Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Vanguard Intl Semiconductor / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>3Q24 guidance: Shipment: up 9-11% due to higher customer demand. ASP: down 0-2% QoQ. GM: 28-30%, up 3ppts QoQ.</li>
<li>Pricing hit bottom in 2Q24. Anticipates UTR in 2025 returning to 70-80%.</li>
<li>Effective tax rate for 2H24 is expected to be 20%.</li>
</ul>


3Q24 guidance: Shipment: up 9-11% due to higher customer demand. ASP: down 0-2% QoQ. GM: 28-30%, up 3ppts QoQ.
Pricing hit bottom in 2Q24. Anticipates UTR in 2025 returning to 70-80%.
Effective tax rate for 2H24 is expected to be 20%.


Vanguard (5347.TT): Pricing Hit Bottom in 2Q24. Anticipates UTR in 2025 Returning to 70-80%.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Vanguard Intl Semiconductor / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 12 changes for the TIP Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight Index in June/July. The Fuh Hwa Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight ETF (00929 TW) has an AUM of US$7.16bn.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 35% and that will result in a round-trip trade of TWD 134.7bn (US$4.1bn). There are 8 stocks that could have over 5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The ETF started rebalancing their portfolio on Friday and will continue to trade the stock over the next 7 trading days.</li>
</ul>


There are 12 changes for the TIP Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight Index in June/July. The Fuh Hwa Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight ETF (00929 TW) has an AUM of US$7.16bn.
One-Way turnover is estimated at 35% and that will result in a round-trip trade of TWD 134.7bn (US$4.1bn). There are 8 stocks that could have over 5x ADV to trade.
The ETF started rebalancing their portfolio on Friday and will continue to trade the stock over the next 7 trading days.


TIP Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight Index Rebalance: 12 Changes & US$4bn Round-Trip Trade

<ul>
<li>Vanguard announce the establishment of a 12” Fab in Singapore with 60% stake, with Nxp Semiconductors Nv (NXPI US) will invest remaining 40%.  </li>
<li>The nodes produced will span from 40nm to 130nm, encompassing mixed-signal, PMIC, and analog ICs to support automotive, industrial, consumer, and mobile applications.  </li>
<li>Vanguard will uphold a healthy cash balance, along with large debt and a follow-up cash offering.</li>
</ul>


Vanguard announce the establishment of a 12” Fab in Singapore with 60% stake, with Nxp Semiconductors Nv (NXPI US) will invest remaining 40%.  
The nodes produced will span from 40nm to 130nm, encompassing mixed-signal, PMIC, and analog ICs to support automotive, industrial, consumer, and mobile applications.  
Vanguard will uphold a healthy cash balance, along with large debt and a follow-up cash offering.


Vanguard (5347.TT): Setup 12" Fab in Singapore With 60% Stake, with NXP Investing Remaining 40%.

<ul>
<li>There are 13 changes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) has an AUM of US$6.4bn.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 41% and that will result in a round-trip trade of TWD 168.8bn (US$5.2bn). There are 16 stocks that could have over 4x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The rebalance will be implemented over 8 trading days and the ETF has started trading the stocks last week.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 changes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) has an AUM of US$6.4bn.
One-Way turnover is estimated at 41% and that will result in a round-trip trade of TWD 168.8bn (US$5.2bn). There are 16 stocks that could have over 4x ADV to trade.
The rebalance will be implemented over 8 trading days and the ETF has started trading the stocks last week.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 13 Changes & US$5.2bn Round-Trip Trade

<ul>
<li>The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 209bn (US$6.5bn).</li>
<li>There could be 14 changes for the ETF in June with an estimated one-way turnover of around 40% and a round-trip trade of around US$5bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last couple of months and there could be more to go heading into announcement and implementation.</li>
</ul>


The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 209bn (US$6.5bn).
There could be 14 changes for the ETF in June with an estimated one-way turnover of around 40% and a round-trip trade of around US$5bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last couple of months and there could be more to go heading into announcement and implementation.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance Preview: AUM Jump & HUGE Trade

Taiwan

Vanguard International Semiconductor Corporation offers integrated circuit foundry services.  The Company manufactures 0.18um logic, mixed-signal, analog, high voltage, low power, CMOS RF, flash, embedded memory, and bipolar CMOS DMOS semiconductors.

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Vanguard Intl Semiconductor (5347 TT)

Vanguard (5347.TT): Pricing Hit Bottom in 2Q24. Anticipates UTR in 2025 Returning to 70-80%.

3Q24 guidance shows increased shipments due to higher demand GM expected to rise 3ppts QoQ. Anticipates pricing to improve in 2025. Effective tax...

Patrick Liao

TIP Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight Index Rebalance: 12 Changes & US$4bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 12 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 35% resulting in a round-trip trade of TWD 134bn (US$4.1bn). There are...

Brian Freitas

Vanguard (5347.TT): Setup 12" Fab in Singapore With 60% Stake, with NXP Investing Remaining 40%.

Vanguard and Nxp Semiconductors to establish 12" Fab in Singapore for diverse IC production, with Vanguard maintaining majority stake.

Patrick Liao

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 13 Changes & US$5.2bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 13 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 41% resulting in a round-trip trade of TWD 168.8bn (US$5.2bn). There...

Brian Freitas

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance Preview: AUM Jump & HUGE Trade

There could be 14 changes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June with an estimated 1-way turnover of around 40% and an...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Vanguard (5347.TT): Pricing Hit Bottom in 2Q24. Anticipates UTR in 2025 Returning to 70-80%.

​3Q24 guidance shows increased shipments due to higher demand GM expected to rise 3ppts QoQ. Anticipates pricing to improve in 2025. Effective tax...

Patrick Liao

TIP Taiwan Technology Dividend Highlight Index Rebalance: 12 Changes & US$4bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 12 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 35% resulting in a round-trip trade of TWD 134bn (US$4.1bn). There are...

Brian Freitas

Vanguard (5347.TT): Setup 12" Fab in Singapore With 60% Stake, with NXP Investing Remaining 40%.

​Vanguard and Nxp Semiconductors to establish 12" Fab in Singapore for diverse IC production, with Vanguard maintaining majority stake.

Patrick Liao

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: 13 Changes & US$5.2bn Round-Trip Trade

There are 13 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 41% resulting in a round-trip trade of TWD 168.8bn (US$5.2bn). There...

Brian Freitas

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance Preview: AUM Jump & HUGE Trade

There could be 14 changes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June with an estimated 1-way turnover of around 40% and an...

Brian Freitas

3Q24 guidance shows increased shipments due to higher demand GM expected to rise 3ppts QoQ. Anticipates pricing to improve in 2025. Effective tax...

Vanguard and Nxp Semiconductors to establish 12" Fab in Singapore for diverse IC production, with Vanguard maintaining majority stake.