Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>As we progress in earnings season in line with our previous Playbook, this one focuses on select consumer names. </li>
<li>Names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/titan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12630:1" rel="noopener">Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/go-fashion-india-private-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36625:1" rel="noopener">Go Fashion India (GOCOLORS IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shoppers-stop-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12804:1" rel="noopener">Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN)</a>.  </li>
<li>Most names expect a soft Q1, and SHOP is targeting the most aggressive expansion.</li>
</ul>


As we progress in earnings season in line with our previous Playbook, this one focuses on select consumer names. 
Names discussed include Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN), Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN) , Go Fashion India (GOCOLORS IN) &amp; Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN).  
Most names expect a soft Q1, and SHOP is targeting the most aggressive expansion.


Earnings Playbook | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | Target of Quadrupling Network

<ul>
<li>Our flash checks across a couple of dealers indicate pressure on margins across the industry. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN)</a> is trying hard to gain market share.</li>
<li>Other names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pnb-housing-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23613:1" rel="noopener">PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bandhan-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26705:1" rel="noopener">Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/varun-beverages-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23653:1" rel="noopener">Varun Beverages (VBL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schaeffler-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6434:1" rel="noopener">Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN)</a> show up as interesting ARs to read. </li>
</ul>


Our flash checks across a couple of dealers indicate pressure on margins across the industry. Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) is trying hard to gain market share.
Other names discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd (PNBHOUSI IN), Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN) and Bandhan Bank Ltd (BANDHAN IN). 

Varun Beverages (VBL IN) and Schaeffler India (SCHFL IN) show up as interesting ARs to read. 


[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

<ul>
<li>The market seems to be dancing to its own tune and is likely to continue.</li>
<li>EUREKAFO's distributors are dissatisfied, MANYAVAR's reported numbers failed to match up to the on-ground optimism. </li>
<li>LTFH's "strong" retail playbook keeps performing, and SGMART's website raises concerns about its operations. </li>
</ul>


The market seems to be dancing to its own tune and is likely to continue.
EUREKAFO's distributors are dissatisfied, MANYAVAR's reported numbers failed to match up to the on-ground optimism. 
LTFH's "strong" retail playbook keeps performing, and SGMART's website raises concerns about its operations. 


[#19] Namaste India 🙏 | Eureka Forbes, Manyavar, L&T Finance, SG Mart, Cello

Utkarsh Small Finance Bank / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.</li>
<li>For this Postcard, we travel to the east to the city of Ranchi, located in the heart of Jharkhand. </li>
<li>Stocks in focus include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/utkarsh-small-finance-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39909:1" rel="noopener">Utkarsh Small Finance Bank (1639303D IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-vision-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40299:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Vision (AVL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.
For this Postcard, we travel to the east to the city of Ranchi, located in the heart of Jharkhand. 
Stocks in focus include Utkarsh Small Finance Bank (1639303D IN), Aditya Vision (AVL IN), Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN), Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN). 


Postcard from Ranchi | The Wild Wild East

<ul>
<li>We visited the core of the Hindi Hinterland, the "City of Patna," the capital and largest city of Bihar, the country's third most populous state.</li>
<li>While the trip paints an opportunistic and optimistic picture of Bihar, the situation of unemployment is something that still warrants attention.</li>
<li>Focus companies: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-vision-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40299:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Vision (AVL IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eicher-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18316:1" rel="noopener">Eicher Motors (EIM IN)</a>  , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fino-payments-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35042:1" rel="noopener">Fino Payments Bank Ltd (FINOPB IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We visited the core of the Hindi Hinterland, the "City of Patna," the capital and largest city of Bihar, the country's third most populous state.
While the trip paints an opportunistic and optimistic picture of Bihar, the situation of unemployment is something that still warrants attention.
Focus companies: Aditya Vision (AVL IN) , Eicher Motors (EIM IN)  , Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) and Fino Payments Bank Ltd (FINOPB IN). 


Postcard from Patna | Breaking Sterotypes

India

Vedant Fashions Limited operates as a manufacturer and marketer of apparels. The Company provides men, women and kids apparels and accessories. Vedant Fashions also offers ethnic wedding, indo-western, and bridal collections. Vedant Fashions serves customers worldwide.

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Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)

Earnings Playbook | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | Target of Quadrupling Network

We focus on select consumer names in the earnings season. Most names expect a soft Q1, with Shoppers Stop targeting aggressive expansion.

Pranav Bhavsar

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Pranav Bhavsar

[#19] Namaste India 🙏 | Eureka Forbes, Manyavar, L&T Finance, SG Mart, Cello

The market continues to march to its own beat as EUREKAFO and MANYAVAR disappoint, while LTFH and SGMART show contrasting performances.

Pranav Bhavsar

Postcard from Ranchi | The Wild Wild East

This Insight provides on-ground insights from Ranchi, Jharkhand, focusing on stocks like Utkarsh Small Finance Bank, Aditya Vision, Mahindra &...

Pranav Bhavsar

Postcard from Patna | Breaking Sterotypes

Visited Patna, the capital of Bihar, showcasing its potential but highlighting the issue of unemployment. Focus companies: Aditya Vision, Eicher...

Pranav Bhavsar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Earnings Playbook | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | Target of Quadrupling Network

We focus on select consumer names in the earnings season. Most names expect a soft Q1, with Shoppers Stop targeting aggressive expansion.

Pranav Bhavsar

[#22] Namaste India 🙏 | Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Margin Pressure to Continue

​Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

Pranav Bhavsar

[#19] Namaste India 🙏 | Eureka Forbes, Manyavar, L&T Finance, SG Mart, Cello

​The market continues to march to its own beat as EUREKAFO and MANYAVAR disappoint, while LTFH and SGMART show contrasting performances.

Pranav Bhavsar

Postcard from Ranchi | The Wild Wild East

​This Insight provides on-ground insights from Ranchi, Jharkhand, focusing on stocks like Utkarsh Small Finance Bank, Aditya Vision, Mahindra &...

Pranav Bhavsar

Postcard from Patna | Breaking Sterotypes

​Visited Patna, the capital of Bihar, showcasing its potential but highlighting the issue of unemployment. Focus companies: Aditya Vision, Eicher...

Pranav Bhavsar

Industry margins under pressure, Voltas Ltd striving for market share. Other companies discussed include PNB Housing Finance Ltd, Vedant Fashions,...

The market continues to march to its own beat as EUREKAFO and MANYAVAR disappoint, while LTFH and SGMART show contrasting performances.

This Insight provides on-ground insights from Ranchi, Jharkhand, focusing on stocks like Utkarsh Small Finance Bank, Aditya Vision, Mahindra &...

Visited Patna, the capital of Bihar, showcasing its potential but highlighting the issue of unemployment. Focus companies: Aditya Vision, Eicher...