Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Viettel Construction (CTR VN) and EVN Finance (EVF VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 21 June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 5.2% and that results in a one-way trade of US$27m. There are 3 stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.</li>
<li>There will be over US$1m to buy in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinhomes-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27079:1" rel="noopener">Vinhomes (VHM VN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-for-foreign-trade-of-vietnam" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23054:1" rel="noopener">Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam (VCB VN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Viettel Construction (CTR VN) and EVN Finance (EVF VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 21 June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 5.2% and that results in a one-way trade of US$27m. There are 3 stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.
There will be over US$1m to buy in Vinhomes (VHM VN), Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam (VCB VN) and Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN). 


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Other Changes

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the index but there are float and capping changes that will be implemented at the close on 15 September.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% and the one-way trade is US$21.5m. There are eight stocks where passive trackers need to trade over 1 day of ADV.</li>
<li>After large creations for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/market-vectors-vietnam-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:648:1" rel="noopener">Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (VNM US)</a> at the start of the year, there has not been a lot of follow-on activity as the market moves higher.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the index but there are float and capping changes that will be implemented at the close on 15 September.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% and the one-way trade is US$21.5m. There are eight stocks where passive trackers need to trade over 1 day of ADV.
After large creations for Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (VNM US) at the start of the year, there has not been a lot of follow-on activity as the market moves higher.


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Some Big Impact Changes

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>After de-SPACing last August, shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (VFS US)</a>, the EV arm of Vietnamese conglomerate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a>, went orbital, as discussed in <a href="https://skr.ma/MYHnq" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Vingroup: VinFast's Valuation Makes No Sense</a>
</li>
<li>VinFast cratered shortly thereafter. But still trades at a hefty ~25x P/S, well above industry peers.</li>
<li>Last Friday VinFast announced it was replacing both its CEO and CFO. Not a great look five months after IPOing. Even less attractive is the incoming CEO is VinGroup's founder.</li>
</ul>


After de-SPACing last August, shares in VinFast (VFS US), the EV arm of Vietnamese conglomerate Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN), went orbital, as discussed in Vingroup: VinFast's Valuation Makes No Sense

VinFast cratered shortly thereafter. But still trades at a hefty ~25x P/S, well above industry peers.
Last Friday VinFast announced it was replacing both its CEO and CFO. Not a great look five months after IPOing. Even less attractive is the incoming CEO is VinGroup's founder.


VinFast's Global Expansion As Shares Stall

Vietnam Dairy Products JSC / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>CEO Group JSC (CEO VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 15 December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 5.24% and that results in a one-way trade of US$30m. There are a couple of stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.</li>
<li>The largest passive inflows will be in Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN), Vietnam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN), CEO Group JSC (CEO VN) and Vinhomes (VHM VN). </li>
</ul>


CEO Group JSC (CEO VN) will be added to the MarketVector Vietnam Local Index at the close on 15 December.
Estimated one-way turnover is 5.24% and that results in a one-way trade of US$30m. There are a couple of stocks with more than 1x ADV to buy from passives.
The largest passive inflows will be in Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN), Vietnam Dairy Products JSC (VNM VN), CEO Group JSC (CEO VN) and Vinhomes (VHM VN). 


MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add & Other Changes

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vng-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26716:1" rel="noopener">VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US)</a>, Vietnam’s leading internet platform, aims to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>VNG is Vietnam’s leading homegrown digital ecosystem, as per the company, with diverse product offerings across games, communications and media, fintech and other opportunities.</li>
<li>We looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US), Vietnam’s leading internet platform, aims to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO.
VNG is Vietnam’s leading homegrown digital ecosystem, as per the company, with diverse product offerings across games, communications and media, fintech and other opportunities.
We looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Vietnam

Vinhomes Joint Stock Company offers real estate services. The Company provides sale and leasing of residential complexes and apartments, as well as professional and personalized services, community building activities, and other facilities. Vinhomes serves customers in Vietnam.

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Vinhomes (VHM VN)

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Two Adds and Other Changes

Viettel Construction and EVN Finance will be added to the index at the close on 21 June. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.2% and that results in a...

Brian Freitas

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: Some Big Impact Changes

Float and capping changes lead to an estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% and a one-way trade is US$21.5m. There are eight stocks where passive...

Brian Freitas

VinFast's Global Expansion As Shares Stall

IF Vingroup were to offload some of its stake in VinFast to increase the float, that could be a catalyst. I'd still be disinclined to invest in...

David Blennerhassett

MarketVector Vietnam Local Index Rebalance: One Add & Other Changes

CEO Group (CEO VN) is an add. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.24% and that results in a one-way trade of US$30m. There are a couple of stocks with...

Brian Freitas

VNG Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

VNG (VinaGame) (VNG US), Vietnam’s leading internet platform, aims to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

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