External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Broader bearish USD sentiment has moderated somewhat, the latest positioning data from the CFTC shows.</li><li>Non-Commercial Accounts cut short USD positioning by a little over USD3.4bn in the week through Tuesday, taking the aggregate bear bet on the USD versus the major currencies back to USD15.8bn.</li><li>Data shows that Real Money Accounts trimmed their overall short USD position USD2.4bn to USD38.9bn over the week while Leveraged Accounts lifted their (modest) short USD position by USD2.5bn to USD4.8bn.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Broader bearish USD sentiment has moderated somewhat, the latest positioning data from the CFTC shows.Non-Commercial Accounts cut short USD positioning by a little over USD3.4bn in the week through Tuesday, taking the aggregate bear bet on the USD versus the major currencies back to USD15.8bn.Data shows that Real Money Accounts trimmed their overall short USD position USD2.4bn to USD38.9bn over the week while Leveraged Accounts lifted their (modest) short USD position by USD2.5bn to USD4.8bn.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bearish USD Sentiment Moderates

FX & Rates

<ul><li>Markets retain a cautious undertone after China reported weaker than expected loan data (new loans dropped to the lowest since 2009), underscoring growth concerns.</li><li>The CNY weakened to its lowest level in a month. Global stocks are trading lower while major bond markets (ex Treasurys are weaker).</li><li>The USD is holding relatively firm amid soft risk sentiment, near yesterday’s high in DXY terms, but gains are not universal, and the dollar index still appears to be encountering resistance in the mid/ upper 102 area after rebounding strongly from the intraday lows seen around the US CPI report yesterday. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Markets retain a cautious undertone after China reported weaker than expected loan data (new loans dropped to the lowest since 2009), underscoring growth concerns.The CNY weakened to its lowest level in a month. Global stocks are trading lower while major bond markets (ex Treasurys are weaker).The USD is holding relatively firm amid soft risk sentiment, near yesterday’s high in DXY terms, but gains are not universal, and the dollar index still appears to be encountering resistance in the mid/ upper 102 area after rebounding strongly from the intraday lows seen around the US CPI report yesterday. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Mixed Amid Soft Risk Sentiment

<ul><li>The CAD is heading for a fourth, consecutive lower weekly close on the USD, although the USD may end today well below its high point of the week reached on Tuesday.</li><li>It’s summertime, and markets are thin which may help explain the CAD’s recent disappointing performance.</li><li>Local USD sellers have emerged to take advantage of this week’s USD’s advance this week and place hedges. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The CAD is heading for a fourth, consecutive lower weekly close on the USD, although the USD may end today well below its high point of the week reached on Tuesday.It’s summertime, and markets are thin which may help explain the CAD’s recent disappointing performance.Local USD sellers have emerged to take advantage of this week’s USD’s advance this week and place hedges. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CAD Weekly Outlook - CAD Stretches Undervaluation

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nordea

Nordea

Nordea is the bank in the Nordics dedicated to serving corporations and institutional customers. Our offering includes a diverse range of financing, cash management and payment services, investment banking, capital markets products, securities services and more. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>In September, issuance and QT in SGBs ramps up to more than 9 bn/month from nothing during the holidays.</li><li>Reduced ECB buying and a rate hike pause while long-term inflation expectations rise suggest "risk-premium".</li><li>Tighter covered spreads=True</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In September, issuance and QT in SGBs ramps up to more than 9 bn/month from nothing during the holidays.Reduced ECB buying and a rate hike pause while long-term inflation expectations rise suggest "risk-premium".Tighter covered spreads=TrueContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SEK rates weekly: Bond issuance about to level up

<ul><li>In recent months, investors and economists have marked down the probability of a recession, after growth has surprised on the upside and inflation has surprised on the downside.</li><li>This has fueled equity prices, lifted interest rates , and weighed on the US dollar.</li><li>Put together, it looks like the perfect picture of a soft landing – everyone is getting exactly what they want – slowing inflation and a strong economy.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In recent months, investors and economists have marked down the probability of a recession, after growth has surprised on the upside and inflation has surprised on the downside.This has fueled equity prices, lifted interest rates , and weighed on the US dollar.Put together, it looks like the perfect picture of a soft landing – everyone is getting exactly what they want – slowing inflation and a strong economy.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

United States

The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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USD (USD CURNCY)

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bearish USD Sentiment Moderates

Non-Commercial Accounts cut short USD positioning by a little over USD3.4bn in the week through Tuesday, taking the aggregate bear bet on the USD

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Mixed Amid Soft Risk Sentiment

Markets retain a cautious undertone after China reported weaker than expected loan data (new loans dropped to the lowest since 2009), underscoring...

Scotiabank

CAD Weekly Outlook - CAD Stretches Undervaluation

The CAD is heading for a fourth, consecutive lower weekly close on the USD, although the USD may end today well below its high point of the week...

Scotiabank

SEK rates weekly: Bond issuance about to level up

In September, issuance and QT in SGBs ramps up to more than 9 bn/month from nothing during the holidays. Reduced ECB buying and a rate hike pause...

Nordea

Macro & Markets: Soft landing dreams

Fading recession risks.In recent months, investors and economists have marked down the probability of a recession, after growth has surprised on...

Nordea

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