Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance, Ecstrat

John-Paul Smith

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
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More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

Cross Asset Strategy

In this brief piece we take a considered stance on the likelihood of Brexit actually proceeding in the wake of June’s referendum and examine some of the strategic implications for equity investors in terms of the potential shifts in sovereign and corporate governance.

In this brief piece we take a considered stance on the likelihood of Brexit actually proceeding in the wake of June’s referendum and examine some of the strategic implications for equity investors in terms of the potential shifts in sovereign and corporate governance.

Differentiated global TMT & Internet Research

New Street Research Insights

New Street Research

Research is provided by our team of experienced analysts. Our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focused on fundamentals and valuation of telecoms and internet names globally. New Street is headquartered in London with offices in New York, Singapore and Australia. 

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
Global Emerging Market Telecoms
Japan Telecoms
Asian Internet
Pan European Healthcare
US Healthcare
Japanese Healthcare

We also provide debt research on:
Pan European Telecom Services and Cable

Equity Bottom-Up

Five days after the surprise Brexit vote, much remains to be clarified in terms of future direction. If anything, the various political moves in the UK and the EU in recent days suggest we face a period of real uncertainty ahead. That said, as the fallout continues it is worth looking for investment opportunities.  We continue to review the market for dislocations in the telecoms sector as we believe a lot of the near-term movements have been predominantly driven by fund flow/ liquidity and…

Five days after the surprise Brexit vote, much remains to be clarified in terms of future direction. If anything, the various political moves in the UK and the EU in recent days suggest we face a period of real uncertainty ahead. That said, as the fallout continues it is worth looking for investment opportunities.  We continue to review the market for dislocations in the telecoms sector as we believe a lot of the near-term movements have been predominantly driven by fund flow/ liquidity and…

Post Brexit Fallout Continues: Looking for Opportunities in European Telcos?

EM PM, Ecstrat

Emad Mostaque

EM PM

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In my last piece I discussed why I thought an actual Brexit was unlikely despite the result of the referendum last week. This piece answers some questions on some of the detail of the likely path ahead and some of the interesting elements around this.

In my last piece I discussed why I thought an actual Brexit was unlikely despite the result of the referendum last week. This piece answers some questions on some of the detail of the likely path ahead and some of the interesting elements around this.

When we wrote about <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8922" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8922">Bharti Infratel</a> (BHIN) in February there was considerable push back on the idea that margins would be squeezed. We believe the market has been overly optimistic on BHIN. Bulls expect BHIN's rental revenues to growth faster than land rental costs and other costs leading to margin improvements. We believe that land rental costs are going to rise quickly and this will pressure future returns. In recent days, there has been a spate of analyst downgrades. We remain negative on the…

When we wrote about Bharti Infratel (BHIN) in February there was considerable push back on the idea that margins would be squeezed. We believe the market has been overly optimistic on BHIN. Bulls expect BHIN's rental revenues to growth faster than land rental costs and other costs leading to margin improvements. We believe that land rental costs are going to rise quickly and this will pressure future returns. In recent days, there has been a spate of analyst downgrades. We remain negative on the…

The last few days have seen a maelstrom of opinions and recrimination after the shock referendum decision to leave the EU.The lack of a concrete plan of action for an exit has shocked markets, leaving even those who avoid politics worried about the future.However, looking at the structure of western democracy a departure from the EU is very unlikely.

The last few days have seen a maelstrom of opinions and recrimination after the shock referendum decision to leave the EU.The lack of a concrete plan of action for an exit has shocked markets, leaving even those who avoid politics worried about the future.However, looking at the structure of western democracy a departure from the EU is very unlikely.

United Kingdom

Vodafone Group PLC is a mobile telecommunications company providing a range of services, including voice and data communications.  The Company operates in Continental Europe, the United Kingdom, the United States, Asia Pacific, Africa and the Middle East through its subsidiaries, associates, and investments.

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Vodafone (VOD LN)

Brexit; Unintended Consequences

In this brief piece we take a considered stance on the likelihood of Brexit actually proceeding in the wake of June’s referendum and examine some...

John-Paul Smith

Post Brexit Fallout Continues: Looking for Opportunities in European Telcos?

Five days after the surprise Brexit vote, much remains to be clarified in terms of future direction. If anything, the various political moves in...

New Street Research

The Path to No Brexit

In my last piece I discussed why I thought an actual Brexit was unlikely despite the result of the referendum last week. This piece answers some...

Emad Mostaque

Bharti Infratel: The Squeeze Is Here

When we wrote about Bharti Infratel (BHIN) in February there was considerable push back on the idea that margins would be squeezed. We believe the...

New Street Research

Why Brexit (Probably) Won't Happen

The last few days have seen a maelstrom of opinions and recrimination after the shock referendum decision to leave the EU.The lack of a concrete...

Emad Mostaque

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