenue from Air Conditioners (ACs).</li>
<li>Companies in focus are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/johnson-controls-hitachi-air-conditioning-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6172:1" rel="noopener">Johnson Controls-Hitachi Air Conditioning India (JCHAC IN)</a>,</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blue-star-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5162:1" rel="noopener">Blue Star Ltd (BLSTR IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/havells-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9158:1" rel="noopener">Havells India (HAVL IN)</a> </li>
</ul>


This Insight focuses on Industrials, particularly those that derive a significant portion of their revenue from Air Conditioners (ACs).
Companies in focus are Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN), Johnson Controls-Hitachi Air Conditioning India (JCHAC IN),

Blue Star Ltd (BLSTR IN) and Havells India (HAVL IN) 


Narrative and Numbers | Industrials (VOLT, JCHAC, HAVL, BLSTR) | FY24

<ul><li>In Q1FY25, the consumer durables aggregate revenue grew by 21% YoY (+16% 2-yr CAGR)</li><li>The growth was driven by the summer portfolio (room AC, air coolers, fans) which benefited from a harsh summer season</li><li>White goods/ ECD segments’ revenues grew by 41%/17% YoY (+19%/+12% 2-yr CAGR)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q1FY25, the consumer durables aggregate revenue grew by 21% YoY (+16% 2-yr CAGR)The growth was driven by the summer portfolio (room AC, air coolers, fans) which benefited from a harsh summer seasonWhite goods/ ECD segments’ revenues grew by 41%/17% YoY (+19%/+12% 2-yr CAGR)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables & EMS: Decoding Q1FY25 Trends

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Government Considers Ethanol Price Increase to Meet Blending 20% Targets</li>
<li>Torrent Pharma is seeking up to $3 billion to buy KKR’s 54% stake in JB Chemicals.</li>
<li>Cochin Shipyard will deliver a new dredger worth INR 800 crore to DCI by September 2025.</li>
</ul>


Government Considers Ethanol Price Increase to Meet Blending 20% Targets
Torrent Pharma is seeking up to $3 billion to buy KKR’s 54% stake in JB Chemicals.
Cochin Shipyard will deliver a new dredger worth INR 800 crore to DCI by September 2025.


# 46 India Insight: Ethanol Price Increase, Torrent Pharma and JB Chemicals, Cochin Shipyard Dredger

<ul><li>With the country witnessing an intense heatwave, demand for consumer durables in 1Q was largely led by cooling products which witnessed inventory stock-outs as demand outstripped supply</li><li>Ex of the cooling portfolio, there was the sustenance of only a gradual improvement in consumer sentiment</li><li>Rising RM prices, high A&amp;P spending and EPR costs are likely to keep margins under check</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

With the country witnessing an intense heatwave, demand for consumer durables in 1Q was largely led by cooling products which witnessed inventory stock-outs as demand outstripped supplyEx of the cooling portfolio, there was the sustenance of only a gradual improvement in consumer sentimentRising RM prices, high A&amp;P spending and EPR costs are likely to keep margins under checkContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Durables & EMS: Summer Season Drives Demand Uptick

India

Voltas Limited offers engineering solutions for a wide spectrum of industries in areas such as heating, ventilation and air conditioning, refrigeration, electro-mechanical projects, textile machinery, machine tools, mining and construction equipment, materials handling, water management, building management systems, indoor air quality and chemicals.

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Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN)

Consumer Durables & EMS (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Soft Quarter, Festive Season a Key Monitorable

With Q2 being seasonally the weakest quarter, the demand environment remained impeded by weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressures

HDFC Securities

Narrative and Numbers | Industrials (VOLT, JCHAC, HAVL, BLSTR) | FY24

Insight on Industrials focusing on companies like Voltas, Johnson Controls-Hitachi, Blue Star, and Havells in the AC sector.

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Durables & EMS: Decoding Q1FY25 Trends

In Q1FY25, the consumer durables aggregate revenue grew by 21% YoY (+16% 2-yr CAGR). The growth was driven by the summer portfolio (room AC, air...

HDFC Securities

# 46 India Insight: Ethanol Price Increase, Torrent Pharma and JB Chemicals, Cochin Shipyard Dredger

Government may raise ethanol prices to achieve 20% blending target; Torrent Pharma eyes $3 billion for JB Chemicals stake; Cochin Shipyard to...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Consumer Durables & EMS: Summer Season Drives Demand Uptick

With the country witnessing an intense heatwave, demand for consumer durables in 1Q was largely led by cooling products which witnessed inventory...

HDFC Securities

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Consumer Durables & EMS (Q2FY25 Results Preview): Soft Quarter, Festive Season a Key Monitorable

With Q2 being seasonally the weakest quarter, the demand environment remained impeded by weak consumer sentiment due to inflationary pressures

HDFC Securities

Narrative and Numbers | Industrials (VOLT, JCHAC, HAVL, BLSTR) | FY24

​Insight on Industrials focusing on companies like Voltas, Johnson Controls-Hitachi, Blue Star, and Havells in the AC sector.

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Durables & EMS: Decoding Q1FY25 Trends

In Q1FY25, the consumer durables aggregate revenue grew by 21% YoY (+16% 2-yr CAGR). The growth was driven by the summer portfolio (room AC, air...

HDFC Securities

# 46 India Insight: Ethanol Price Increase, Torrent Pharma and JB Chemicals, Cochin Shipyard Dredger

​Government may raise ethanol prices to achieve 20% blending target; Torrent Pharma eyes $3 billion for JB Chemicals stake; Cochin Shipyard to...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Consumer Durables & EMS: Summer Season Drives Demand Uptick

With the country witnessing an intense heatwave, demand for consumer durables in 1Q was largely led by cooling products which witnessed inventory...

HDFC Securities

Insight on Industrials focusing on companies like Voltas, Johnson Controls-Hitachi, Blue Star, and Havells in the AC sector.

Government may raise ethanol prices to achieve 20% blending target; Torrent Pharma eyes $3 billion for JB Chemicals stake; Cochin Shipyard to...