External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>FX Market Update—The USD remains firm but gains versus the core majors are relatively minor, leaving the more significant USD advances on day so far concentrated against the likes of the MXN and ZAR as well as the NOK and SEK.</li><li>The GBP, CHF and JPY are all down less than 0.1% while the EUR is fractionally higher at writing. Stocks are lower in Asia and Europe while US futures are weaker.</li><li>Crude prices are slightly lower and bond market volatility remains elevated. US 10Y yields are up 9-10bps in overnight trade, reaching a little above 5%, while core European yields are up 7bps or so on the day. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Market Update—The USD remains firm but gains versus the core majors are relatively minor, leaving the more significant USD advances on day so far concentrated against the likes of the MXN and ZAR as well as the NOK and SEK.The GBP, CHF and JPY are all down less than 0.1% while the EUR is fractionally higher at writing. Stocks are lower in Asia and Europe while US futures are weaker.Crude prices are slightly lower and bond market volatility remains elevated. US 10Y yields are up 9-10bps in overnight trade, reaching a little above 5%, while core European yields are up 7bps or so on the day. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Firmer but Core Majors Hold Steady

<ul><li>The CAD is ending the week slightly lower versus the USD. While this week’s data run has looked a bit soft, considering lower than expected the CPI data and today’s Retail Sales report, the broader tone of Canadian economic data continues to run a little warm— data reports are generally running a bit ahead of expectations.</li><li>And even with CPI easing a little in the September month, prices remain elevated and the risk of inflation getting stuck above target remains.</li><li>Factors driving the CAD have negatively shifted this week, however; correlations across a range of variables are strengthening but remain below statistically significant levels. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The CAD is ending the week slightly lower versus the USD. While this week’s data run has looked a bit soft, considering lower than expected the CPI data and today’s Retail Sales report, the broader tone of Canadian economic data continues to run a little warm— data reports are generally running a bit ahead of expectations.And even with CPI easing a little in the September month, prices remain elevated and the risk of inflation getting stuck above target remains.Factors driving the CAD have negatively shifted this week, however; correlations across a range of variables are strengthening but remain below statistically significant levels. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CAD Weekly Outlook - CAD Tone Remains Soft, Focus Turns to BoC

<ul><li>FX Market Update—Risk aversion is the primary characteristic of the markets this morning.</li><li>Global stocks remain soft as investors reduce exposure to equities amid concerns about a weekend escalation of the Israel/Hamas conflict.</li><li>Crude oil prices have picked up a little while major bond markets are mixed; US Treasury yields have eased 4- 5bps from yesterday’s close.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Market Update—Risk aversion is the primary characteristic of the markets this morning.Global stocks remain soft as investors reduce exposure to equities amid concerns about a weekend escalation of the Israel/Hamas conflict.Crude oil prices have picked up a little while major bond markets are mixed; US Treasury yields have eased 4- 5bps from yesterday’s close.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Mixed Despite Weak Risk Appetite

<ul><li>The USD is stronger overall, supported by rising US yields (10s touched 4.98% earlier) and weaker global stocks following a tumble (2%+) in Chinese equities earlier.</li><li>The EUR, CHF and the JPY are all holding very minor gains on the session, with high beta FX underperforming, however.</li><li>The JPY’s stability looks a little curious considering its sensitivity to US yields recently but broader USD (DXY) gains are looking a bit stretched relative to fair value based on short-term spreads alone, suggesting the primary driver of USD appreciation is coming from geo-political/market risk influences. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is stronger overall, supported by rising US yields (10s touched 4.98% earlier) and weaker global stocks following a tumble (2%+) in Chinese equities earlier.The EUR, CHF and the JPY are all holding very minor gains on the session, with high beta FX underperforming, however.The JPY’s stability looks a little curious considering its sensitivity to US yields recently but broader USD (DXY) gains are looking a bit stretched relative to fair value based on short-term spreads alone, suggesting the primary driver of USD appreciation is coming from geo-political/market risk influences. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Firmer on Yields, Risk Aversion

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nordea

Nordea

Nordea is the bank in the Nordics dedicated to serving corporations and institutional customers. Our offering includes a diverse range of financing, cash management and payment services, investment banking, capital markets products, securities services and more. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>After the ECB signalled at the September meeting that rates have likely peaked, while recent inflation data have actually surprised to the downside, the decision to leave rates unchanged at the 26 October meeting looks straightforward.</li><li>While several Governing Council members have kept the door open for an additional hike, the next probable timing for debating the need to hike rates further will be the December meeting, with updated forecasts, not next week’s meeting.</li><li>The recent increase in longer yields should further limit the pressure for the ECB to do more.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

After the ECB signalled at the September meeting that rates have likely peaked, while recent inflation data have actually surprised to the downside, the decision to leave rates unchanged at the 26 October meeting looks straightforward.While several Governing Council members have kept the door open for an additional hike, the next probable timing for debating the need to hike rates further will be the December meeting, with updated forecasts, not next week’s meeting.The recent increase in longer yields should further limit the pressure for the ECB to do more.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ECB Watch: Limited need for new decisions

United States

The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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USD (USD CURNCY)

FX Daily - USD Firmer but Core Majors Hold Steady

The GBP, CHF and JPY are all down less than 0.1% while the EUR is fractionally higher at writing. Stocks are lower in Asia and Europe while US...

Scotiabank

CAD Weekly Outlook - CAD Tone Remains Soft, Focus Turns to BoC

Factors driving the CAD have negatively shifted this week, however; correlations across a range of variables are strengthening but remain below...

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Mixed Despite Weak Risk Appetite

Global stocks remain soft as investors reduce exposure to equities amid concerns about a weekend escalation of the Israel/Hamas conflict.

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Firmer on Yields, Risk Aversion

The USD is stronger overall, supported by rising US yields (10s touched 4.98% earlier) and weaker global stocks following a tumble (2%+) in Chinese...

Scotiabank

ECB Watch: Limited need for new decisions

The focus will likely be on what to do about the Eurosystem bond portfolio and reserve requirements, while rates will be debated again in December.

Nordea

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