Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 27 April, personal hygiene play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinda-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:475:1" rel="noopener">Vinda International (3331 HK)</a> announced its controlling shareholder <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/essity-ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28203:1" rel="noopener">Essity (ESSITYB SS)</a> would commence a strategic review of its 51.59% ownership.</li>
<li>That spurred, allegedly, a variety of suitors including Brazil's Suzano, the world's largest hardwood pulp producer, Bain Capital, CVC Capital, DCP Capital, and Indonesia's Tanoto family.</li>
<li>And the Tanoto's have now emerged with a <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/1215/2023121500055.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">HK$23.50 pre-conditional Offer</a>. The key risk is PRC regulatory approval . Elsewhere, this is a done deal. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 27 April, personal hygiene play Vinda International (3331 HK) announced its controlling shareholder Essity (ESSITYB SS) would commence a strategic review of its 51.59% ownership.
That spurred, allegedly, a variety of suitors including Brazil's Suzano, the world's largest hardwood pulp producer, Bain Capital, CVC Capital, DCP Capital, and Indonesia's Tanoto family.
And the Tanoto's have now emerged with a HK$23.50 pre-conditional Offer. The key risk is PRC regulatory approval . Elsewhere, this is a done deal. 


<ul>
<li>I tally 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lithium-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30603:1" rel="noopener">Lithium Power International (LPI AU)</a>'s Scheme. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinda-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:475:1" rel="noopener">Vinda International (3331 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a> are in the cross hairs. </li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-eagle-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3835:1" rel="noopener">Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ)</a> and Kenedix REITs.</li>
</ul>


I tally 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week:Lithium Power International (LPI AU)'s Scheme. Vinda International (3331 HK) and Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP) are in the cross hairs. 
Key updates took place for: Origin Energy (ORG AU), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ) and Kenedix REITs.


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Lithium Power, Vinda, Origin Energy, Liontown, Kenedix REITs

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A 14.8% gain month-to-date, including this past Monday's 6.5% pop - you just knew something positive was taking place behind closed doors. And leaking its way into the public.   </li>
<li>So it was no real surprise to read in the latest<a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0815/2024081500841.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> monthly update announcement</a> on the HKEx that various regulatory approvals are almost, but not quite, satisfied.</li>
<li>The wording in the announcement strikes a positive tone. Even remaining conservative on the timeline, this could be wrapped up before year-end. </li>
</ul>


A 14.8% gain month-to-date, including this past Monday's 6.5% pop - you just knew something positive was taking place behind closed doors. And leaking its way into the public.   
So it was no real surprise to read in the latest monthly update announcement on the HKEx that various regulatory approvals are almost, but not quite, satisfied.
The wording in the announcement strikes a positive tone. Even remaining conservative on the timeline, this could be wrapped up before year-end. 


<ul>
<li>Tally 49 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Six(!) new deals was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual (PPT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alps-logistics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3935:1" rel="noopener">Alps Logistics (9055 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/namoi-cotton-co-operative" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10711:1" rel="noopener">Namoi Cotton (NAM AU)</a>'; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern (GE SP)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nihon-housing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9604:1" rel="noopener">Nihon Housing (4781 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">GAPack (468 HK)</a>'. </li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qantm-intellectual-property" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24317:1" rel="noopener">QANTM Intellectual Property (QIP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adbri-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20166:1" rel="noopener">Adbri (ABC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Tally 49 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Six(!) new deals was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Perpetual (PPT AU), Alps Logistics (9055 JP), Namoi Cotton (NAM AU)'; Great Eastern (GE SP); Nihon Housing (4781 JP) and GAPack (468 HK)'. 
Key updates took place on: QANTM Intellectual Property (QIP AU), Adbri (ABC AU), L'Occitane (973 HK), Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP), and Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Namoi Cotton, Great Eastern, GAPack, Nihon, Chilled & Frozen, Shinko Electric

<ul>
<li>Tally 47 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>One new deals was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a>'s VGO from major shareholder, Reinold Geiger. A deal for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kfc-holdings-japan-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12358:1" rel="noopener">KFC Holdings Japan (9873 JP)</a> is apparently imminent. </li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csr-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17380:1" rel="noopener">CSR Ltd (CSR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-vehicles-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28012:1" rel="noopener">CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Tally 47 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
One new deals was discussed on Smartkarma this week: L'Occitane (973 HK)'s VGO from major shareholder, Reinold Geiger. A deal for KFC Holdings Japan (9873 JP) is apparently imminent. 
Key updates took place on: CSR Ltd (CSR AU), Azure Minerals (AZS AU), CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK), and Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: L'Occitane, KFC Holdings Japan, CSR, Azure Minerals, CIMC, Chilled & Frozen

Hong Kong

Vinda International Holdings Limited manufactures tissue paper products in China.

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Vinda International (3331 HK)

Vinda (3331 HK): Tanoto's Firm Offer

Assuming (finger in the air) late-July completion, I'd probably buy up to HK$21.50. Hengan International Group (1044 HK) might be worht looking...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Lithium Power, Vinda, Origin Energy, Liontown, Kenedix REITs

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

TCM (570 HK): A Spoonful Of Sugar ...

Shares will pop today. Assuming payment late Dec, I'd buy up to HK$4.31/share, for a 7%/20% gross/annualised return. I wouldn't be too aggressive -...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Namoi Cotton, Great Eastern, GAPack, Nihon, Chilled & Frozen, Shinko Electric

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: L'Occitane, KFC Holdings Japan, CSR, Azure Minerals, CIMC, Chilled & Frozen

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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