New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

Vital Healthcare Property Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We upgrade Vital Healthcare (VHP) to OUTPERFORM. VHP's share price has declined -18% over the last two months, reflecting: (1) higher short-term Australian interest rates (75% of VHP's assets are in Australia), (2) hospital operator profitability pressure in Australia, and (3) expected index removals.</li><li>It now looks attractive vs its historical relationship to bond yields.</li><li> VHP's portfolio is defensive and benefits from long CPI-linked leases to private hospital operators. </li></ul>

We upgrade Vital Healthcare (VHP) to OUTPERFORM. VHP's share price has declined -18% over the last two months, reflecting: (1) higher short-term Australian interest rates (75% of VHP's assets are in Australia), (2) hospital operator profitability pressure in Australia, and (3) expected index removals.It now looks attractive vs its historical relationship to bond yields. VHP's portfolio is defensive and benefits from long CPI-linked leases to private hospital operators. 

Vital Healthcare - Solid Vital Signs, up to OUTPERFORM

<ul><li>Vital Healthcare (VHP) provided a largely uneventful 1H24 result, with a small adjusted funds from operation (AFFO) decline driven largely by higher interest costs and asset sales.</li><li>Over the last 12 months VHP has been busy selling non-core assets (c.NZ$220m) to help fund its development pipeline and support its balance sheet.</li><li>With c.NZ$210m to spend on committed developments and gearing close to its 40% top end, more work needs to be done. </li></ul>

Vital Healthcare (VHP) provided a largely uneventful 1H24 result, with a small adjusted funds from operation (AFFO) decline driven largely by higher interest costs and asset sales.Over the last 12 months VHP has been busy selling non-core assets (c.NZ$220m) to help fund its development pipeline and support its balance sheet.With c.NZ$210m to spend on committed developments and gearing close to its 40% top end, more work needs to be done. 

Vital Healthcare - 1H24 Result — Recycling for Growth

<ul><li>Vital Healthcare (VHP) announced its 1H24 revaluations which saw the value of its property portfolio decline by -4% or -NZ$145m.</li><li>This was driven by a +16 bps expansion in cap rate to 5.21%, with the share price implying cap rates will expand further.</li><li>The declines were larger in Australia (-5%) than NZ (-3%), which is a reversal of recent trends where NZ valuations reacted faster to higher interest rates. </li></ul>

Vital Healthcare (VHP) announced its 1H24 revaluations which saw the value of its property portfolio decline by -4% or -NZ$145m.This was driven by a +16 bps expansion in cap rate to 5.21%, with the share price implying cap rates will expand further.The declines were larger in Australia (-5%) than NZ (-3%), which is a reversal of recent trends where NZ valuations reacted faster to higher interest rates. 

Vital Healthcare - 1H24 Valuation Check-Up

<ul><li>VHP reported a solid FY23 result underpinned by acquisitions, development completions and CPI linked rent growth.</li><li>Higher than expected tax was the key variation to our forecasts.</li><li>While FY24 DPS guidance was slightly disappointing it is a minimum, and the timing and value of asset sales could provide upside. </li></ul>

VHP reported a solid FY23 result underpinned by acquisitions, development completions and CPI linked rent growth.Higher than expected tax was the key variation to our forecasts.While FY24 DPS guidance was slightly disappointing it is a minimum, and the timing and value of asset sales could provide upside. 

Vital Healthcare - FY23 Result — Busy Developing

<ul><li>VHP has reported FY23 AFFO +8% to NZ$73.3m reflecting higher rental income from acquisitions, developments, and inflation linked rent growth being partially offset by higher interest and tax.</li><li>However, due to an expanded capital base, AFFO per unit was down -6% on the prior period.</li><li>The result was slightly below our expectations largely due to higher tax expense.</li></ul>

VHP has reported FY23 AFFO +8% to NZ$73.3m reflecting higher rental income from acquisitions, developments, and inflation linked rent growth being partially offset by higher interest and tax.However, due to an expanded capital base, AFFO per unit was down -6% on the prior period.The result was slightly below our expectations largely due to higher tax expense.

Vital Healthcare - FY23 Result First Take – FY24 Guidance Slightly Below

New Zealand

Kiwi Property Group Ltd is a property trust that invests in, manages and develops a portfolio of diversified properties throughout New Zealand. The Trust's properties include office, retail and industrial properties.

Property for Industry Limited is a property company that invests in New Zealand industrial properties. The Company's property portfolio includes sites in Auckland, Hamilton, Tauranga, Wellington and Christchurch.

Argosy Property Limited invests in and manages retail, commercial and industrial properties in New Zealand.

Stride Stapled Group operates as a real estate investment company. The Company invests in a portfolio of places with enduring demand, as well as acquires retail properties. Stride Stapled conducts business in New Zealand.

Precinct Properties New Zealand Ltd. invests in manages and leases commercial office properties. The Company invests in properties in Auckland and Wellington.

Investore Property Limited operates as a real estate investment company. The Company invests in retail property assets. Investore Property also provides leasing services. Investore Property serves clients in New Zealand.

Asset Plus Limited carries on the business of a property company that invests in and manages commercial, industrial and retail properties. The Company's investment property portfolio consists of retail, commercial, and industrial properties located in New Zealand.

Goodman Property Trust is a property trust that invests in, manages and develope portfolio of diversified property assets in Auckland. The Trust's portfolio comprises of office, industrial and retail properties.

CDL Investments New Zealand Limited operates as a property investment and development company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provide land-based investment and development, management and the provision of property services. CDL Investments New Zealand serves clients in New Zealand.

AIMS APAC REIT is a real estate investment trust. The Trust's principal investment objective is owning and investing in a diversified portfolio of income-producing industrial real estate assets throughout Asia Pacific, including warehousing and logistics, manufacturing, business parks and hi-tech spaces.

Cromwell Property Group is a property and funds manager. The Company, through its subsidiary, provides funds management, property transactions, property and facilities management, finance, compliance, debenture issues, and debt management.

Ichigo Office REIT Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust (J-REIT). The Company mainly invests in office buildings in major cities in Japan. The REIT merged with FC Residential Investment Corporation in 2005.

Ichigo Office REIT Investment Corporation (8975 JP)

Ichigo Office REIT Investment Corporation

CPN Retail Growth Leasehold REIT is a closed-end fund incorporated in Thailand. The Fund invests in shopping complex projects: Central Plaza Rama II, Central Plaza Ratchada-Rama II, & Central Plaza Pinklao.

CPN Retail Growth Leasehold REIT (CPNREIT TB)

Tesco Lotus Retail Growth Freehold & Leasehold Property Fund is a closed-end fund incorporated in Thailand. The Fund's objective is to achieve good returns. The Fund invests in freehold & leasehold of 17 shopping malls anchored by a Tesco Lotus hypermarket in cities including Bangkok and tourist destinations such as Krabi.

Whitestone REIT is a real estate investment trust.  The Trust invests in and operates retail, industrial and office properties.

Cathay No.1 REIT is a property trust established in Taiwan by Cathay Financial Holding Co. The Company purchases and leases a portfolio of commercial properties in Taipei.

Hudson Pacific Properties Inc. is a real estate company focusing on owning, operating, and acquiring office properties.  The Company focuses on opportunities in Northern and Southern California.

Starhill Global REIT is a real estate investment trust.  The trust invests in retail and office buildings in Singapore and overseas.

Axis Real Estate Investment Trust is a real estate investment trust that owns and invests in a portfolio of commercial, office and office/retail real estate located in Malaysia. The portfolio includes Axis Business Park, Menara Axis, Crystal Plaza, Infinite Centre and Axis Plaza.

Vital Healthcare Property Trust is a property trust that invests in and manages healthcare facilities in New Zealand and Australia.

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Vital Healthcare Property Trust (VHP NZ)

Vital Healthcare - Solid Vital Signs, up to OUTPERFORM

VHP's share price has declined -18% over the last two months, reflecting: (1) higher short-term Australian interest rates (75% of VHP's assets are...

Forsyth Barr

Vital Healthcare - 1H24 Result — Recycling for Growth

Vital Healthcare (VHP) provided a largely uneventful 1H24 result, with a small adjusted funds from operation (AFFO) decline driven largely by...

Forsyth Barr

Vital Healthcare - 1H24 Valuation Check-Up

Vital Healthcare (VHP) announced its 1H24 revaluations which saw the value of its property portfolio decline by -4% or -NZ$145m.

Forsyth Barr

Vital Healthcare - FY23 Result — Busy Developing

VHP reported a solid FY23 result underpinned by acquisitions, development completions and CPI linked rent growth. Higher than expected tax was the...

Forsyth Barr

Vital Healthcare - FY23 Result First Take – FY24 Guidance Slightly Below

VHP has reported FY23 AFFO +8% to NZ$73.3m reflecting higher rental income from acquisitions, developments, and inflation linked rent growth being...

Forsyth Barr

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